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Monday, February 5, 2018

The Outlook For US Condensate Looks Brighter -- Richard Zeits -- February 5, 2018

Continuing his discussion of the lights and the ultra-lights, Richard Zeits has a new essay on US condensates over at SeekingAlpha:
  • condensate for delivery in Asia are commanding strong premiums over crude benchmarks
  • U.S. condensate producers are well positioned to grow volumes in 2018, notwithstanding fundamental uncertainties in natural gas
  • U.S. super-rich gas plays have seen activity declines in the last three years but may experience a revival in 2018
  • Bakken oil: approximately 50° API
  • ultra-lights: 55.1°+ API
Condensates are typically low-sulphur crudes and are characterized by a low cost to process. Naphtha yields are obviously high (naphtha is used as gasoline blending components and petrochemical feedstocks). However, it is important to remember that heavier condensates also have significant middle distillate yields.
Naphtha-based ethylene margins in northeast Asia and middle distillate margins have been excellent in the last few months. At the same time, the supply of light sweet crude to Asia tightened a month ago due to the unforeseen interruption on the Forties Pipeline. As a result, demand for condensate has not been fully satisfied.
Another great introduction to condensates. Archived. 

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