Texas Led The Nation In Population Growth, 2018, Based On "Raw" Numbers; Will Gain Three Electoral Votes; New York To Lose Two, Rhode Island To Lose One -- February 13, 2019

The other day we were talking about "growth centers" in the US. Now this from the US census bureau: Nevada and Idaho are the nation's fastest growing states. See also this story.

Following Nevada and Idaho for the largest percentage increases in population were Utah (1.9 percent), Arizona (1.7 percent), and Florida and Washington (1.5 percent each).

Texas makes all three top-10 lists:

• top 10 overall population (#2), California, #1
• top 10 by numerical increase (#1); Florida, #2; and California, #3
• top 10 by percentage growth (#8)

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What this means for the Electoral College

The following states are poised to gain seats:

• Texas will gain three, from 36 to 39;
• Florida will gain two, from 27 to 29;
• Arizona will gain one, from nine to 10;
• Colorado will gain one, from seven to eight;
• Montana will gain one, from at-large to two;
• North Carolina will gain one, from 13 to 14; and
• Oregon will gain one, from five to 6.

These states are poised to lose seats:

• New York will lose two, from 27 to 25;
• Alabama will lose one, from seven to six;
• California will lose one or remain even, from 53 to 52 or no change;
• Michigan will lose one, from 14 to 13;
• Minnesota will lose one or remain even, from eight to seven or no change;
• Ohio will lose one, from 16 to 15;
• Pennsylvania will lose one, from 18 to 17;
• Rhode Island will lose one, from two to one; and
• West Virginia will lose one, from three to two.

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The Original Post

Re-posting from the other day:

For the archives.

A great link for graphics.

Which word in this group of three does not belong: dilbit; railbit; rarebit. For answer, see this post.

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US Growth Centers

This happened to pop up in discussion with a reader, after stories of socialism in the US. We were discussing what regions, what cities would see an increase in population over the next twenty years. Here were my thoughts:

1. Atlanta, GA, surprises me. Continues to grow and grow and grow.

2. North Carolina is huge growth center.

3. New York wealthy migrate to Florida.

4. Texas: huge. I think that's the real sleeper but I am very, very biased. Mexico will be huge driver for Hispanic growth in Texas.

5. Utah will do very, very well.

Let's see what others have to say:

• Forbes, where manufacturing is thriving in 2018. 
• Brookings, March 3, 2017.

Spot on! See my list above and compare to map below:

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Census

This is a really, really cool map.

The link.

When you click on the link, a black-and-white county map of the US will pop up. Across the top, the very last box (toggle US cities) is not highlighted. Be sure to highlight that one.

Put your cursor on any county, say Williams County, North Dakota, click and get the data for county migration. There are numerous ways to toggle; numerous boxes for additional data. 

To get a quick idea of what's going on:

• put your cursor on Cass County (Fargo), ND
• click on Cass County (Fargo), ND
• you will notice that essentially the whole state is moving to Fargo! LOL!
• and, in fact, practically the whole state of Minnesota is moving to Fargo
• now you know why Fargo keeps growing 
• but also look at the net migration from Fargo to Williston 
• also, look at the net migration from Fargo, ND, to Phoenix!
• this could go on all day 

New York City? The entire city is moving to Florida (but not to Miami).