Pages

Thursday, June 9, 2011

Natural Gas Five Cents From a Tipping Point -- Update: Not So Fast!

Update

June 9, 2011, 2:00 p.m. -- Well, that was quite a turnaround. Down 16 cents now, natural gas is back to $4.68, well below the $4.95 we saw earlier. Even CNBC reported on the "plunge" earlier this morning. They were looking into whether there was some kind of glitch with the sudden drop, but a spokesman said the trades were valid and would stick.

So here we are, back to $4.68, but sill headed in the right direction.

Original Post

I'm not going to look for the link because it would take too much time, but about a year ago, I assume, I commented that I wouldn't buy shares in EOG until natural gas went above $5.00.

After posting that, EOG announced a strategic plan to shift to oil, and away from natural gas, at which time I bought some shares in EOG.

However, the transformation from a natural gas focus to an oil focus continues, and in the meantime, EOG and other natural gas producers are going to benefit from higher natural gas prices.

I see this morning that natural gas is five cents away from $5.00. Very, very interesting, how these things sneak up on folks. Remember: historically natural gas generally had its price spike in the autumn as folks gear up for winter heating. Something is going on in the natural gas arena and I'm not exactly sure what. It may be due to fact that utilities are switching from coal to natural gas in this country, or see the writing on the wall, that the EPA is about to make coal much more expensive, making a switch to natural gas economical.