Population Talk -- February 16, 2023

From MSN:

The California exodus has shown no sign of slowing down as the state's population dropped by more than 500,000 people between April 2020 and July 2022, with the number of residents leaving surpassing those moving in by nearly 700,000.

The population decrease was second only to New York, which lost about 15,000 more people than California, census data show.

California gained about 157,000 more people from natural change — the difference in number between births and deaths — than New York did, making New York's total population loss greater. 

Hold that thought.

From the LA Times today:

Statistics: as usual, no denominator. For the record:

• population, California: 40 million
• over two years, April 2020 -- July 2022, population drops 500,000
• percentage change: - 500 / 4,000 = - 1.25% over more than two years
• predominantly affect the big cities (Los Angeles?)

Southern surge:

• historically, "runs" around 50,000"encounters" on a monthly basis;
• this past year, trending toward 250,000 "encounters" on a monthly basis;
• conservatively speaking; once "Covid-19 emergency order" lifted on May 11, 2023, it is estimated the numbers at the southern border will trend toward 300,000 / month = 3.6 million per year

Hold that thought.

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Peter Zeihan On Global Population Decrease

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British Royalty 

What are the odds? LOL. 

While in Portland, OR, last week I picked up a memoir/biography of the "real" Downton Abbey by the Countess of Carnarvon, c. 2011.

I learned a lot about how a modern castle is run. 

Well, of all things, in the current issue of The New Yorker, another what-appears-to-be-a-very-similar memoir, this time a book review by Rebecca Mead, "The Merry Widow." 

The book is Lady in Waiting, Anne GGlenconner, c. 2019. A follow-on book Whatever Next is due out this month, February 2023. 

At ninety years of age, Lady Anne / Lady Glenconner is the oldest living aristocratic widow in the world. 

 In 2019, Lady Anne—Anne Glenconner, as she is known today—published a memoir, Lady in Waiting, that detailed not only her childhood at Holkham Hall but also her decades as a friend and companion to Princess Margaret, the younger sister of Queen Elizabeth II. 

Lady in Waiting, which became a surprise best-seller in the U.K. and has been translated into eleven languages, describes the peculiar privileges and rituals of England’s landed aristocracy from the perspective of a wry insider. It gives an unusually candid depiction of life in the upper echelon of British society at a time when the centuries-old peerage has been partly superseded by newer aristocracies—those of global celebrity and freshly generated wealth.

 I've just begun the six-page essay which already sounds very much like the memoir by thee Countess of Carnarvon. What are the odds that less than a week after picking up a memoir of "Downton Abbey," I come across a similar book reviewed in the current issue of The New Yorker? What a hoot. 

If healthy enough and strong enough, perhaps Lady Glenconner will be at the coronation in May.