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Saturday, April 27, 2024

A Bakken Well Drilled In 2006 Just Went Over 2 Million Bbls Crude Oil Cumulative -- April 27, 2024

Locator: 47076B.

The well:

  • 16059, 729, Petro-Hunt, USA 2D-3-1H, Charlson, t10/06, re-entered, lengthened, 2020, first production after coming back on line, 6K over 14 days, 11/20; cum 1.782585 million bbls 11/20; off line as of 1/21; remains off line 3/21; back on line 4/21; cum 2,001,003 bbls 2/24;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-20242299210045105564542260
BAKKEN1-20242812791337301822459612215
BAKKEN12-20233117081658565999398941
BAKKEN11-202330240924227841106110269617
BAKKEN10-202331284528421123110521082313
BAKKEN9-202330338233371406111011085240
BAKKEN8-2023313814386213421317212847109
BAKKEN7-2023314353434727631260112123262

MRO's Jan Sandstrom USA In Reunion Bay Just Went Over 600K Bbls Crude Oil -- April 27, 2024

Locator: 47076B.

The well:

  • 17771, 585, MRO, Jay Sandstrom USA 34-31H, Reunion Bay, t3/09; cum 607K 2/24; note change in production:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-2024291567155191537413219472
BAKKEN1-2024301312129499434072839517
BAKKEN12-2023311242125794539533552354
BAKKEN11-20233018851871147348864387454
BAKKEN10-20233122962305166549084271600
BAKKEN9-202330873859201631812956197
BAKKEN8-20233131929623713225311381
BAKKEN7-202345914919943441714
BAKKEN6-202325171217491570828182200
BAKKEN5-202331265526432042101969655461
BAKKEN4-20233025982587187377197301344
BAKKEN3-20233126422605189577497399272

Updating Two Of My Favorite Wells -- I've Been Tracking The Parent Wells From The Beginning -- April 27, 2024

Locator: 47075B.

The wells:

  • 36888, drl/drl-->AL/A, Murex, Sophia Drake 25-36H-R, Sanish, first production 10/20; t--; cum 112K 3/21; cum 281K 1/22; cum 447K 1/24; cum 450K 2/24;
  • 36887, drl/drl-->drl/NC-->drl/A, Murex, Amber Renee 25-36H-R, Sanish, first production, 8/21; t--; cum 71K 1/22; 215K 1/24; cum 220K 2/24;

One of the parent wells:

  • 17263, 3,124, Murex, Chandler James 25-36H, Sanish, t10/08; cum 1,234,245 bbls 2/24; curent production:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-2024291731273525551524227548
BAKKEN1-20242011391039172424839880
BAKKEN12-202331164374544261615019739
BAKKEN11-2023231310942265363633370
BAKKEN10-2023291581140166051294086666
BAKKEN9-20232513611171668375922991135
BAKKEN8-2023311438138622023825335765

Another parent well:

  • 16839, 864, Murex, Jacob Daniel 25-36H-RE, Sanish, t1/08; cum 576K 2/24; F; jump in production; still F:
BAKKEN5-2021313903375673940300
BAKKEN4-20213030763094106339000
BAKKEN3-20213134723808819425938560
BAKKEN2-20212838124050622390039000
BAKKEN1-20212937242634129947104199134
BAKKEN12-20200000000
BAKKEN11-20200000000
BAKKEN10-20200000000
BAKKEN9-20200000000
BAKKEN8-20200000000
BAKKEN7-20200000000
BAKKEN6-20200000000
BAKKEN5-20200000000
BAKKEN4-20200000000
BAKKEN3-20200000000
BAKKEN2-20200000000
BAKKEN1-20201034122000
BAKKEN12-20190000000
BAKKEN11-20198222198811039990
BAKKEN10-2019216416332256922960
BAKKEN9-2019308931045603514310024
BAKKEN8-201931962637623740328552
BAKKEN7-20193110171328103923343684
BAKKEN6-2019309668634735352719426
BAKKEN5-20193196685158307930790

Grayson Mill Has A Huge Kestrel Well -- Grinnell -- Trending Toward 500K -- April 27, 2024

Locator: 47074B.

The well:

  • 4332, loc/NC-->loc/A, Grayson Mill/Ovintiv, Kestrel 154-96-33-28-2H, Grinnell, minimal production; cum 480K 2/24;

MRO With A Huge Sherman USA Well In Antelope Oil Field -- April 27, 2024

Locator: 47073B.

The well:

  • 36223, 7,146, MRO, Sherman USA 21-2TFH, Antelope-Sanish, t12/20; cum 239K 4/21; cum 466K 2/24;

Data Centers

Locator: 47072INV. 

July 23, 2024: AI data center value line here.

June 1, 2024: major update here.

UPDATES

June 1, 2024: major update here.

May 28, 2024: Apple Silicon -- where does it all fit?

April 27, 2024: Google, $3 billion, new data center in Indiana; expand data center sites in Virginia. 

************************
Graphics

July 23, 2024: AI data center value line here

Why I Favor Allowing Elected Leaders To Invest In The Market -- April 27, 2024

Locator: 47071INV.

I have no way of knowing whether Motley Fool is reporting accurate information.

But.

This is why I favor allowing my elected leaders invest in the market.

Link here.

Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market, I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple.

See disclaimer. This is not an investment site.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. 

All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them.

Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market, I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple.

Personal Investing -- Buckets

Locator: 47071INV.

I'm starting a new series on investing that I can share with my extended family members, most of whom have Schwab accounts but little understanding about investing.

Anything I write here is meant only for my extended family members and no other readers. It is a starting point for discussion among the family members. Nothing is written in stone. These posts will be updated as conditions change. They will be linked under the "Personal Investing" tab at the top of the blog.

Personal investing. 

Buckets as of January 1, 2024. All information below subject to change at any time.

I have six "buckets" for new money:

  • Big Cap
  • Tech
  • Big Pharmaa
  • Energy
  • AAPL
  • MISC

New money allotments, re-evaluated every six months:

  • Big Cap: 40%
  • Tech: 30%
  • Big Pharma: 10%
  • Energy: 10%
  • AAPL: 0%
  • MISC: 10%

Within each bucket:

  • Big Cap: DE, CAT, UNP
  • Tech: NVDA, AMD, AVGO, QCOM, MU, TSM, AMZN
  • Big Pharma: ABBV
  • Energy: CHRD
  • AAPL:
  • MISC: BRK

Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market, I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple.

See disclaimer. This is not an investment site.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. 

All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them.

Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market, I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple.

Investing -- Looking At The Schwab Cartoon, Part 1

Locator: 47071INV

I'm starting a new series on investing that I can share with my extended family members, most of whom have Schwab accounts but little understanding about investing.

Anything I write here is meant only for my extended family members and no other readers. It is a starting point for discussion among the family members. Nothing is written in stone. These posts will be updated as conditions change. They will eventually be collected and linked under the "Personal Investing" tab at the top of the blog.

****************************
Lessons in Investing

When I started investing back in 1984, there were no discount brokers, no tax-free retirement programs, no commission-free trades. I was pretty much limited to high-commission brokers who really weren't interested in small investors, and load / no-load mutual funds. Tax preparation was confusing and itemized deductions were in vogue. There was little information with regard to personal investing. The worst thing uneducated folks could do was invest in individual stocks; the second worst things, load funds. No-load funds were a crap shoot: some did well, some not so well. Because there weren't a lot of options and there weren't many resources, a lot of folks tried investing in individual stocks on their own.

Flash forward thirty years, and everything has changed. Except one: folks like me should not be investing in individual stocks. We should leave that up to professionals. 

With discount brokers, commission-free trading, several types of retirement programs, investing has changed immensely. For most folks with earned income less than, let's say, $250,000 per year, one's investment plan should focus on tax-free retirement accounts.

Let's use an example. 

One of my extended family members has just transferred "all" their investments into their existing Schwab account and wanted me to discuss my thoughts on investing using their Schwab account as an example.

I would assume many Schwab accounts look like this cartoon:

Section A: IRAs, 401(k)s

Section B: an individual stock portfolio.

Section C: 529s.

Section D: ETFs.

Section E: cash.

I assume folks can customize this Schwab cartoon front page any way they want. 

The first discussion with one of my extended family members was interesting. 

The first thing we did was focus on section B, the individual's individual stock portfolio.

These were individual stocks the extended family member had inherited from parents and grandparents over many years that had been transferred into their Schwab account. Three immediate problems:

  • the individual family member knew "almost" nothing about investing in individual stocks;
  • the individual family member had no plan / strategy for investing in individual stocks; and,
  • the cost basis was pretty much unknown for 90% of the individual stocks in section B.

There is not enough in the account to justify paying a financial advisor the standard fee, at least not at this point.  I can help them get started, and once they get the feel for what they are doing, they can hire a financial advisor if they want. I strongly advise against that if they have a solid investment plan that can run on auto-pilot.

The first problem: risk of losing everything or much of what they already have in their individual stock portfolio. They are likely to compound their error(s) by adding new money to section B.

This is what they need to be doing right now.

With all new money:
    __ budget their monthly income and expenses (at this, they are incredibly good; welcome relief)
    __ ensure they have emergency funds available
    __ insure the breadwinner is adequately insured
    __ maximize their IRAs; if married, establish a spousal IRA for the spouse without earned income
    __ maximize their 401(k)s or equivalent, such as a TSP
    __ maximize their 529s -- even if they have don't have children, but especially if they have children

Going back to the Schwab cartoon, I stressed again:
    __ focus on sections A and C
    __ do not spend "any" time on section B
    __ do not put any new money into section B until sections A and C are maxed out
    __ when "investing" in section B, only use what currently exists;
        __ if there is a "hot"stock that needs to be bought, go ahead and buy it but use the proceeds from sales of
existing stock in section B; again, add no new money to section B until section A and C are maxed out      

Section B:
    __ buy and sell "small" until you understand what you are doing
    __ don't sell shares of stock in "good" companies (or any company, for that matter) without a good reason
    __ use Schwab tools to help determine what I mean by "good" companies

Dividends in section B:
    __ stop all automatic reinvesting, for several reasons which we can discuss later
        __ option: keep the section B dividend cash in section B to make additional investments in section B; that's   the only exception to "no new money" in section B -- however, see next line
    __ my recommendation: move dividend cash from section B into sections A or C; there is a good reason for that. Actually, at least three.

I'll confirm the numbers later, but roughly:
    __ IRA contributions this year: $7,000 per individual = $14,000 per couple
        __ Roth IRA and not traditional IRA, we can discuss reasons later
    __ 401(k) contribution: $23,000
    __ 529 contributions; two children; no max; set a goal for each year; as a starting point, I'll recommend $5,000 per child = $10,000
    __ total so far: $47,000 for sections A and C

So, first steps:
__ all new money into sections A and C
__ check your cash status once monthly
__ don't let cash exceed $1,000
    __ monthly living expenses, life insurance, emergency funds are not part of the Schwab portfolio

Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market, I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple.

See disclaimer. This is not an investment site.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. 

All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them.

Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market, I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple.

Investing -- 529s

Locator: 47070INV.

I'm starting a new series on investing that I can share with my extended family members, most of whom have Schwab accounts but little understanding about investing.

Anything I write here is meant only for my extended family members and no other readers. It is a starting point for discussion among the family members. Nothing is written in stone. These posts will be updated as conditions change. They will eventually be collected and linked under the "Personal Investing" tab at the top of the blog.

 ************************
Lessons in Investing

I'm the last one anyone should listen to with regard to investing. However, having said that, I think I've learned a few things along the way.

About two years ago I started planning the transition from personal investing and growing my portfolio to the next and final stage: moving my investments assets in an orderly manner from my portfolio to my two daughters, their husbands, and five grandchildren.

My wife has been taking distributions from her IRAs for the past several years, starting before RMDs were required, and despite taking those distributions, her IRAs have continued to grow. At age 73 years this summer, I will start taking RMDs this year. Between the two of us, in dollar amounts, the RMDs will be huge. All things considered, it could be 25% to 50% of my annual income. Again, just RMDs -- trending toward 50% of my annual income. There may be some hyperbole there, but not much. 

When I take out those RMDs, I will pay taxes on them -- federal taxes only; we live in a state with no state income taxes.

All these years I had planned to re-invest those RMDs into the stock market ... which, of course, would result in more dividends, more capital gains, more taxes. So, the RMDs taken this year would continue to be taxed year-after-year when they are reinvested in the market. 

I was looking for a "vehicle" that would re-invest my RMDs into the US stock market and would grow tax-free forever. 

I cannot open new retirement accounts or add to current retirement accounts because I no longer have W-2 (earned) income. I have no interest in tax-free municipal bonds.

But there is a vehicle in which investments grow tax-free, never result in taxes when withdrawn, and eventually convert to a Roth IRA. And contributions are not capped for 99% of folks using this vehicle.

Sounds too good to be true?

529s.

Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market, I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple.

See disclaimer. This is not an investment site.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. 

All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them.

Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market, I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple.

A Huge Zavanna Edgar Well In Poe Oil Field; Almost 400K Bbls Crude Oil In Two Years -- April 27, 2024

Locator: 46880B.

Another great well from two years ago. We weren't seeing results like this during the early days. of the boom. That's why only 35 rigs are needed in the Bakken these days -- only part of the reason. 

The well

  • 37185, drl/A, Zavanna, Edgar 10-3 3H, Poe,  followed here; t--; cum 379K 2/24;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-20242932803335721019362171922099
BAKKEN1-20243147774832386822777210611641
BAKKEN12-20233148494822405453101227521254
BAKKEN11-20233054715565700552272217181186
BAKKEN10-2023305136503166044812119123949
BAKKEN9-2023307230723092575208022663983
BAKKEN8-20233180358061118815266223330898
BAKKEN7-20233180458303117084865120863417
BAKKEN6-2023301463414513125774851321183658
BAKKEN5-2023291157711529129833826015940641
BAKKEN4-20233015192152471584951759251821373
BAKKEN3-20233117446173371717245627207991553
BAKKEN2-20231867576797119542541110309932
BAKKEN1-20233113648135152405049034186712816
BAKKEN12-202231989498632734344038119443278
BAKKEN11-20221751574910232652318375251385
BAKKEN10-20222850000
BAKKEN9-2022271228212625117923808523185828
BAKKEN8-20223110071100521343748290304752554
BAKKEN7-20223116634167111607756341344682291
BAKKEN6-20223018194181641672453361276655769
BAKKEN5-202231276022759621113573493099011059
BAKKEN4-20222522777224022046143785226449747
BAKKEN3-202226316503214524819550862865514075
BAKKEN2-202225298052977925859419092953212157
BAKKEN1-202231491334904840969705034061129815
BAKKEN12-202119200761969319551242891376810478
BAKKEN11-20210000000

CLR Flint Chips Well In Cedar Coulee With 253K Bbls Crude Oil In Nine Months Production -- April 27, 2024

Locator: 46879B.

Although not all wells that came off confidential list 2Q22, almost every well drilled in late 2021 / early 2022 showed very nice results. 

The well:

  • 38133, drl/A, CLR, Flint Chips FIU 8-5H, Cedar Coulee, t--; cum 253K 2/24;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-202429137921387878884059539206639
BAKKEN1-202427193051927398272062519469278
BAKKEN12-2023242120621082101942134719961707
BAKKEN11-202300160000
BAKKEN10-2023539924055211465696028406
BAKKEN9-20233025833258561290540870387611472
BAKKEN8-20233129543295151425743346405772013
BAKKEN7-2023313164731705165144536344182354
BAKKEN6-20233044676446932233460830580742273
BAKKEN5-20233147457474202451660473563803626
BAKKEN4-202312157621565083941912418676417
BAKKEN3-20233001544000

The Murex Borstad Well In West Tioga Turned Out To Be A Nice Well; Drilled Back In Mid-2022, Stil "F" -- 300K -- April 27, 2024

Locator: 46878B.

The well:

  • 38599, F/A, Murex, Borstad 34-10H-A 2MB, West Tioga, t--; cum 28K 10/22; cum 111K 2/23; cum 300K 2/24; F; 
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-20242914040136851883525468235901501
BAKKEN1-202423113831183115155242091377210138
BAKKEN12-2023251485514418174302763726488824
BAKKEN11-2023301789718070272262770126352959
BAKKEN10-2023211358613372229591296612105601
BAKKEN9-20231161506485771867386294301
BAKKEN8-2023271686816427196991489213709832
BAKKEN7-20233121128213732243923692213181971
BAKKEN6-20233022183220891939321634195281716
BAKKEN5-20232721419214492254819484138075339
BAKKEN4-2023181193711724102481087410056584
BAKKEN3-20233117497177391937818577167801394
BAKKEN2-20232817218170151716985787763451
BAKKEN1-20233119921199952039813822104822937
BAKKEN12-2022312284122668264321494595844958
BAKKEN11-20223022878232523331616793164030
BAKKEN10-20226345336758175238123030
BAKKEN9-20222918888194523617915060146830
BAKKEN8-2022105846468614453458945890