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Thursday, August 28, 2025

Jobless Claims And GDP Data -- August 28, 2025

Locator: 48980ECONOMY.

Boom: U.S. economy expanded 3.3% in Q2, with growth even stronger than initially thought. Estimate was 3.1.

Imports were pulled forward in 2Q25. Impact of imports on GDP. Link here. Yellow legal pad: consumer was very strong in second quarter.

Link here

Jobless claims:

  • right in line, 229K vs 230K
  • hard to get worried about the labor sector

GDP data, 2d estimate:

  • 3% last week; now 3.3%, vs 3.1% expected. Best quarter since 3Q23.
  • consumption looks good
  • pricing index: 2%; no change;

Steve Liesman:

  • very, very low jobless claims numbers; why the urgency for a rate cut?

Market; responds positively.