Notes From All Over -- The Late Afternoon Edition -- May 27, 2020

First things first: SpaceX scheduled to lift off at 4:33 p.m. ET. First manned launch from Cape Canaveral in about a decade (?): private enterprise; tourism. Live on most cable news networks, I would suppose. I'm watching it on Fox, Neil Cavuto. Yeah, the guy that warned President Trump that hydroxychloroquine would kill the president. 4:19 p.m. ET: mission "scrubbed." Lightning and weather in the immediate area.

Cuomo to White House: "we" need more money. I wonder if the president asked about Amazon?

Boeing: lays off almost 7,000 employees; on track to lay off 16,000 in total.

When is the panic over? When the market says it's over.

Reminder: tonight, the fourth night in a row of NASCAR! Whoo-hoo.

May 27, 2020:

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Wuhan Flu: Michigan

Population: 10 million.

Corona virus stats here.

As of May 26, 2020:

• total deaths: 5,334
• population: 10 million
• if no new deaths, case fatality rate = 5,334 / 10 million = 0.05%.

At the moment, the CDC is suggesting the case fatality rate for Wuhan flu should come in at about 0.3% to 0.5%.

• 0.3% of 10 million = 30,000 total deaths
• 0.5% of 10 million = 50,000 total deaths

Note: I often make simple arithmetic mistakes.

If this ciphering is correct, the CDC has a huge problem on its hands.

50,000 deaths due to season flu in the US / 350 million people in the US = 50,000 / 350,000,000 = 0.01%. Link here.