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Thursday, December 20, 2018

Saudi Arabia Announces A Record Budget -- December 20, 2018

Prior to this news story, it was forecast that Saudi's "break-even" price for oil is $84/bbl going into 2019. Let's see if this story provides the "new" "break-even" price for Saudi Arabia.

From oilprice:
  • Saudi Arabia's proposed 2019 budget: almost $300 billion 
    • seven percent (7%) more than 2018
    • breaks all previous spending records for Saudi Arabia
    • includes a hefty bill for cost-of-living allowances introduced this year
    • those allowances add an estimated $13 billion
    • the deficit will go to 4.2%; previous forecast at 2%
    • the sixth straight year of budget deficits for the kingdom
  • this year's (2018) deficit projected to be 4.6%
  • finally, at the end of the article, the break-even is estimated to be $88 but it's not clear if that takes into account all the new information
  • OPEC basket and Brent are each trading at around $55
  • simple arithmetic suggests that Saudi Arabia could be selling each bbl of oil at a loss of $33/bbl -- yes, I know
The number I will be tracking: 1,800,000 million Saudi Riyals. Ten-year graphic:


Before the market dropped, Jeff Bezos, in very rounded numbers, had a net worth of about $150 billion.

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