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Friday, January 28, 2022

Best Three Sites To Follow The "Cyclone Bomb," Winter Storm Kenan — January 28, 2022

The winds: one can pick any point on the globe, to get wind speed, direction and exact GPS coordinates. 

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-71.09,30.29,2600/loc=-70.727,42.505.

ISO NE, of course: https://www.iso-ne.com/isoexpress/web/charts.

  • at the linked site, find “fuel mix”;
  • click on “renewables”
  • note wind component
  • % renewable  times % wind = % wind component

Flight radar herehttps://www.flightradar24.com/36.22,-75.43/6. At the time I am updating this, there is one plane "stranded" at Logan Airport (Boston).

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UPDATE: ISO NE

Fuel mix:

  • electricity demand: not very much, about 17,000 MW
  • natural gas: from personal experience, this looks like a record low contribution, at less than 40%; running out of NG again, today?
  • oil: for #2 among sources; providing 22% supply; tied with nuclear which is maxed out (nuclear is maxed out).
  • hydro: at only 5% suggests incredibly expensive or other contract limitations
  • renewables: holding up surprisingly well; blizzard not affecting wind?
  • coal: insignificant; trending toward zero; did they use coal stockpiles; roads closed; no more coal deliveries? 

A reader who follows this much more closely than I do might be able to explain coal at zero percent when price of electricity is now at record highs; in the 8th decile. For newbies, based on the "screwiness" of the "deciles, we will "never" see prices in the 9th or 10th decile. In other words, electricity is now in the max decile in New England -- it can still go much higher, but it won't exceed the 8th decile .

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