ArgusMedia Viewpoints -- Nice Re-Cap -- January 28, 2020

Link here got ArgusMedia viewpoints.

Most of this "stuff"  has been posted elsewhere, various sources, but this is a nice summary.

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Politics

The polls keep coming out, fast and furious, but nothing has really changed.

If three candidates manage to each poll at least 15%, those three will share the delegates. Three candidates sharing delegates: no one can win on the first ballot.

In 2016, only two  Democrat candidates were collecting delegates, Sanders and Hillary and it was a very, very close race; throw in a third "viable" candidate and neither would have won on the first ballot. How this plays out:

• brokered convention; no one wins on first ballot; delegates free to vote on second vote;
• Democratic party will be very, very divided when it goes to a second vote;
• the convention will become chaotic between the first and second vote;
• the media will love it; will encourage it; ratings will surge;
• it may be difficult to maintain / restore order if it appears the nomination was denied Sanders on the first vote due to .... skullduggery...
• someone needs to walk out stage to restore order;

And then:

• Bill Clinton and Barack Obama will come out together, side-by-side, beaming
• the two of them will restore order; the 80% that did not want Sanders will take control of the convention; the media will go nuts (in a positive way for the Democrats)

And, then, the moment of truth -- how will the convention receive the next person that walks on stage, Hillary Clinton?

There's a risk she could be booed off stage ... manage that risk ... walk out on stage accompanied by Michelle Obama ...

But how about this for really stirring things up: Hillary, Michelle, and Oprah; maybe add a fourth or fifth woman, Taylor Swift, Ellen DeGeneres, or Klobuchar, St Greta?

The conventioneers would go nuts.

Bill Clinton was on stage sometime in the past ten days -- I forget the particulars -- he looked as fit and ready as I've ever seen him.

Hillary's documentary just debuted at Sundance.

And now this: