Hubbert's Theory Re-Visited In The Bakken, Part 1 -- September 4, 2019

According to Hubbert's theory, production should continue to decline in this well, but not only is it holding its own, production is actually up slightly. Note that this is a very, very old well by "Bakken" standards. Production is increasing.

The well:

• 18435, 2,376, off line since 10/18; t3/11; cum 308K 7/19; active as of 4/19;

Recent production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
SANISH	7-2019	31	4241	4338	4408	2702	2693	0
SANISH	6-2019	30	4215	4159	5369	2984	2977	0
SANISH	5-2019	14	1400	1312	2633	927	924	0
SANISH	4-2019	2	227	210	477	214	213	0
SANISH	3-2019	0	0	45	0	0	0	0
SANISH	2-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
SANISH	1-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
SANISH	12-2018	1	6	12	0	0	0	0
SANISH	11-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
SANISH	10-2018	6	393	739	90	767	761	0
SANISH	9-2018	25	1769	1864	494	3537	3526	0

Another example.

The well:

• 34058, 541, BR, Kermit 8-8-32MBH, Pershing, t8/18; cum 160K 7/19;

Total production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	7-2019	31	26219	26205	10327	44035	26427	16199
BAKKEN	6-2019	30	28955	28856	8542	45230	33515	10373
BAKKEN	5-2019	12	10715	10611	3030	16489	13619	2240
BAKKEN	4-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2019	0	0	109	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2019	1	136	145	95	272	241	0
BAKKEN	1-2019	31	13464	13449	5157	18619	4139	13905
BAKKEN	12-2018	31	16973	16983	5671	17743	2551	14704
BAKKEN	11-2018	30	20180	20185	6629	17394	3389	13540
BAKKEN	10-2018	31	25746	25910	10193	17416	6118	10762
BAKKEN	9-2018	25	16663	16381	7222	7879	5542	1539
BAKKEN	8-2018	14	662	662	6988	1930	1233	0

Another example.

The well:

• 18138, 1,161, CLR, Simmental 1-21H, Elm Tree, t12/09; cum 341K 7/19;

Recent production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	7-2019	12	1221	1208	356	1683	0	1438
BAKKEN	6-2019	27	4501	4768	2906	6641	285	5837
BAKKEN	5-2019	31	8467	8683	4722	13084	1172	11305
BAKKEN	4-2019	30	9165	8974	8211	12871	1957	10299
BAKKEN	3-2019	15	4646	4291	8249	6215	2521	3410
BAKKEN	2-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2019	0	0	259	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2018	31	1382	1381	413	3050	2340	93
BAKKEN	11-2018	30	1394	1285	374	2921	2199	107
BAKKEN	10-2018	31	1448	1433	425	3126	2418	93