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Saturday, February 13, 2021

Could Be A Perfect Storm For The Majors -- February 13, 2021

What a great photo, what a great story!


From Bloomberg:

U.S. oil demand is finally starting to emerge from the grips of pandemic after months with Asia serving as the lone bright spot in the global market market.

American refiners are processing the most crude since the economy ground to a halt in March in anticipation of a vaccine-driven boost in gasoline demand this summer. The uptick means that the refiners are competing for domestic barrels that for months were sent to more robust markets more in Asia. Prices for cargoes of grades like West Texas Intermediate crude have picked up by at least 50 cents a barrel from earlier this month.

The return of U.S. demand, which began when a global vaccination campaign kicked off in December, is the latest development in oil’s recovery from the depths of the pandemic. For months oil prices were managed by OPEC and its parters with production cuts, without the help of demand outside of Asia.

As domestic oil demand recovers, it could meet with supply shortages. Economic-driven output declines took about 2 million barrels a day of local crude off the market from the peak of 13.1 million, after dozens of drillers slashed budgets and filed for bankruptcy. The U.S. government sees production recovering to only 11.5 million barrels a day in 2022.

Could be a perfect storm with President Biden shutting down US oil. Whoo-hoo!

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2 comments:

  1. Typical Bloomberg news. Did not see any mention that nearly 2 million barrels a day of refined product are exported? Refiners need about $10/bbl crack spread to return to profitability or about $0.25 per gallon. Yes cost of fuel at retail has been below cost for about a year.

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    Replies
    1. Thank you for clarification. I am so confused with all this fake reporting -- it's impossible to figure out what's going on. It seems the reporters come up with their thesis, their myth and then write the stories to fit their theme.

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