Post-Shut-In-Production Jump In The Bakken -- February 2, 2017

Disclaimer: in a long note like this there will be typographical and factual errors. I have no formal training and no experience in the oil "business." I may be seeing things that don't exist. This may be all "alternate facts." There may be errors in the original data. If this is important to you, go to the source. Do not make any inferences or draw any conclusions (somewhat redundant) based on what you read here. This is for my own benefit, as I try to better understand the Bakken. Do not quote me on any of this. 

See also, the note of February 24, 2017.

This is pretty cool. About a month ago a reader alerted me to the Gudmunson wells in the Elidah oil field. Here was my note then:

A reader alerted me to the Gudmunson wells in the Elidah oil field. Note: the original Gudmunson well in this drilling unit was a CLR well; all subsequent Gudmunson wells in this drilling unit are BR wells. 

Note that the two producing Gudmunson wells (#19548, #25147) were taken off-line in October, 2016, which suggests that the operator is getting ready to frack neighboring wells. However, FracFocus does not yet have any frack documents for the four wells on SI/NC status (DUCs).

As noted, that was a few months ago. A reader alerted me to #19458. A big "thank you" to the reader.

Note the post-shut-in-production-jump (PSIPJ) for #19548 (production profile below). It's been said that any well will show an increase in production by being shut-in for a significant period of time (for purposes of this discussion a "significant" period of time would be about 3 to 7 months).

It appears the Bakken is so incredibly incredible that wells don't even have to be taken off that long for pressure to build up to result in "new" production that is significant (there's that word again; for purposes of discussion, I will define "significant" in this case at least a doubling of monthly production after coming back on line).

In the production profile below, this well was off-line for less than one month -- it looks like 26 days. Just prior to being take off-line, the severe Bakken decline had this well at 1,500 bbls of oil/month at best. After coming back on line, first full month:

• 25 days: 12,310 bbls oil (15,264 for a 31-day month); 12,900 MCF natural gas (2,666 boe for a 31-day month) = almost 18,000 boe for a 31-day month; vs 
• less than 2,000 boe in July, 2016, shortly before it was taken off-line.

Every so often, just when I'm getting tired of blogging, and thinking there is nothing else about the Bakken to surprise, something else pops up. As I've said before, the Bakken never ceases to amaze me.

At a later date, I will add a "significant" amount of more information (including graphics) but enough for now. 

[For experienced Bakkeneers, note the amount of produced water (19,394 bbls in November, 2016, and 12,282 bbls in December, 2016: that is produced water which the operators placed in the well while it was shut down. Water production will decrease significantly over the next few months.]

Monthly production profile:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	12-2016	25	12310	12164	12282	12900	7741	5159
BAKKEN	11-2016	16	8819	8931	19394	10194	6229	3965
BAKKEN	10-2016	5	111	474	338	254	254	0
BAKKEN	9-2016	30	1354	1152	498	3218	3218	0
BAKKEN	8-2016	31	1220	1138	695	2895	2895	0
BAKKEN	7-2016	31	1386	1360	535	3310	3310	0
BAKKEN	6-2016	28	1026	1142	458	2293	2278	15
BAKKEN	5-2016	31	1198	1335	517	2840	2840	0
BAKKEN	4-2016	30	1172	915	484	2811	2811	0
BAKKEN	3-2016	31	1292	1356	525	1845	1845	0
BAKKEN	2-2016	29	1215	1127	463	2122	2122	0
BAKKEN	1-2016	31	1285	1378	457	2683	2683	0
BAKKEN	12-2015	31	1374	1398	497	3074	3011	63
BAKKEN	11-2015	29	1279	1388	503	3006	2931	75
BAKKEN	10-2015	31	1353	1111	556	3447	3447	0
BAKKEN	9-2015	30	1269	1395	485	3228	2798	430
BAKKEN	8-2015	31	1337	1124	523	2885	2245	640
BAKKEN	7-2015	31	1430	1539	500	3246	2046	1200
BAKKEN	6-2015	30	1350	1346	512	3545	3545	0
BAKKEN	5-2015	31	1501	1538	525	3750	3750	0
BAKKEN	4-2015	30	1447	1304	493	3510	3510	0
BAKKEN	3-2015	31	1485	1727	488	3793	3793	0
BAKKEN	2-2015	28	1439	1561	378	3621	3621	0
BAKKEN	1-2015	31	1642	1558	547	4191	3103	1088
BAKKEN	12-2014	31	1730	1749	617	4010	3995	15
BAKKEN	11-2014	30	2018	1969	732	4113	4113	0
BAKKEN	10-2014	24	1174	1479	583	2885	2870	15
BAKKEN	9-2014	30	2008	1501	750	4652	4652	0
BAKKEN	8-2014	23	1245	1498	662	3291	3291	0
BAKKEN	7-2014	31	1841	1873	668	4411	4411	0
BAKKEN	6-2014	29	1713	1348	663	3890	3790	100
BAKKEN	5-2014	30	1750	2291	575	4089	4089	0
BAKKEN	4-2014	29	1817	1668	582	3436	3436	0
BAKKEN	3-2014	24	1450	1464	562	3243	3168	75
BAKKEN	2-2014	28	1679	1378	622	4392	4072	320
BAKKEN	1-2014	31	1865	1869	778	5560	5460	100
BAKKEN	12-2013	31	2005	2108	753	6187	5817	370
BAKKEN	11-2013	30	2357	2392	862	6596	6596	0
BAKKEN	10-2013	31	2139	1874	720	4668	4233	435
BAKKEN	9-2013	30	2212	2324	722	4478	4478	0
BAKKEN	8-2013	31	2172	2215	748	4354	4354	0
BAKKEN	7-2013	31	2350	2236	787	4423	4423	0
BAKKEN	6-2013	30	2142	2313	1243	3584	3584	0
BAKKEN	5-2013	31	2274	2272	715	3975	3815	160
BAKKEN	4-2013	24	1679	1536	790	4408	4408	0
BAKKEN	3-2013	31	2475	2555	827	6705	6705	0
BAKKEN	2-2013	28	2246	2164	817	6574	6474	100
BAKKEN	1-2013	31	2537	2714	920	8460	8460	0
BAKKEN	12-2012	31	2816	2496	1158	10093	9753	340
BAKKEN	11-2012	30	3103	3361	765	8222	8222	0
BAKKEN	10-2012	31	3062	3031	624	6715	6715	0
BAKKEN	9-2012	30	3181	3196	680	6728	6728	0
BAKKEN	8-2012	31	3350	3371	711	6571	6571	0
BAKKEN	7-2012	31	3738	3678	937	10180	9730	450
BAKKEN	6-2012	17	4293	4069	938	7153	6853	300
BAKKEN	5-2012	15	1845	1930	475	6036	5936	100
BAKKEN	4-2012	29	4819	5182	1486	11738	9983	1755
BAKKEN	3-2012	18	3327	3052	921	5389	5389	0
BAKKEN	2-2012	29	4855	4892	1039	9001	7081	1920
BAKKEN	1-2012	31	6246	6217	1538	14764	13169	1595
BAKKEN	12-2011	31	7906	7894	1758	15466	12666	2800
BAKKEN	11-2011	30	11464	11522	2582	20678	20178	500
BAKKEN	10-2011	22	14450	14173	4588	3518	0	3518
BAKKEN	9-2011	5	667	641	0	0	0	0