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Thursday, March 5, 2026

Day 6: WTI Spikes -- March 5, 2026

Locator: 50144WTI.

WTI: just spiked 5.61%; spiked $4.19 / bbl; now trading at $78.85

Comes after the Strait of Hormuz grinds to a halt after Iran launches huge number of retaliatory strikes against Israel and US air bases in the region following US sinking of Iranian frigate. Azerbaijan also struck. 

 

Huge Bakken Well Being Reported -- 39388 -- BR's Watchman Peak 1-8-11MBH -- March 5, 2026

Locator: 50143B. 

WTI: just spiked 5.61%; spiked $4.19 / bbl; now trading at $78.85

Just when I thought it was going to be a boring day a reader sends me this! 

A huge thanks to the reader who caught this. I missed it (at least a quick search of the blog I did not see it).

From October 12, 2011: fifteen years ago! Link here.  All these wells are doing incredibly well in early production:

  • Watchman wells; and,
  • Devils Backbone wells. 

From January 17, 2026:

One producing well (a DUC) reported as completed:

  • 39388, 954, BR, Watchman Peak 1-8-11MBH, Westberg, t1/25; cum 475K 1/26; McKenzie County; t 1/1/25; 57 stages; volume fluid to frac: 270,934 bbls; lbs proppant: 5,929,692; spacing: 2 / 11 / 14 / 23 - 152 - 97. Halo effect? Yes.

Full production profile:

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN1-2026318458584508146128804687211775
BAKKEN12-2025304177641788222961273251261171130
BAKKEN11-2025303570135723214781220261208311117
BAKKEN10-2025305347153432317491501231464243579
BAKKEN9-2025222345823536172615762456880690
BAKKEN8-20252127853278602437775746739281743
BAKKEN7-2025312865228604197047554674570869
BAKKEN6-20252925235251611425254080522411779
BAKKEN5-20253026308263441429864679631071514
BAKKEN4-20252724131240641376458451566191779
BAKKEN3-2025141180411972728329958277632166
BAKKEN2-20252745076450902048711945210133518034
BAKKEN1-202524472534703798331122791058806347
BAKKEN12-20240000000
BAKKEN11-20240000000
BAKKEN10-20240000000
BAKKEN9-202400002660266

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The Maps
 

 

Back To Cramer? March 5, 2026

Locator: 50142ENERPLUS. 

I haven't watched a minute of Cramer (or CNBC, for that matter) since last week, once Operation EPIC Fury began. The news simply becomes too crazy. One exception: I did watch CNBC report on AVGO's earnings. Found the reporting fairly lackluster. CNBC even went to commercial break just as the numbers broke. I got the news first on the internet.

So, I'll probably turn CNBC on for ten minutes to see Cramer and then go from there.  

***********************************
Cramer's First Ten Minutes

S&P 500 rallies: market is back to green for the year.

Individual mom-and-pop retail: buying on the dip -- big time.

Intergenerational wealth transfer.

First stock mentioned: AVGO -- "up big."

BRK: CEO says they're back to resuming buybacks and will do buybacks EVERY year.  
Cramer: getting tired of BRK's "powder dry, powder dry, powder dry." Time for BRK to get rid of that strategy.  

Yeah, it's time to go biking

 ***********************************
What Comes Next?

March Madness can't come soon enough (March 17, 2026).

PGA: Arnold Palmer Invitational starts today.

Biking: I'll be biking by 8:30 a.m.

Investing? "Saving" cash to fund Roth IRAs for two older granddaughters.  

PSA: Enerplus 1099s Are Arriving -- March 5, 2026

Locator: 50142ENERPLUS. 

I can't verify this but I'm being told by some readers that Enerplus 1099s are now being received.  

Three Stocks Of Interest -- March 5, 2026

Locator: 50141INVESTING. 

Note: in a long note like this, there will be typographical and content errors. This blog is not meant for readers other than my extended family, but I post the blog without restrictions because this is the fastest way I can get information to my extended family members. This is not an investment site. See blog's disclaimer. Please feel free to fact check. Comments are heavily moderated.  

BKR: resuming buybacks. Anything to get the price of BRK back up.

Micron (MU): on news of LPDRAMS

Broadcom (AVGO):

  • Motley Fool: link here.
  • Broadcom's earnings confirm that demand for AI continues to accelerate. Stock market action regarding AVGO follows a similar trend after earning report -- pre-market -- 

Shay, link here:

  • and profit / revenue increased from 20% to 40%.  

Copper, link here:

**********************************
Disclaimer 
Briefly

Briefly

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom.
  • Thursday -- March 5, 2026

    Locator: 50140B.

    Operation EPIC Fury: a quick scan of news overnight suggests nothing new. The Kurd development yesterday will probably turn out to be an incredibly big story. Time to get familiar with the map of Iran: 

    • provinces: West Azerbaijan, Kurdistan, Kermanshah, and Ilam
      • Zagros Mountain region
      • Iranian Kurdistan: Rojhelat
    • cities: 
      • Kermashah (largest Kurdish-populated city in Iran; major hub for Southern Kurdish
      • Saandaj (Sine): capital of Kurdistan Province
      • Marivan: a key, rapidly growing city on the border with Kraqi Kurdistan Region
      • Saqqez: Kurdistan Province, a hub of Kurdish political activity
    • for full list: use a chatbot prompt

    Turkey: a minor story that could become a major story -- when and how will Turkey get involved?

    Iran's mobile and menacing missile launchers: slowly, but slowly being removed from action, link here:

    • ballistic missile launches down 86% since beginning of hostilities;
    • drone launches: down 73%;
    • loitering a/c over identified sites are taking out majority of such launches.



     

    Amazing if accurate: no US civilian casualties reported? 

    *************************************
    Back to the Bakken 

    WTI: $76.65. Up 2.7% overnight; up $2.00 overnight.

    New wells reporting

    • Monday, March 9, 2026: 9 for the month, 115 for the quarter, 115 for the year,
      • None.
    • Sunday, March 8, 2026: 9 for the month, 115 for the quarter, 115 for the year,
      • None.
    • Saturday, March 7, 2026: 9 for the month, 115 for the quarter, 115 for the year,
      • 41602, conf, BR, Sivertson 6E, 
      • 40632, conf, Hess, EN-Hanson A-155-94-0607H-5, 
    • Friday, March 6, 2026: 7 for the month, 113 for the quarter, 113 for the year,
      • None.
    • Thursday, March 5, 2026: 7 for the month, 113 for the quarter, 113 for the year,
      • None.

    RBN Energy: US propane's wild journey from lab discovery to vital consumer fuel. Link here.

    Today, U.S. propane is a $75 billion-a-year business involving a maze of natural gas processing plants and salt caverns connected to pipelines, fractionators, rail facilities, truck racks, retail tanks and export docks. But like many vital energy industries, the propane business began with a handful of scientists and entrepreneurs who experimented with something they didn’t really understand. Over decades of development, propane has powered Olympic kitchens, lifted hot-air balloons across the English Channel, and helped turn a quiet “mount” of southeastern Texas into the center of the global NGL universe. Along the way, propane attracted larger-than-life personalities and true “born to be wild” characters who pushed the business forward in unique ways. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll discuss the history of U.S. propane. 

    Money Market Fund Assets -- March 5, 2026

    Locator: 50139MMF.

    My favorite chart. 

    Money Market Fund Assets. It will be interesting to see how the Operation EPIC FURY affects MMF assets.

    Link here