The Investor Page -- January 26, 2023

Updates

Later, 6:39 p.m. ET: "new money" allocation / investment

• my current "new money" investment allotment:
• blue-chip, Berkshire (BRK) worthy, dividend-growth: 40%
• beaten down tech: 20%
• energy (mostly oil, Permian): 30%
• mRNA (Big Pharma): 5%
• Daimler truck: 5%
  

• After today (the market in general; GDP, 4Q22; Schwab conference), moving toward, and likely effective March, 2023
• blue-chip, Berkshire (BRK) worthy, dividend-growth: 40%
• beaten down tech: 30%
• energy (mostly oil, Permian): 00%
• ?: 20%
• mRNA (Big Pharma): 5%
• Daimler truck: 5%

• For February, 2023, the changeover / transition month
• blue-chip, Berkshire (BRK) worthy, dividend-growth: 00
• beaten down tech: 100%
• energy (mostly oil, Permian): 00%
• mRNA (Big Pharma): 00%
• Daimler truck: 00%

Original Post

Most of this was posted earlier. ICYMI.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site.  Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.

All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them.     

Intel: analyst can't even explain it.

• earnings release awful
• shares drop more than 7% after hours:
• "never seen anything like this before"
• anyone following the blog could have seen this coming
• started with posts regarding 10nm and 7nm chips 
• went right off a cliff; this is not going to be a one-off
  

Raising dividends, announced so far today:

• ADM (Archer-Daniels)
• Murphy Oil

Later, 3:04 p.m. ET: for investors. 

• Comment: looking at the market today suggests to me that those "in the FOMO camp" are finally realizing they "MO."

Later, 3:30 p.m. ET: for investors. The Dow is not up all that much today in the big scheme of things, but energy is going through the roof. Having said that, XLE was not particularly remarkable, again pointing out to folks that individuals can do much better if they a) have a plan; b) stick to the plan; and, c) pay attention to what's going on in the world.

Two examples: 

• VLO: up over 4% today; 
• XOM: up 3.7% today
• CVX: up 4.5% today;
• MPC: up 3.6% today;
• most of the others are running one- to two-percent in the green today.

The more I "see," the more I think "investors" conflate / confuse the terms used to define the stock market with terms used to define the economic cycle.