Re-Worked Or Re-Fracked? OXY USA Raphael Stroh Well -- July 22, 2015

Updates

October 8, 2016, production profile updated:

Monthly Production Data

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	8-2016	16	1211	870	729	848	525	127
BAKKEN	7-2016	31	2578	2584	1539	1469	1078	0
BAKKEN	6-2016	30	2597	2870	1710	1721	1071	207
BAKKEN	5-2016	31	2821	2816	1727	1582	1215	16
BAKKEN	4-2016	30	2838	2661	1738	1697	1014	226
BAKKEN	3-2016	31	3181	3125	1877	2082	1330	253
BAKKEN	2-2016	29	3226	3205	1799	1955	1243	128
BAKKEN	1-2016	31	3606	3676	2224	2179	1652	144
BAKKEN	12-2015	31	3862	4013	2136	2025	1476	154
BAKKEN	11-2015	30	4011	3929	2292	1993	590	1130
BAKKEN	10-2015	31	4432	4501	2682	2202	1739	177
BAKKEN	9-2015	30	4479	4372	3175	1083	808	0
BAKKEN	8-2015	31	4734	4882	3169	2154	1864	0
BAKKEN	7-2015	31	5011	4866	3845	1919	1626	0
BAKKEN	6-2015	30	4876	4865	4234	1830	1544	2
BAKKEN	5-2015	31	4789	4670	4934	1108	818	0
BAKKEN	4-2015	30	4131	4586	11130	582	213	94
BAKKEN	3-2015	31	3495	3671	7671	478	30	175

July 23, 2015: see first comment; the answer may be -- fracking in neighboring well(s); halo effect. The original post was fairly short; I have added a lot to it at the bottom. It remains a mystery but we know part of the answer. 

Original Post

I don't know; maybe a reader does, but probably not re-fracked:

• 21333, 108, Lime Rock Resources/OXY USA, Raphael Stroh 2-13-24H-143-97, Fayette oil field, 20 stages; 2 million lbs, 12K in April; down to 2K in June;  t2/12; back up to 5K in May,2015; cum 229K 8/16; only 16 days in 8/16;

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2015	31	4789	4670	4934	1108	818	0
BAKKEN	4-2015	30	4131	4586	11130	582	213	94
BAKKEN	3-2015	31	3495	3671	7671	478	30	175
BAKKEN	2-2015	11	1111	461	3297	109	11	2
BAKKEN	1-2015	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2014	0	0	0	0	1	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2014	20	1770	2059	596	977	829	0
BAKKEN	10-2014	30	2655	2713	1204	1242	1234	0

A couple notes:

• for whatever reason OXY USA took this well off-line, they did so during the slump in oil prices, doing something to increase production
• I don't think it was a re-frack but the amount of water coming back up in April, 2015, suggests it might have been re-fracked 
• the fact that there was some new flaring suggests it might have been re-fracked

The most recent sundry form was dated December, 2014, well before whatever occurred at the end of November, 2014.

Update: after receiving the first update, I went back and checked some neighboring wells. On the same pad, but running in the opposite direction, this well has a similar production profile (but not an increase in monthly production as noted in the Raphael Stroh well:

21334, 755, OXY USA, Kenneth Stroh 2-12-1H-143-97, Cabernet, t5/12; cum 197K 5/15:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2015	31	3192	2861	1622	1724	0	1453
BAKKEN	4-2015	30	3206	3184	1977	1731	5	1463
BAKKEN	3-2015	31	2809	2897	2774	1500	0	1234
BAKKEN	2-2015	19	928	910	2219	416	0	266
BAKKEN	1-2015	0	0	0	0	2	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2014	0	0	0	0	3	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2014	20	2587	2491	529	1480	1332	0
BAKKEN	10-2014	30	3681	4103	1213	1856	1849	0
BAKKEN	9-2014	30	3667	3400	1222	1697	1697	0
BAKKEN	8-2014	31	3889	4113	1266	1813	1813	0

The third well on this pad is currently SI/NC:

• 29600, SI/NC, OXY USA, Kenneth Stroh 3-12-1H-143-97, Cabernet, Three Forks, 1280-acre; it looks like the horizontal will be a bit shorter than a typical "long lateral";

This well will be interesting to follow up on when it is completed.

My hunch: putting everything together: this well, #29600, was recently stimulated and it affected the neighboring Raphael Stroh well, but did not affect the other well on the pad which ran the opposite direction.

Now to look at the next well over, to the east:

• 28757, 633, OXY USA, Kenneth Stroh 4-12-1H-143-97, Cabernet, 40 stages, 3.5 million lbs; stimulated 12/19/2014;  t2/15; cum 43K 5/15;

The production profile:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2015	31	12467	12566	10815	6621	4765	1340
BAKKEN	4-2015	16	6677	6470	6406	3460	1272	1988
BAKKEN	3-2015	20	10175	10656	10419	5463	2403	2650
BAKKEN	2-2015	24	13408	12696	8597	6285	2043	3798

This is very interesting. This well was stimulated the very same month (December 19, 2015) that the Raphael Stroh and the Kenneth Stroh #2 were take off-line. It's hard to believe that a well this far away from the Raphael Stroh would have any effect, but if the  Kenneth Stroh #3 (#29600) was not stimulated at this time, then .... We will have to wait to see when Kenneth Stroh #3 was stimulated.

Note: this note was done quickly; it was not proofread. I may have misread something; thre ma be factual and typographical errors. This post is still in progress. If this information is imporant to you go to the source.

Where we stand now: it appears production jumped a bit on the Raphael Stroh due to some neighoring fracking but we don't know which well. We might (should?) have the answer when the frack data/stimulation date of #29600, Kenneth Stroh #3 becomes available.