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Friday, May 2, 2025

What's It All About, Alfie? Apple, AAPL, And The Bakken -- May 2, 2025

Locator: 48566B.

Jobs: April hiring remains steady --

  • unemployment rate, at 4.2%, unchanged
  • added 177,000 new jobs; topped expectations of 133,000

DOD budget: whoo-hoo! Link here. Analysis.

AAPL: link here.

Reminder: this is not an investment site. See disclaimer, on every page of the blog. 

US field production, crude oil: extends record for thirteenth consecutive month. Link here.

RBN Energy: must-read today, see below.

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Back to the Bakken

WTI: still with a $5- handle -- $58.96. OPEC quietly maintains current position.

New wells:

  • Sunday, May 4, 2025: 14 for the month, 114 for the quarter, 306 for the year,
    • 41146, conf, BR, Devils Backbone 5C,
    • 41065, conf, BR, Tilton 2C,
    • 40719, conf, Petro-Hunt, USA 153-95-5A-31-3H,
    • 40712, conf, Silver Hill Energy, Tank E 156-98-1-12-3MBH,
  • Saturday, May 3, 2025: 10 for the month, 110 for the quarter, 302 for the year,
    • 41066, conf, BR, Tilton 2D,
    • 40718, conf, Petro-Hunt, USA 153-95-5A-31-2H,
    • 39817, conf, Hess, RS-Flickertail-156-91-1720H-7,
  • Friday, May 2, 2025: 7 for the month, 107 for the quarter, 299 for the year,
    • 41142, conf, CLR, Hayes 9-6HSL,
    • 28767, conf, Grayson Mill, Sand Creek Federal 153-96-21-28-2H,
    • 28766, conf, Grayson Mill, Sand Creek Federal 153-96-21-28-10H,
    • 25072, conf, Grayson Mill, Sand Creek State 153-96-16-2H,

RBN Energy: how Woodside's FID on Louisiana LNG shakes things up. Archived.

Woodside Energy’s final investment decision (FID) on the $17.5 billion Louisiana LNG terminal was a stunner. For one thing, only 1 million metric tons per annum (MMtpa) of the project’s 16.5 MMtpa (2.2 Bcf/d) of capacity is under contract — U.S. LNG export projects typically have commitments for two-thirds or more of their output before pulling the trigger. The project will also have an outsized impact on gas flows in a region already struggling to keep up, and it may well upend plans for other projects in the works. In today’s RBN blog, we take a closer look at Louisiana LNG, Woodside’s daring development approach, and the terminal’s impacts on gas demand, gas flows and pre-FID projects.

Australia’s Woodside Energy announced April 28 that it will establish its LNG foothold in the U.S. by building Louisiana LNG, a project the company acquired in October 2024 when it purchased the nearly bankrupt Tellurian — and its Driftwood LNG project — for $900 million. Driftwood LNG came close to becoming a reality more than once, only to crash, burn and be rebranded. Now, with a new owner and name, the three-train terminal just south of Lake Charles will be built, with first LNG expected in 2029 and its full capacity online in 2031.

We’ll get to Louisiana LNG’s physical particulars in a moment but first let’s look at Woodside Energy and the seemingly audacious decision by the company and its project partner — Stonepeak, the New York City-based investment firm — to take FID on an 11-figure project with less than one-sixteenth of its output under long-term contract.

Woodside Energy

Woodside is Australia’s largest independent oil and gas company and operates primarily offshore; it is also an international LNG supplier. The company expects to produce up to 537 Mboe/d in 2025, with about 40% of that to feed its LNG terminals (~1.25 Bcf/d), another 20% as pipeline gas (~623 MMcf/d) and the rest as oil (~215 Mb/d). The company operates two LNG terminals in Australia. One is the North West Shelf Project (NWSP; magenta diamond with No. 5 in left inset of Figure 1 below), which produces gas for domestic consumption and LNG export. NWSP has five trains with a total capacity of 16.9 MMtpa (2.2 Bcf/d). Woodside also operates Pluto LNG (magenta diamond at bottom right of left inset), a single-train, 4.9-MMtpa (0.65 Bcf/d) export terminal. An 8-MMtpa (1.1 Bcf/d) expansion is underway, with first LNG expected in 2026. The expansion is part of the Scarborough Energy Project (magenta diamond at left in left inset), which also includes development of the Scarborough Field (gold-shaded area) in the Carnavorn Basin off the coast of Western Australia. Woodside is also part of the Sunrise LNG project in the Timor Sea (between East Timor and Australia; striped magenta diamond in right inset), which is still pending development agreements.