Pages

Saturday, November 18, 2017

Saturday Morning Notes -- Nothing On The Bakken -- November 18, 2017

What a great country: seniors carry a lot of political weight. The standard monthly premium for Medicare Part B, which covers outpatient services and doctor's bills, will remain at $134 per month in 2018. One of the best deals in the world. Link here. The other best deal, lifetime national park passport for $10 for seniors, ended this past summer.  But many seniors, who were paying attention, bought a $10 pass for each car they own before the decade-deal ended. [Note: shortly after posting this, I got an interesting note from a reader regarding Medicare premiums for those who may hold significant mineral rights. I posted that note here.]

Quick: what do Spain, GE, Siemens, Vestas, and probably many others have in common? They all lost a lot of money and wasted a lot of time and resources on wind energy when it could have been used elsewhere. See more below.

Suncor: will increase production this year, spend less on CAPEX. The rise in production and fall in capital expenditure are expected to enable Suncor Energy to return more free cash flow to its stockholders through share buybacks and dividends.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or what you think you may have read here. The purpose of the Suncor note was to suggest that the oil sector continues to show signs of life.

Taxes and regulations. Yesterday I wrote, "I've lost interest in the tax bill. I agree with those who say the various versions appear simply to be replacing old loopholes with new loopholes; and, throwing a bone to the middle class. I strongly believe that tax cuts for US corporations will be good news for the US but the average "man on the street" won't see any change. And even though corporate tax cuts are good for the US, is it that much "good news" compared to other problems/solutions? I'm not convinced the tax code is the biggest problem for the Fortune 500 companies."

Today we have a great example: changes in rules and regulations will go a lot farther than tax reform will to make America more competitive: US regulator votes to loosen media ownership rules.
  • The U.S. Federal Communications Commission voted to undo key roadblocks to increased consolidation among media companies, potentially unleashing new deals among them.
  • Big media companies including Tegna, CBS and Nexstar Media have cited the rule change as motivating them to consider expansion opportunities. 
  • The Republican-led FCC voted 3-2 to eliminate the 42-year-old ban on cross-ownership of a newspaper and TV station in a major market. It also voted to make it easier for media companies to buy additional TV stations in the same market, and for local stations to jointly sell advertising time and for companies to buy additional radio stations in some markets.
Another example: Kochs are inching closer to becoming media moguls -- NY Times (behind a paywall, but can access it through Google).
Four years ago, Charles G. and David H. Koch seemed poised to control some of the country’s biggest newspapers. Known for using their vast wealth and network of donors to advance their brand of libertarian-infused conservatism, the titans of Koch Industries explored buying the Tribune Company’s eight newspapers, including The Los Angeles Times and The Chicago Tribune
They ended up not making a bid, and in an interview at the time with his hometown paper, The Wichita Eagle, Charles Koch suggested that Koch Industries was rethinking whether it was wise to enter such a troubled industry.
“There are tremendous changes going on in media,” Charles Koch said. “We’re back at square one, analyzing where is the most change, where are the best opportunities for new entrants to come in and add value?”
The answer, it appears, was the magazine business. In a move that came to light on Wednesday, the Kochs have tentatively agreed to back an offer by the magazine publisher Meredith Corporation for Time Inc., the owner of titles including Time, People and Sports Illustrated. Koch Industries, the sprawling industrial conglomerate controlled by the two brothers, plans to support the deal.
Favoring big firms, "sticking it to small investors," one more reason I no longer care about the tax "reform" bill being considered by Congress -- posted November 18, 2017.

Wind: it appears that Minnesotans are not the only ones pushing  back on wind energy -- at least in their own state. Today in Barron's:
The U.S. market, a trophy for Vestas Wind Systems is at risk of turning into a turkey, depending on how Washington's tax-reform push pans out.
Shares in the world's biggest manufacturer of wind turbines have tumbled more than 20% in November, whacked in part by worries about a potential hit to a production tax credit that has helped drive construction of U.S. wind farms. 
Weaker-than-expected quarterly results have sparked concerns about the Danish company's pricing power and also weighed on Vestas' stock. 
While bulls say the selloff appears overdone, those taking a cautious stance have a compelling story to tell. 
"If the U.S. were to go from hero to zero, that would mean a lot for Vestas' global position in this industry," warns Jacob Pedersen , head of equity analysis at Denmark's Sydbank. His bank has cut its rating on the shares to Hold from Buy this month, citing uncertainty around the production tax credit, or PTC, and the pricing pressures. 
Vestas has become the leader in its industry, ahead of rival wind-turbine makers such as GE and Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy. 
You may recall that Siemens recently announced it is cutting 7,000 jobs. I assumed it was due to wind energy and this story on Vestas seems to support that assumption. 
Much, much more at Barron's

You may recall that Siemens recently announced it is cutting 7,000 jobs. I assumed it was due to wind energy and this story on Vestas seems to support that assumption.

By the way, this is an interesting post from 2014 regarding GE, Siemens, and wind energy. How things have changed.

*********************************
The  Tesla Page

Classic "bait and switch" the other night.

Forget the Roadster and the Semi -- fate still hinges on the Model 3 -- The Verge.

Tesla, as it stands now, won't make it to 2019 -- CNBC.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.