Random Update Of An Old Petro-Hunt USA Well In Charlson Oil Field -- February 28, 2019 -- Coming Up On One Million Bbls Crude Oil

Updates

March 13, 2019: mystery solved; see this post. Hubbert's peak oil theory states that once a well starts to decline it never recovers. Another nail in that coffin.


March 13, 2019: look at the jump in production -- not re-fracked according to FracFocus; nor is there any sundry form suggesting this well was re-fracked:

Recent production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2019	31	18660	18742	5033	24830	17676	6939
BAKKEN	12-2018	15	9183	8330	3048	10684	9086	1496
BAKKEN	11-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2018	12	3261	3644	743	7087	5811	1197
BAKKEN	9-2018	30	9277	9448	1985	16977	14265	2503
BAKKEN	8-2018	31	9216	9040	2116	17960	17618	126
BAKKEN	7-2018	31	9724	9873	2209	17890	17595	79
BAKKEN	6-2018	30	10650	11102	2855	16461	16076	176

February 28, 2019: the original note was posted in late 2017 (see below). I was curious to see how this well was doing. According to FracFocus this well has never been refracked. The NDIC file's last sundry form was dated February 18, 2016.

The well:

• 20342, 1,430, Petro-Hunt, USA 153-95-4B-9-1H, 33-053-03453, Charlson, t11/11; cum 910K 12/18; 
• 1,370,174 mcf = 228K boe
• 910K bo crude oil
• total boe: 1.1379 million boe 

Look at the production profile since 7/17: a few months this well was producing about 9,000 bbls each month, but then taken off one for about two months, and then produces the equivalent of 18,000 bbls in one month.

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	12-2018	15	9183	8330	3048	10684	9086	1496
BAKKEN	11-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2018	12	3261	3644	743	7087	5811	1197
BAKKEN	9-2018	30	9277	9448	1985	16977	14265	2503
BAKKEN	8-2018	31	9216	9040	2116	17960	17618	126
BAKKEN	7-2018	31	9724	9873	2209	17890	17595	79
BAKKEN	6-2018	30	10650	11102	2855	16461	16076	176
BAKKEN	5-2018	31	11129	10573	2472	17002	16704	82
BAKKEN	4-2018	30	11191	11390	2549	16514	15353	952
BAKKEN	3-2018	31	11710	11530	2433	16543	16327	0
BAKKEN	2-2018	28	11134	11230	2470	16231	15528	508
BAKKEN	1-2018	31	12724	12821	2902	18163	17947	0
BAKKEN	12-2017	31	13263	12940	2992	17633	17343	74
BAKKEN	11-2017	30	13117	13454	3108	16769	8209	8351
BAKKEN	10-2017	31	14439	14496	3282	19217	0	19001
BAKKEN	9-2017	30	12674	12004	3682	16658	0	16477
BAKKEN	8-2017	4	501	690	85	861	839	0
BAKKEN	7-2017	31	5175	5311	460	8108	7892	0

As soon as one looks at the updated graphic, one sees exactly what has happend.

The index well -- the one we are looking at is #20342.

The three neighboring wells:

• from the north: 
• 32533, fracked/tested 12/18; huge production -- 15K in first 23 days;
• 32532, fracked/tested 12/18; huge production -- 16K in first 16 days; 

• from the south:
• 30685, fracked/tested 8/17; huge production -- almost 200K in less than a year and a half;

So, again, another example of an older well that keeps on jumping in production when neighboring wells are fracked. Several years ago, one operator suggested that studies showed that these examples worked best when at least three neighboring wells were fracked simultaneously around an older well. If so, the study must have been based on very little data; the Bakken was not quite old enough to have had many examples of three neighboring wells being fracked simultaneously around an older well when that "study" was cited. Whatever. 

Anyway, here's the updated graphic:

Hubbert said his theory applied not only to oil fields and basins, but also to individual wells. Once a well started to decline, it had reached its own "peak oil" and would never show increased production. And so it goes.

Original Post

The well:

• 20342, 1,430, Petro-Hunt, USA 153-95-4B-9-1H, 33-053-03453, Charlson, t11/11; cum 747K 8/17;

Based on data from FracFocus, this well has never been refracked.

Production to date:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	7-2017	31	5175	5311	460	8108	7892	0
BAKKEN	6-2017	30	5032	5032	405	7302	6873	220
BAKKEN	5-2017	31	5054	4857	418	8962	2717	6029
BAKKEN	4-2017	30	5337	5609	527	8791	8522	60
BAKKEN	3-2017	31	5706	5469	480	8972	8756	0
BAKKEN	2-2017	28	5343	5422	447	8303	8108	0
BAKKEN	1-2017	31	6618	6749	572	9321	9105	0
BAKKEN	12-2016	27	4958	4928	405	7677	7456	41
BAKKEN	11-2016	30	5981	6106	513	8511	8302	0
BAKKEN	10-2016	31	6133	6120	552	9412	9196	0
BAKKEN	9-2016	30	6173	5929	557	9435	9226	0
BAKKEN	8-2016	31	6898	7184	617	10663	9790	660
BAKKEN	7-2016	28	6046	5830	482	7798	7493	105
BAKKEN	6-2016	30	6424	6589	533	7351	7077	65
BAKKEN	5-2016	31	6796	6533	558	8193	7977	0
BAKKEN	4-2016	30	6946	7205	607	9038	8828	0
BAKKEN	3-2016	31	7301	7386	622	8210	8000	0
BAKKEN	2-2016	24	6513	6157	626	7779	7172	415
BAKKEN	1-2016	23	5704	5862	688	9394	9078	99
BAKKEN	12-2015	31	7945	8148	794	14673	14370	86
BAKKEN	11-2015	30	8636	8433	941	15703	15493	0
BAKKEN	10-2015	30	8957	9146	1054	14345	13804	345
BAKKEN	9-2015	30	8520	8213	681	16447	10341	5896
BAKKEN	8-2015	31	8888	9153	796	16914	6180	10518
BAKKEN	7-2015	31	10863	11002	1333	20184	19081	886
BAKKEN	6-2015	30	10295	10306	1044	15883	15673	0
BAKKEN	5-2015	31	11035	10707	867	15752	15291	245
BAKKEN	4-2015	30	11438	11540	887	18487	9680	8597
BAKKEN	3-2015	31	10827	10941	710	12076	11640	219
BAKKEN	2-2015	28	9185	9137	545	9906	9304	406
BAKKEN	1-2015	31	12396	12796	746	25669	23287	2165
BAKKEN	12-2014	31	14458	14533	1039	15608	7239	8279
BAKKEN	11-2014	15	5675	5310	700	6660	0	6569
BAKKEN	10-2014	31	15260	15770	327	15982	10488	5277
BAKKEN	9-2014	9	6340	5735	189	6453	4390	2000
BAKKEN	8-2014	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2014	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	6-2014	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	5-2014	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	4-2014	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2014	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2014	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2014	12	3687	3884	267	6051	0	5967
BAKKEN	12-2013	31	9592	9693	746	15683	0	15655
BAKKEN	11-2013	30	9617	9333	672	19118	9096	9818
BAKKEN	10-2013	31	10431	10350	737	15710	9776	5718
BAKKEN	9-2013	30	10349	10160	709	15554	8589	6755
BAKKEN	8-2013	31	10993	11857	796	19539	259	19063
BAKKEN	7-2013	31	11322	10685	832	20788	118	20453
BAKKEN	6-2013	30	11367	11726	857	20668	1469	18989
BAKKEN	5-2013	31	12296	11792	899	21189	2404	18569
BAKKEN	4-2013	30	12559	12629	899	22272	3572	18490
BAKKEN	3-2013	31	13239	13234	957	20581	14810	5554
BAKKEN	2-2013	28	12583	12827	956	20032	18646	1190
BAKKEN	1-2013	31	14595	14442	1100	24827	12138	12472
BAKKEN	12-2012	31	15548	15648	1147	26279	5111	20951
BAKKEN	11-2012	30	16056	15916	1259	28149	12144	15795
BAKKEN	10-2012	31	17610	17767	1331	31020	19636	11167
BAKKEN	9-2012	30	18315	18366	1573	35704	13977	21517
BAKKEN	8-2012	31	21369	21695	1840	35574	29621	5735
BAKKEN	7-2012	30	21130	20982	1654	35137	26747	8180
BAKKEN	6-2012	30	24679	24635	2012	39531	36568	2753
BAKKEN	5-2012	31	27039	27530	1921	37796	37465	114
BAKKEN	4-2012	30	28742	28340	2082	38850	31887	6753
BAKKEN	3-2012	31	28251	28047	1752	36798	17981	18601
BAKKEN	2-2012	29	25501	25435	1381	30823	28037	2582
BAKKEN	1-2012	31	30034	30262	1553	40472	34573	5689
BAKKEN	12-2011	31	33358	33324	1563	40452	21462	18774
BAKKEN	11-2011	14	21284	20366	1177	24965	0	24867
BAKKEN	8-2011	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

The graphic: