January 23, 2019, T+21, Day 33 Of The Government Shutdown, Part 1

Where Americans are getting their AGW updates: from a 29-year-old bartender/NY congressional representative. I was mistaken. I thought she was a former waitress. But no, she was a bartender. I stand corrected. She is over-qualified for the US Congress.

Meanwhile, while the US House is pre-occupied with the inanities of Occasional Cortex, the US Senate will move ahead with confirmation hearings for 51 Trump judicial picks.

Meanwhile, "everyone" says that neither bill in the US Senate will pass which would end the partial government shutdown. The Democrat bill which does not include funding for the wall will not pass the US Senate (that's a given), nor will the Republican bill which does include funding for the wall. The former would provide funding only through February 8, 2019. The latter is a "permanent" end of the partial government closure and would extend the "DACA deadline" which is March 5, 2019.

DACA’s end really started on September 5, 2017, when the Trump administration stopped accepting new applications for the program. From October to March, approximately 122 immigrants each day had their DACA-issued work permits expire because they were unable to apply in time for renewals.

After March 5, that number might be as high as hundreds of immigrants a day. Estimates from the Migration Policy Institute suggest that over the two years starting on March 5, 2018, an average of 915 work permits issued under DACA will expire daily. US Citizenship and Immigration Services data suggests that the pace will start slow, with 425 immigrants losing work permits daily in March, but will pick up aggressively a few months later.

But due to some recent court decisions, it might not end up being that many.

A pair of federal court orders — one issued in California in January, and one issued in New York in February — have slowed DACA’s unraveling by allowing DACA recipients to apply for two-year renewals again. As a result, it’s actually impossible to tell how many immigrants are losing work permits on March 6 — and how many will have new ones that last through March 2020 or later.

 ISO New England: holding at $125/MWh.

ISO Australia, link here. In Victoria and South Australia, holding at $110/MWh but this afternoon will hit $14,500/MWh. And no one seems alarmed. Wow.