Locator: 51810APPLE.
Tag: Apple AAPL
Locator: 51809B.
WTI: $91.55 -- at close last night; overnight, at the open this morning -- $93.69. Okay.
New wells reporting:
RBN Energy: variations in crude oil quality make on-spec delivery critical for global refiners. Link here. Archived.
As anyone who has ever bought a used car knows, appearances can be deceiving. Two vehicles may look nearly identical from the outside, but what’s under the hood can make all the difference in performance, reliability and value. The same principle applies to crude oil, as barrels that meet the same basic specifications can still behave very differently once they reach a refinery. In today’s RBN blog, we conclude our look at crude quality by examining why maintaining consistent specifications has become more challenging as Permian production has grown, blending practices have evolved, and WTI Midland has become a cornerstone of global crude pricing.
As discussed in Part 1, crude oil is not a uniform commodity; each stream has a unique chemical composition that affects its value and how it performs throughout the supply chain. The two primary measures of crude quality are API gravity (density) and sulfur content. In general, crude oils above about 35 degrees (°) API are considered light (blue-shaded rows in Figure 1 below); those between roughly 25° and 35° API fall into the medium category (pink-shaded rows); and anything lower than 25° is heavy (green-shaded rows). Sweet crude has relatively little sulfur, typically less than about 0.5%, while sour crude contains more than that. Light, sweet crudes generally produce higher yields of valuable products like gasoline, diesel and jet fuel with less refining, while heavier or more sulfur-rich crudes require additional processing and involve higher costs. Other quality factors — including distillation characteristics, molecular composition, carbon residue, acidity, metals and mercaptans — also influence refinery efficiency, equipment reliability, catalyst performance and overall market value.
Locator: 51808B.
Big Beef rumors today:
Big Oil rumors today: US government could impose a 90-day pause in diesel exports;
Big news today: education.
Big news tomorrow:
The US equity markets: down one-half to one and a half percent across all major indices.
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Back to the Bakken
WTI: $92.83. Up $2.31.
Active rigs: 31.
Four new oil and gas permits --
A producing well (a DUC) reported as completed:
The Brakken FIU wells are tracked here.
Locator: 51807EDUCATION.
Phil Knight: wiki.
Today's announcement:
Look at these headlines:
This story has so many story lines.
I think it's agreed: the alignment between needs and supply, there is a huge misalignment in US graduate and post-graduate education.
From the linked article:
The unscheduled phone call turned out to be worth $1 billion.
University of Oregon leaders have long been accustomed to big checks from Phil Knight, a Nike co-founder whose surname is splashed on everything from the library to the law center. When Mr. Knight called Oregon’s president this year, though, he and his wife, Penny, had a greater gift in mind: the largest known contribution to a public flagship university in the United States.
Oregon announced the donation, which will go toward starting an engineering college, on Wednesday, bringing the Knight family’s known total giving to Oregon to more than $2 billion.
But the contribution underscores how even the biggest gifts rarely erase financial strains at places like Oregon, which is weighing millions of dollars in fresh budget cuts as enrollment ebbs. Declining birthrates suggest a darkening outlook for colleges in the coming years as the number of children drops, and the Trump administration is pursuing a vigorous campaign to overhaul — and reduce — federal research funding.
Cornell University, link here. The full 238-page report, a pdf at this link: https://provost.cornell.edu/_files/initiatives/future-of-the-american-university-full-report.pdf.
I think most agree: most current successful business leaders would have done this in a ten-page memo. President Trump would have done it with a series of social media tweets. I doubt Phil Knight will read this 238-page paper.
If I decide to come back to this issue, it will be at this link. Link here: https://share.google/aimode/uWoDs6msUKW5HiMRw.
Locator: 51806CITIES.
AI Czar: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent?
Cornell: confronts a crisis. Link here. The college fix.
Cornell University maintains an enrollment of approximately 26,793 students alongside more than 2,900 faculty members. The institution also employs roughly 7,764 full-time administrative and support personnel.
Cities by GDP:
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Back to the Bakken
WTI: $90.13.
New wells reporting:
RBN Energy: with refining capacity to spare, China could help ease global gasoline, diesel crunch. Link here. Archived.
It’s no secret that rising prices this year for refined products (especially gasoline and diesel) have drawn scorn from consumers, businesses and politicians alike. But while no obvious remedy appears likely in the very near term, that doesn’t mean the market is stuck indefinitely, as some major refiners, especially China, still have the capacity to boost output and exports. In today’s RBN blog, we look at how China could help stabilize the refined products market.
China could play a major role in restoring market balance, but let’s look at how we got here before we dive into those details. As we noted in Basket Case, the U.S.-Iran conflict has created one of the most significant disruptions to global petroleum markets in decades, with much of the market attention focused on crude oil and the loss of flows through the Strait of Hormuz. As we discussed in Stuck in a (Gulf) You Can’t Get Out Of, the volume of products flowing out of the strait has plummeted since the start of the war. After averaging an aggregate 3.3 MMb/d in January and February (sum of stacked areas in Figure 1 below), they cratered in the following months, dropping to as little as 100 Mb/d in April (dashed blue circle) as the three-month moving average (dashed red line) plunged.