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Monday, August 15, 2022

EVs -- The Biden Bill -- August 15, 2022

The Biden Bill, EVs-2022, is an "investors' bill. The bulk of the money goes to US auto manufacturers. No money to manufacturers outside North America; and most incentives target manufacturers, not consumers. 

EVs: link here. Scorecard.

The Biden Bill -- the Inflation Reduction Act (climate, health, and tax)

MSN-Reuters, August 15, 2022: the article is a bit confusing. Data points:

  • the bill will eliminate EV tax credits for most models currently getting up to $7,500 effective (sic)
  • restructures the existing $7,500 new EV tax credit
  • creates a new $4,000 rebate for used EVs
  • but the bulk goes to auto manufacturers: loan programs; tax credit and grant programs

New law:

  • 70% of 72 US electric, plug-in hybrid, and fuel-cell EVs that currently qualify, ineligible
  • none would qualify for the full credit when additional sourcing requirements go into effect

CBO estimate:

  • 11,000 new EVs will receive tax credits in 2023 assuming $7,500 per vehicle

Those that won't qualify

  • Audi of America
  • only its plug-in hybrid will retain existing federal credit through the end of 2022
  • Kia
  • Porsche
  • any vehicles assembled outside of North America
  • huge hit for EU, South Korea, and many others

200,000 vehicle cap:

  • GM
  • Tesla

New credits available for those who exceed 200,000-cap

  • stricter sourcing and income rules

Comment: this looks exactly like a bill that Trump would have signed:

  • bill would eliminate tax credits for the "wealthy"
  • bill would favor middle income
  • money targets the manufacturers and the workers in those industries, not the buyers
  • vehicles need to be assembled in North America (including Canada and Mexico)
  • for investors: another open-book test
  • the reason 70% of 72 US electric, plug-in hybrid, and fuel-cell EVs that currently qualify would no longer qualify: assemble must be in US. I'm sure Trump would have wanted the same thing 
  • for companies like Apple, this is huge -- they now have the "new" rules

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