Declines underway in jobless claim point squarely to improvement underway
in the labor market. Initial claims fell 3,000 in the July 12 week to
302,000. The 4-week average is also down 3,000, to 309,000 which is a
new recovery low.
Continuing
claims, reported with a one-week lag, tell the same story. Continuing
claims in data for the July 5 week fell 79,000 to a recovery low of
2.507 million. The 4-week average is down 13,000 to 2.559 million, also a
recovery low. The unemployment rate for insured workers is down 1 tenth
to a recovery low of 1.9 percent.
But this report is solid and will
raise expectations for another strong employment report for July.
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