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Tuesday, July 18, 2017

Huge Production Jump For #23279 -- July 18, 2017

Updates

October 2, 2017: not re-fracked based on data from FracFocus; it looks like newer wells have been fracked; it appears all the Anna wells are on-line and producing.

August 19, 2017: high production sustained; most recent five or six months. No data at FracFocus to suggest this well was re-fracked. In one month, this well has produced what it was producing in one year:

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN6-20173019878195576299621735192112524
BAKKEN5-20173018710190838679919108155723536
BAKKEN4-2017260701071770177

Original Post 

Among things to follow up, I posted this back on February 15, 2017:
February 15, 2017: CLR's Anna well pad; a reader asked about them; reader thinks he's not getting full answers from CLR; all wells are SI/NC, but sundry form suggests CLR planned to complete them 1/17, but no evidence yet that is occurring. #30157, #30156, #30155, #30154, #32969, #32968, #32967, #32966. Watch for #23279 coming off-line -- that will be hint that wells are about to be fracked. [Update, #23279 came off-line 1/17.][Update, #23279 back on-line; other wells have been fracked. See this link.] Check in a few months to see if production changed for #23279.
I wanted to see if production changed for #23279.

Wow, did it ever. Look at this production jump:

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN5-20173018710190838679919108155723536
BAKKEN4-2017260701071770177
BAKKEN3-20170000000
BAKKEN2-20170000000
BAKKEN1-2017170226131020102
BAKKEN12-201624182017261116267926790
BAKKEN11-201630216523321368307230720
BAKKEN10-201631245324951542335933590
BAKKEN9-20163024722386172836813101580
BAKKEN8-20163127352585188833402550

Obviously it was fracked (?), but a) no sundry from yet to confirm the frack; and, b) nothing over at FracFocus to verify that it was fracked. So we will see.

I Would Have Been Surprised Had This Not Been In Texas -- July 18, 2017

Prosper High School, Texas, will build a $48 million mega-stadium that features a banquet hall suite.

Story at Sportsday.com.
We knew Prosper ISD was going to get a new football stadium, and now we know what it will look like.
PISD announced that the design of the new stadium, which will actually be a stadium/natatorium complex, has been completed. The stadium will have a 12,000-seat capacity, and according to PISD, will serve all of the district's high schools going forward.
For those who didn't know that Prosper wasn't going to remain a one-high school district, there's a bit of news for you.
The second Prosper high school isn't scheduled to open until 2020, but the current high school's enrollment has increased considerably.
You might remember that Prosper was the 3A Division I state champion in 2008 and was once a rival of Celina (now in 4A). Prosper had a UIL-reported enrollment of 2,110 in the fall of 2015, and it's now one of the state's largest 5A schools.
It's pretty much a no-doubter that Prosper will bounce into 6A for the 2018-2020 alignment.According to Prosper ISD, the stadium project will be funded from a $710 million bond issue passed nearly 10 years and will have an approximate cost of $48 million. That's less than Allen's Eagle Stadium ($60 million, opened in 2012) and McKinney's new $70 million stadium that is under construction.
Prosper ISD mentions that in information about its stadium on the district web site:
Prosper ISD continues to grow about 100% every five years and is one the top five fastest growing school districts in the state of Texas out of 1,100+ school districts. We have designed a facility that will meet the needs of PISD for many years to come while engineering it in a way that comes in at price tag $15-20+ million less expensive than recent similar projects in the metroplex and across the state.
Prosper is in the same area as McKinney, Plano, Frisco, all north of DFW/Dallas. 

Flashback -- Even The Analysts Can Get It Wrong -- July 18, 2017

Flashback. Remember this? From January 9, 2015:
From Rigzone, John Kemp: Bakken oil producers need $55 to keep production steady.
North Dakota needs an oil price of around $55 per barrel at the wellhead and a fleet of about 140 rigs to sustain production at the current level of 1.2 million barrels per day, the U.S. state's chief regulator told legislators on Thursday.
Down to 50 rigs and still producing more than 1 million bopd with 850 DUC and 1,500 producing wells taken off-line. And Bakken oil is selling for about $35/bbl.

In Less Than Five Years, The US Could Produce 40% Of The World's Total Natural Gas -- July 18, 2017

Over at "The Big Stories," I have a link to the "North American Energy Revolution," but I have never had anything there linking to a Mexican story. Now we do. From the Oil & Gas Journal, DOE and IEA now see Mexico's global energy role growing rapidly.
IEA expects the US shale revolution to get a second wind and increase its gas production to 40% of the world’s total by 2022. IEA also projects that the US will become one of the world’s three largest LNG exporters—alongside Australia and Qatar—and give LNG a majority share of the global gas market for the first time by 2040.
“North America is entering a golden age of energy prosperity,” said [EIA], adding that Mexico looks as if could be more than a junior partner. The country is on track to become a full IEA member by year-end, he said.
Update: three countries mentioned in this article on natural gas -- the US; Qatar; and, Australia. What major country with huge NG stores was not mentioned? Wow.

Why I Love To Blog -- One Never Knows What One Is Going To Find -- July 19, 2017

Wow, wow, wow -- one may want to re-read this post.
Enhanced oil recovery from unconventional formations has been sought since unconventional development first began.
While recovery factors in conventional reservoirs commonly exceed 25%, unconventional development seldom recovers more than 9%.
There is, therefore, a tremendous amount of oil and gas still in place in unconventional fields, waiting to be recovered.
I've only posted the most recent data from the production profile of this well, but take a look. Maybe I will come back to it later.

 20387, 1,445, Oasis Federal 5300 13-14H, t10/11; cum 315K 5/17;

NDIC File No: 20387     API No: 33-105-02133-00-00     CTB No: 220387
Well Type: OG     Well Status: A     Status Date: 4/15/2017     Wellbore type: Horizontal
Location: NWNE 14-153-100     Footages: 200 FNL 2420 FEL     Latitude: 48.081529     Longitude: -103.505707
Current Operator: OASIS PETROLEUM NORTH AMERICA LLC
Current Well Name: HANOVER FEDERAL 5300 13-14H
Elevation(s): 2195 KB   2181 GR   2187 GL     Total Depth: 20783     Field: WILLOW CREEK
Spud Date(s):  7/19/2011
Casing String(s):  9.625" 2210'   7" 11282'  
Completion Data
   Pool: BAKKEN     Perfs: 11282-20783     Comp: 10/1/2011     Status: AL     Date: 3/8/2012     Spacing: 2SEC
Cumulative Production Data
   Pool: BAKKEN     Cum Oil: 314848     Cum MCF Gas: 347179     Cum Water: 246485
Production Test Data
   IP Test Date: 10/5/2011     Pool: BAKKEN     IP Oil: 1445     IP MCF: 1904     IP Water: 958
Monthly Production Data
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN5-20173116372164733089327997241613671
BAKKEN4-201718804978632495213408013120
BAKKEN3-20170000000
BAKKEN2-20170000000
BAKKEN1-20171763217831069166714970
BAKKEN12-201626226414021197244921890
BAKKEN11-201630214223051539366633660
BAKKEN10-201631189119461483360536050
BAKKEN9-201630224520591131372134210
BAKKEN8-201630205321701283353932390
BAKKEN7-201631223419381713420038900
BAKKEN6-201630192122201407401337130
BAKKEN5-201631205720741682489645860
BAKKEN4-201630282727491668526846680
BAKKEN3-20163128852847215844843966208
BAKKEN2-201624142915491228287326330
BAKKEN1-201631249225301566429939890
BAKKEN12-20153128592510156243113750251

My momma always said, "Life was like a box of chocolates. You never know what you're gonna get." -- Forrest Gump.

The Political Page, T+179 -- July 18, 2017

One of my favorite pages is "the Obama legacy."

I thought of that when I saw the lead story over at the Los Angeles Times today.

Production In Top Bakken Oil Fields, May, 2017, Data -- Greatest Decline In Field Production On A Percentage Basis, Month-Over-Month

Disclaimer: in a spreadsheet done manually there are likely to be typographical and factual errors. If this information is important to you, go to the source. Do not quote me on this data. 

April, 2017, and May, 2017, data for top producing oil fields in the Bakken. Ranked by greatest decline in field production, month-over-month, column 10, on a percentage basis.


Field
April 2017 Prod
April Wells
Apr Oil / Well / Month
Percent Change Mar-to-Apr
Change in # of wells
May 2017 Prod
May Wells
May Oil / Well / Month
Percent Change Apr-to-May
Change in # of wells
Clarks Creek
79,718
41
1,944
-10.83%
0
64,865
41
1,582
-18.63%
0
Bear Den
148,775
44
3,381
-6.15%
0
122,327
44
2,780
-17.78%
0
Sand Creek
532,669
94
5,667
-0.31%
0
438,481
94
4,665
-17.68%
0
Squaw Creek
148,012
41
3,610
141.94%
3
121,970
41
2,975
-17.59%
0
McGregor
79,161
41
1,931
15.11%
0
67,570
41
1,648
-14.64%
0
North Tobacco Garden
175,790
48
3,662
-7.62%
0
150,235
48
3,130
-14.54%
0
Grinnell
167,164
56
2,985
-17.15%
4
143,053
60
2,384
-14.42%
4
Poe
451,427
104
4,341
-13.76%
0
389,450
104
3,745
-13.73%
0
Twin Valley
271,988
31
8,774
-18.19%
0
235,634
31
7,601
-13.37%
0
Bell
155,757
71
2,194
1.65%
0
138,187
71
1,946
-11.28%
0
Park
50,937
36
1,415
5.88%
0
45,610
36
1,267
-10.46%
0
Pershing
98,601
39
2,528
-7.01%
0
88,664
39
2,273
-10.08%
0
Ray
63,153
54
1,170
11.15%
0
57,875
54
1,072
-8.36%
0
Todd 
111,794
56
1,996
-4.47%
0
102,636
56
1,833
-8.19%
0
Epping
159,225
53
3,004
-11.30%
0
146,989
53
2,773
-7.68%
0
East Fork
449,876
119
3,780
7.98%
0
416,929
119
3,504
-7.32%
0
Charlson
322,680
106
3,044
-6.08%
0
301,410
107
2,817
-6.59%
1
North Fork
293,831
58
5,066
-0.93%
1
274,750
58
4,737
-6.49%
0
Beaver Lodge
96,926
75
1,292
1.05%
0
90,850
75
1,211
-6.27%
0
Cottonwood
75,024
94
798
-7.85%
0
70,544
94
750
-5.97%
0