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Wednesday, October 9, 2024

Tesla 10-10 Tomorrow — So Much Happening Tomorrow — And It’s Only Thursday — The Mets Move On — October 9, 2024

Locator: 48544ARCHIVES.

Was this the best on that album?

Link here.


On another note: Bobby Darin >>> Frank Sinatra. Wow, memories are powerful tonight.

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Disclaimer 
Brief Reminder 

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia.

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Random Thought

Investors not fully invested in the Magnificent Seven are overthinking this. Not to be taken out of context. One may want to scroll through twitter tonight. Everything, everywhere happening all at once.

Estimated 2025 Social Security COLA For 2025 -- October 9, 2024

Locator: 48543SOCIALSECURITY.

Updates

October 19, 2024: SSA announced today, as predicted -- a 2.5% COLA. 

Original Post

Link here.

The 2025 COLA is estimated to be 2.5% compared to 3.2% last year.

Amazing how fast this is "correcting."

There are many, many story lines in this graphic, most of which CNBC won't be discussing.

Second anniversary of the "bull market." Many mentions on CNBC today of this being the second anniversary of the current bull market. Yes, I know ... but I'm having trouble not seeing a bull market since 2009 with very, very minor interruptions of no consequence (in hindsight). People that can’t see a bull market since 2009 (and possibly even as far back as 1996) will never be satisfied. 


And having said that:

  • my dad was an avid investor between: 1977 and 2015
    • the Dow Jones Industrial:
      • 1977: 2,000
      • 2015: 17,000
      • over a time span of 38 years
      • an average of 400 points / year
  • I began investing in 1984 but didn't reach my investing stride until 2007
    • the Dow Jones Industrial:
      • 2007: 14,000
      • 2024: 42,000
      • over a time span of 17 years.
      • an average of 1650 points / year
  • For whatever that's worth. Except that I had it easier than my dad. And he left his kids quite a bit including each with a college education and no college debt. And great memories.

Nvidia, TSMC, Apple -- Today -- Mid-Day Trading -- TSM's Sales Rise 40% Y/Y -- October 9, 2024

Locator: 48542TECH.

On top of this news earlier this week:

Foxconn: to build Nvidia's superchip factory in Mexico.

Mid-day trading:

Nvidia, TSM:

Link here.

From the linked article, TSM's sales rise 40% y/y:

Nvidia stock was hovering a few dollars shy of its record high in Wednesday morning trading.
The latest figures from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing TSM could provide another boost to shares.
A string of recent gains has left Nvidia close to its record closing high—adjusted for stock splits—of around $135, hit in June. Nvidia shares, at around $133, were trading between gains and losses shortly after the opening bell.
The stock closed up 4.1% on Tuesday. Sales figures from Nvidia’s key supplier TSM (and Apple's key supplie) are a possible catalyst for the stock today. On Wednesday, the company (TSM) reported a 40% rise in its September sales from the same month last year. That brought the Taiwanese chip manufacturer’s third-quarter sales to 759.69 billion New Taiwan dollars, or $23.58 billion overall. The company didn’t offer detailed commentary alongside the monthly sales figure but has previously said it expected revenue of $22.4 billion to $23.2 billion for the third quarter overall.

Without question, the "AppEconomy" graphics at twitter are going to be quite remarkable. 

Tickers today in mid-day trading: 

AAPL up 35% in the past six months.


Both TSM and NVDA are trading flat to slightly negative today.

*******************************
Disclaimer
Brief Reminder 

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia.

Cramer's Last Hour -- Part 1 -- October 9, 2024 -- Google With Nobel Prize; Now Government Wants To Dismantle Google -- No Good Deed Goes Unpunished -- October 9, 2024

Locator: 48541CRAMER.

Cramer's first hour: a mix of facts, factoids, opinions from various sources -- often not cited -- while listening to Cramer's first hour on CNBC.  

Nobel laureates: Nobel Prize in Chemistry -- half to David Baker and half to Demis Hassabis and John Jumper, all for work with proteins.

  • Baker: University of Washington, "computational protein design."
  • Hassabis and Jumper: Google DeepMind artificial intelligence lab, "protein structure prediction."

Irony: on the day that the big government / business story -- it's time to break up Google. No good deed goes unpunished.

Weekly EIA petroleum report, link here:

  • US oil in storage: 4% below the five-year average despite a build of 5.8 million bbls;
  • refiners at an astounding low 86.7%;
  • jet fuel supplied: up an astounding 9.2% y/y.

**********************************
Disclaimer
Brief Reminder 

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia.

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Back to the Bakken

WTI: $73.12.

Thursday, October 10, 2024: 22 for the month; 21 for the quarter, 536 for the year
40273, conf, Empire North Dakota LLC, Nuthatch 29-12 1H,

Wednesday, October 9, 2024: 21 for the month; 21 for the quarter, 535 for the year
None.

RBN Energy: Orla, Texas, Permian's westernmost crude hub, surrounded by lower-quality oil. Archived.

In the far western reaches of the Permian Basin lies Orla, TX — a town steeped in history and significance. Orla, which can be fittingly translated into “border” in Spanish, is about 40 miles north of Pecos, near the New Mexico border in Reeves County

Founded in 1890 as a section house for the Pecos Valley Railroad, Orla evolved from a modest stop along the tracks to a bustling oil supply hub — not your typical hub with lots of tank farms close together but still a heavy throughput area — by the 1960s. 

Though often considered a ghost town today, with a population thought to be in the single digits, Orla remains a vital player in the oil industry. As the origin region for several major takeaway pipelines in the Permian, this once-thriving community continues to serve as a crucial link in the region’s vast network of oil exploration, extraction and transportation, particularly along heavily traveled U.S. Highway 285. In today’s RBN blog, we look at the role that Orla plays in crude oil takeaway from the prolific Permian Basin. 

Permian Crude Oil Pipelines

Figure 1. Permian Crude Oil Pipelines. Source: RBN Crude Oil Permian

So how does Orla (dashed red circle in Figure 1 above) fit into the broader landscape of Permian oil takeaway capacity? Orla, the Permian’s westernmost crude oil hub, is “where it all begins” — that is, the boundary for Permian crude production and where a few long-haul pipelines originate.