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Tuesday, February 1, 2022

The Fed -- February 1, 2022

The experts, link here:

I never followed the Fed prior to Jay Powell, at least not to the extent I follow him now.

He has given himself lots of wiggle room to change velocity (speed and direction) as conditions change.

The worst case situation:

  • 25 basis points x 7 = 175 basis points
  • + a 50 bp in March = 2.25% by the end of the year. 

At worst.

The fed rate since the 1950s at this site.

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