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Wednesday, October 23, 2024

The Eisen Hour -- Abbreviated Edition -- October 23, 2024

Locator: 48642CRAMER.

New "word" for the day: "slivered onions." Has been added to the "drinking game" bingo board for the NDSU fraternities.

The Fed: this is pretty cool -- one analyst's view:

  • the Fed has "given up" on fighting inflation
    • that was one way of phrasing it (negative spin); could have said Fed now focused on economy (positive spin)
    • did agree that the Fed is now interested in growing the economy; growing the US out of debt problem; 
    • a lot of pressure to maintain high levels of LNG / oil exports; re-shoring tech industry
    • happy with a 2-handle
    • will gladly see inflation at high end of "2" (i.e. 2. 6 - 3.0 inflation rate)
    • why would the Fed accept this: will help "grow" the US out of its debt problem -- an interesting take
  • Sara is on top of her game as usual: was able to remind the guest of his previous views; amazing
  • bottom line: not particularly concerned; headlines not surprising

ARM/QCOM: after the bombshell announcement last night (part 1 and part 2), eager to see how this plays out; won't know for quite some time, of course:

  • Cramer: going with ARM
  • ARM says it can do what QCOM is doing
  • AAPL investors seem unfazed
  • if that's accurate, ARM says it can do what QCOM is doing, the question becomes, how fast can QCOM ramp up to meet demand?

Cramer's first hour:

  • most was spent on Boeing and SBUX, neither of which interest me
  • Faber tried ot put together the QCOM / ARM story but overcome by noise from the trading floor
  • appears Faber-Carl-Cramer not much interested in the story

Existing home sales: September results, blah, blah, blah

Early market trading: blah, blah, blah, but if anything, energy and utilities doing okay.

McDonald's: major drag on the Dow.

  • CEO's video response seemed a bit disingenuous when I first heard it -- natural reaction, I'm sure.
    • having said that, it's been several days since the last case reported; the CEO's statement may be exactly "right." 
    • Sara this morning didn't add anything we didn't know last night, so that's good news
  • analysis:
    • McDonald's: supply chain issue; onions implicated; nothing to do with McDonald's per se
      • the question: were the implicated onions only shipped to McDonald's? Most likely.
    • Chipotle, E. coli, 2015: related to processes / procedures in the kitchen
  • fairly common food pathogen with outbreaks not uncommon; 200,000 cases annually in US
  • the number of McDonald's cases appears not have increased overnight

The BIG story today, per Sara: rising 10-year Treasury. 

Sara: a blah day. 

Mideast: huge stories and very little coverage --

  • is Tyre being carpet-bombed?
  • has Hezbollah's newest leader already been taken out -- if so, he lasted a week or so

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Brief Reminder 

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia.
  • Longer version here.

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