The XTO Admundson Wells In Siverston Oil Field -- March 3, 2021

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This is a microcosm of the Bakken, and why rigs don't matter (don't take that out of context) and how Hubbert's theory does not apply. 

XTO has two 5-well Admundson pads in Siverston oil field. 

Recently several of the Admundson wells were taken off line for no apparent operational reason except apparently for "managing assets" during a period of very low oil prices. 

Except for one Admundson well, all the Admundson wells have returned to production. No rigs were needed; no fracking was required; XTO simply brought the wells back on line. 

In many cases, production doubled that production just before the well was taken off line. Rig counts did not matter. Frack spreads did not matter. But this was happening across the Bakken, affecting tens of thousands of Bakken wells. 

And it should be noted, we're not seeing many DUCs being reported completed on the daily activity reports.

Here are the Admundson wells; production data has been updated:

First 5-well pad:

• 29074, 1,400, XTO, Amundson 34X-22A, Siverston, t7/15; cum 249K 1/21;
  
• 29058, 1,728, XTO, Amundson 34X-22B, Siverston, t6/15; cum 233K 1/21;
• 29060, 1,933, XTO, Amundson 34X-22C, Siverston, t7/15; cum 222K 1/21;
• 29057, 1,973, XTO, Amundson 34X-22E, Siverston, t71/5; cum 150K 1/21;
• 29059, 1,849, XTO, Amundson 34X-33F, Siverston, t7/15; cum 142K 1/21;

2nd 5-well pad:

• 21602, IA/732, XTO, Amundson 44-22NWH, 16 stages, 182K lbs of proppant, t6/12; cum 144K 1/20; remains off line 6/20;
  
• 30752, 1,266, XTO, Amundson 44X-22CXD, t2/16; cum 204K 1/21;
• 30751, 912, XTO, Amundson 44X-22H, t2/16; cum 174K 1/21; remains off line 7/20; back on line 1/21;
  
• 30750, 1,656, XTO, Amundso 44X-22D, t2/16; cum 212K 1/21; remains off line 7/20; back on line 10/20;
  
• 30749, 1,873, XTO, Amundson 44X-22HXE, t2/16; cum 194K 1/21; was taken off line 9/20; back on line 1/21;

Let's look at the production data for the past few months:

29074:

• off line for 5 months
• production jumped from 1800 bbls to 2700 bbls when returned to production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2021	31	2698	2884	1004	5601	5557	0
BAKKEN	12-2020	16	2058	1686	607	3578	3539	0
BAKKEN	11-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	8-2020	0	0	130	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2020	27	1379	1579	737	4633	4604	0
BAKKEN	6-2020	30	1787	1637	903	6234	6198	0
BAKKEN	5-2020	31	1855	1818	975	6576	6542	0

29058:

• not taken off line recently;

29060:

• not taken off line recently;

29057:

• not taken off line recently;

29059:

• off line for 5 months:
• production doubled, from 1121 bbls to 2142 bbls:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2021	31	2142	2127	1527	4226	4193	0
BAKKEN	12-2020	12	734	601	74	464	459	0
BAKKEN	11-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	8-2020	0	0	79	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2020	23	841	969	600	2313	2299	0
BAKKEN	6-2020	30	1121	1035	879	3286	3267	0

21602: the only Admundson well that remains off line.

30752:

• off line for 4 months:
• production up slightly when it was returned to production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2021	24	1683	1567	1196	2913	2890	0
BAKKEN	12-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2020	0	0	45	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2020	6	327	510	228	926	916	0
BAKKEN	8-2020	31	1714	1638	1489	5068	5028	0

30751:

• off line for 9 months
• production jumped from 1252 bbls over 23 days to 2638 bbls over 22 days;

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2021	22	2638	2456	2805	5794	5748	0
BAKKEN	12-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	8-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	6-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	5-2020	0	0	91	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	4-2020	23	1252	1276	2200	7882	7854	0

30750:

• off line for 4.5 months
• production went from 2000 bbls to 4000 bbls when it returned to production:

BAKKEN	10-2020	31	3870	3347	3466	10253	10120	0
BAKKEN	9-2020	1	104	90	88	329	325	0
BAKKEN	8-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	6-2020	0	0	45	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	5-2020	13	464	567	572	3391	3374	0
BAKKEN	4-2020	30	2040	2036	2111	12908	12862	0

30749:

• off line for 4 months
• production doubled from 859 bbls over 17 days to 1368 bbls over 19 days:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2021	19	1368	1274	1676	2593	2572	0
BAKKEN	12-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2020	0	0	118	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2020	17	859	955	854	3631	3590	0