Operation Epic Fury
Day 7: March 6, 2026 -- Friday: for all intents and purposes, the kinetic war is over;
- Israel, US will continue with strategic and tactical plans to meet all of Trump's goals.
- "truce," will not be in the cards until there is a recognized "authority" in Iran who has the UN-approved / Trump -- approved credential / authority to negotiate.
- US Secretary of War will ask staff to get out the binder that was used during the end of WWII, Pacific Theater.
Day 6: March 5, 2026
Day 5: March 4, 2026
- WTI: flat; trading at $74.60
- first Israeli air-to-air kill; F-35; first kill by F-35 ever by any country
- very, very surprised -- with 2,000 targets in opening days -- every airfield not taken out
- pet peeve: lack of military information coming out of current Iran conflict
- for example, turns out, all three US bomber types deployed in initial wave
- boots-on-ground talk -- but it won't be American boots-on-ground; Kurds eager to move in.
- Iranian navy sunk
- air dominance; intelligence dominance (vs superiority)
- leadership targeted:
- Khamenei +50: killed in opening salvo
- 2nd tier: killed when trying to establish new government
- 3rd tier: planned to meet; planned location destroyed; number of killed unknown
- Iranian strategy: drag out war; war of attrition; US-Israel can't carry on forever
- five weeks is a pretty long time
- Tehran: water supply not getting the attention it deserves
Day 4: March 3, 2026
- WTI: midday, $74.29.
- WSJ with long article on shortage of anti-missile defense getting serious
- WTI spike again, suggesting things are getting worse, not better
- it's always darkest before the dawn
- unless I missed it, no significant US / Israeli casualties overnight
Day 3: March 2, 2026
- WTI: $70.91
- Spain says US not allowed to use Spanish bases for Operation Epic Fury.
- B-2s were first in (37-hour round trip); B-1s joined Operation Epic Fury this date (March 2, 2026); B-52s on their way -- Britain gave US "limited use" permission for RAF Fairford and Diego Garcia -- as of late yesterday.
- DHS remain unfunded
- this is what happens when one allows a Hitler-like regime / religious zealot regime to exist for 37 years (1989 - 2026)
- non-military targets are now legitimate targets
- if Iran closes the strait, Saudi's gloves come off
- the war will quickly expand from a US-Israel operation to a US-Israel-Saudi operation;
- if not, the outcome for everyone will quickly get worse;
- does Saudi's prince have what it takes to become a warfighter?
- with regard to the UK / Britain, I think the US and Israel learned how good a friend that country is to the US and to Israel. Two words: "not very."
Day 2: March 1, 2026
- Iran strikes back
- Great Britain: allows US to use its bases for limited support
- B-1s, B-2s, and B-52s will end this war
- some in Iran are said to be already trying to negotiate with Trump
- negotiations can't begin until Iran has some semblance of leadership:
- that will happen
- but until then, Israel and the US will trend toward destroying Iran as we know it
Day 1: February 28, 2026
- opening gambit: take out Khamenei and top leadership
- Great Britain refuses to ally with the US
- Europe has indicated it will sit this one out