A Zavanna Panther Well Has Just Gone Over 500K Bbls Crude Oil Cumulative -- March 2, 2021

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The Zavanna Panther wells in Stony Creek are tracked here.

The well:

• 21226, 996, Zavanna, Panther 16-21 1H, Stony Creek, t4/12; cum 509K 12/20; off line 5/19; remains off line 10/19; back on line 2/20; nice jump in production; 
  

Note jump in production back in 2020 when neighboring wells were fracked:

BAKKEN	10-2020	31	9303	8810	15158	32232	18457	416
BAKKEN	9-2020	28	6669	6310	11647	20775	11464	238
BAKKEN	8-2020	31	9500	8544	16488	25947	15680	1029
BAKKEN	7-2020	31	10133	9183	19315	24027	12807	671
BAKKEN	6-2020	30	8189	7259	19194	17542	12577	416
BAKKEN	5-2020	31	8252	7253	23799	18070	12033	363
BAKKEN	4-2020	28	6802	6184	30585	15914	8737	221
BAKKEN	3-2020	31	7210	6350	55903	13003	12314	225
BAKKEN	2-2020	3	992	918	3526	2317	2255	17
BAKKEN	1-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	8-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	6-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	5-2019	26	1912	2109	1767	2301	1842	72
BAKKEN	4-2019	30	2124	2099	2193	2095	1342	306
BAKKEN	3-2019	30	2389	2692	2198	2839	1529	863

Gasoline Demand Soaring Before Governor Abbot Removes All -- Repeat, All -- Restrictions -- March 2, 2021

Link here. 

U.S. gasoline demand jumped last week to the highest level since the COVID-19 pandemic started, with demand this past Sunday up by 18.2 percent compared to the previous Sunday, according to GasBuddy data.

According to final numbers from Sunday, Pay with GasBuddy showed that U.S. gasoline demand rose by 18.2 percent versus the prior Sunday, Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis for GasBuddy, tweeted on Tuesday.

Sunday’s gasoline demand was 5.7 percent higher than the previously highest Sunday since the pandemic started, which was October 18, 2020.

Timeline:

• February 15, 2021: Texas deep freeze
• February 18, 2021: power back on in most places; many places in Texas still without water
• February 28, 2021: gasoline demand at highest level since pandemic started; demand this past Sunday (February 28, 2021) up almost 20% versus the prior Sunday (February 21, 2021)
• Sunday's gasoline demand was almost 6% higher than the previously highest Sunday (October 18, 2020) since the pandemic started;

New Hospital In Williston? -- March 2, 2021

Link here.

Williston Square: the old Sloulin Airfield.

A huge "thank you" to a reader for catching this.

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Crawdad Season

I'll check tomorrow -- too late today -- but it appears crawdad season in Grapevine, TX, has arrived! Whoo-hoo!

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A Musical Interlude

Look What They've Done To My Song, Miley Cyrus

Four New Permits; Number Of Active Rigs Drops To 14 -- March 2, 2021

Market:

• waiting for Chevron and Warren Buffett to go forward with a SPAC;
  
• happy to see Elizabeth Warren going forward with tax on super-wealthy; maybe divert that ill-earned wealth toward reparations; better them than me;
  
• with President's announcement today, could be an interesting day in the market tomorrow;
• announcement: all Americans should have access to vaccine by end of May, two months earlier than what his predecessor promised;
• how was this possible: US will not share vaccine with Mexico; if those south of the border want vaccine, they can come up here to get it;
  

Timeline:

• February 15, 2021: the unfavorable event in Texas
• February 22, 2021: WTI trending toward $63
• February 27, 2021: endless stories of WTI trending toward $75 by end of year
• March 2, 2021: WTI drops back below $60

Gasoline: headline -- one out of seven north Texas service stations without gasoline

• haven't noticed a thing here in DFW area
• Hurricane Harvey? huge shortage that lasted for weeks

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Back to the Bakken

Active rigs:

$59.63	3/2/2021	03/02/2020	03/02/2019	03/02/2018	03/02/2017
Active Rigs	14	53	67	59	41

Four new permits, #38181 - #38184, inclusive:

• Operators: RimRock, Petro-Hunt
• Fields: Moccasin Creek (Dunn), Little Knife (Billings)
  
• Comments:
• RimRock has permits for three Moccasin Creek wells in SESW 11-147-93;
• 38182, 971 FSL 1639 FWL
• 38183,  5TFH, 1000 FSL 1644 FWL
• 38184, 1030 FSL 1650 FWL
• Petro-Hunt has a permit for a Hurinenko well in lot 1, section 3-144-98; 337 FNL 1014 FEL

Three producing wells (DUCs) reported as completed:

• 36314, drl/A, BR, State Dodge 1C TFH, Dimmick Lake,
• 34293, loc/A, BR, State Double Dodge 1A TFW-ULW, Dimmick Lake,
• 37019, SI/A, Slawson, Triton Federal 8-34-35TFH, Big Bend, first production, t--; cum --;

Notes From All Over -- March 2, 2021

ISO NE: a lot of craziness in this article. Archived. 

Volvo: another company that has not thought this through. Will go completely electric by 2030. 

***********************************

Vaccination Rollout

 

Updates

 

Later: this is absolutely amazing. It just demonstrates what "we" can do when the government gets out of the way. Link here. Glad to see President Biden kept the pressure on Big Pharma and government regulators. Texas and Mississippi have removed all mask restrictions as of today; all, removed all capacity restrictions for public gatherings. Whoo-hoo! We survived! Next milestone: no more reservations required for vaccination. Apple has re-opened every Apple retail store in the US. Starting to look like a snowball. Apparently Merck will be adding a vaccine; if so, this would be the fourth vaccine. Apparently the production capacity for vaccines is quite remarkable, much better than expected. Cartoon: steam roller over Dr Fauci double masking.

 

Original Post

All things considered, the Trump vaccine rollout has gone quite well. These are the February statistics from the CDC. We’re trending toward  2.5 million  adults being vaccinated on weekdays. Now that the state of California has transferred responsibility of vaccine delivery from “the state” to the private sector, the numbers should improve dramatically.

The third vaccine -- the JNJ vaccine -- will be available this month (March, 2021). It will be interesting to see the jump in the number of vaccine doses delivered once this vaccine becomes available. 

Less than a year after the pandemic was identified, lockdowns were announced, and masks were mandated, there are three vaccines available in the US, and many more than that worldwide. Just think, that "three weeks to flatten the curve," took a year. Who wudda thought?

Sunday	February 28, 2021	96,402,490	200	75,236,003	2,429,823	78.04%
Saturday	February 27, 2021	96,402,290	2,101,380	72,806,180	2,352,116	75.52%
Friday	February 26, 2021	94,300,910	2,627,900	70,454,064	2,179,947	74.71%
Thursday	February 25, 2021	91,673,010	3,003,975	68,274,117	1,809,170	74.48%
Wednesday	February 24, 2021	88,669,035	6,554,665	66,464,947	1,432,864	74.96%
Tuesday	February 23, 2021	82,114,370	6,908,430	65,032,083	854,609	79.20%
Monday	February 22, 2021	75,205,940	975	64,177,474	1,086,840	85.34%
Sunday	February 21, 2021	75,204,965	-3,923,530	63,090,634	1,801,134	83.89%
Saturday	February 20, 2021	79,128,495	976,000	61,289,500	1,704,457	77.46%
Friday	February 19, 2021	78,152,495	2,864,685	59,585,043	1,651,608	76.24%
Thursday	February 18, 2021	75,287,810	1,814,918	57,933,435	1,651,608	76.95%
Wednesday	February 17, 2021	72,423,125	765,150	56,281,827	1,061,463	77.71%
Tuesday	February 16, 2021	71,657,975	800,088	55,220,364	1,168,004	77.06%
Monday no data holiday	February 15, 2021	70,857,888	800,088	54,052,360	1,168,004	76.28%
Sunday	February 14, 2021	70,057,800	521,538	52,884,356	2,236,899	75.49%
Saturday estimate	February 13, 2021	69,536,263	521,538	50,647,457	2,236,899	72.84%
Friday	February 12, 2021	69,014,725	729,150	48,410,558	2,020,288	70.15%
Thursday	February 11, 2021	68,285,575	2,313,000	46,390,270	1,620,300	67.94%
Wednesday	February 10, 2021	65,972,575	3,073,800	44,769,970	1,563,780	67.86%
Tuesday	February 9, 2021	62,898,775	1,795,488	43,206,190	788,573	68.69%
Monday	February 8, 2021	61,103,288	1,795,488	42,417,617	1,206,680	69.42%
Sunday	February 7, 2021	59,307,800	3,200	41,210,937	2,172,973	69.49%
Saturday	February 6, 2021	59,304,600	924,300	39,037,964	2,218,752	65.83%
Friday	February 5, 2021	58,380,300	890,625	36,819,212	1,615,502	63.07%
Thursday	February 4, 2021	57,489,675	1,545,875	35,203,710	1,325,456	61.23%
Wednesday	February 3, 2021	55,943,800	3,286,125	33,878,254	1,097,394	60.56%
Tuesday	February 2, 2021	52,657,675	2,721,225	32,780,860	558,458	62.25%
Monday	February 1, 2021	49,936,450	3,200	32,222,402	1,099,103	64.53%