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Friday, May 10, 2024

Energy Transition Supercycle -- Stephanie Link -- CNBC -- May 10, 2024

Locator: 47111ENERYTRANSITIONSUPERCYCLE.

Stephanie Link, excerpt from CNBC interview, May 10, 2024:

  • utilities: igniting higher
    • utilities and electrification, electrical stocks: energy transition supercycle
    • green, clean, grid, power, data center, and, of course AI
  • by 2050: $4 trillion on all of this "stuff": technology plus infrastructure
  • earnings have come in much better than expected;
    • 30% year/year
  • mindboggling the amount of power needs for data centers: coming from CEOs of many companies

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The  Book Page

Light reading for a couple of days: The Northeast Corridor: The Trains, The History, The People, The Region, David Alff, 2024.


TSM Surges -- Friday, May 10, 2024

Locator: 47110INV.

Utilities: this week the big story -- utilities. Exhibit A: SRE -- 

Economy: CNBC talking head says we should call it a victory and say it was a soft landing. I call it a touch and go.

All three major indices green at the close

NOVAVAX doubles today.  Link here.

TSLA: drops below $170 support.

  • AWOL: Cathy Wood, ARKK, haven't seen her on CNBC for several weeks now

F: another EV company. On another record-setting day on the DOW, F settles down slightly.

Yesterday I wrote:

  • it still boggles my mind what Buffett sold in the past six months. 

Exhibit A: TSM



Instead he bought back his own shares
-- this is not just the last few days, but a full year:


It's almost as if folks
  • don't believe the AI story, and/or
  • they're really fearful.

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Re-Posting

Locator: 47107INV.

This was the big discussion on CNBC -- whether the "bull market" has staying power. And not once -- oh, there it is -- the Bank of America spokesperson -- he's got it exactly right -- said what is said below, posted back in April 7, 2024. Says to look back to the 1990s -- an incredible decade.

Is anyone paying attention to the oil sector and AAPL:

  • CVX: up $2.47, up 1.52%;
  • AAPL: up almost 1%; up $1.59
  • it still boggles my mind what Buffett sold in the past six months.

Snow. The number of articles on Buffett / Snow seems out of proportion to his overall holdings. Currently SNOW represents about 0.3% of his entire equity portfolio. Even if SNOW's share price triples it won't move the needle for BRK. And lately, it's not been proving to be a very good investment regardless:

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Disclaimer: Briefly

Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market, I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple.

See disclaimer. This is not an investment site.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. 

All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market, I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple.

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The Book Page 

The Upper East Side.

Bill Rudin, CNBC, May 10, 2024, NYC real estate.

Best seven neighborhoods to live in, in Manhattan: link here

  • bottom line:
  • lower east side
  • upper east side
  • upper west side
  • and then, the lower west side, with multiple smaller areas, but essentially:
    • banking, financial, what we in the midwest think NYC is all about
    • Flatiron 
    • financial (FiDi)

Link here.

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Soccer Last Night 

Playing through a fast-moving storm and a tornado warning, Sophia's soccer team played an incredibly good game and won 2 - 0. 

TGIF -- May 10, 2024

Locator: 47109B.

Yes, I know, Cu could have a huge untimely fall. And if it does? A great buying opportunity. 

No recommendation. See disclaimers.

Copper, link here

SCCO:

Of interest today: CRH.

UK economy: emerges from recession with 0.6% growth. Compare with  GDPNow US estimate of 4.2% for US.

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SCCO

Updates

May 11, 2024: hidden in this article, the second half on copper.

Original

No recommendation; see disclaimers.

Previously posted: SCCO.

Chart(s) of the day:


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Back to the Bakken

WTI: $79.88.

Sunday, May 12, 2024: 18 for the month; 82 for the quarter, 281 for the year
39407, conf, Whiting, Olson 31-31HU,
39406, conf, Whiting, Olson 31-31-4H,
38737, conf, Petro-Hunt, Hartman 144-97-5A-8-3H,

Saturday, May 11, 2024: 15 for the month; 79 for the quarter, 278 for the year
39349, conf, Hess, TI-T Lalim-157-95-0214H-2,  

Friday, May 10, 2024: 14 for the month; 78 for the quarter, 277 for the year
40268, conf, Eagle Operating, Skaufel 5-10,
40118, conf, Neptune Operating, Heen South 5-8-17 6H,

RBN Energy: feedstock choices, subsidies can significantly swing renewable diesel margins.

How can a business survive and thrive while spending $5.30 to make a product that sells for $1.90? That’s what’s happening in the booming renewable diesel (RD) market, where government subsidies allow RD to compete directly with petroleum diesel even though RD is inherently more costly to produce. But as new plants keep coming on stream, RD profit margins are coming under closer scrutiny. In today’s RBN blog, we analyze RD profit margins and show how they are changing as the market continues to expand.

RD is made in oil refineries using bio-feedstocks like soybean oil and used cooking oil (UCO) instead of petroleum feedstocks. In Part 1 of this series, we examined how demand for different bio-feedstocks is stressing supply chains as RD producers compete for market share. The outcome of this feedstock competition is critical for the RD sector, which operates with “upside-down economics” that allow its product to remain competitive with petroleum diesel. How exactly does that work in real life? Let’s run the numbers.