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Saturday, July 22, 2023

Week 29: July 17, 2023 -- July 22, 2023

Locator: 45179TOP.

Top story:

  • the DOW: a ten-day rally -- longest since 2017
  • Bidenomics: a "Goldilocks" economy?
  • soft landing; no recession; one more 25-bp hike?

Top international non-energy story:

  • Russian-Ukraine war continues but it seems "no one" knows.
    • Prigozhin -- not seen in several days;
    • a critical bridge hit (again)

Top international energy story:


Top national non-energy story:

  • GOP at risk

Top national energy story

  • US oil production averages over 12.5 million bopd for first four months of the year; latest data
    • never seen before in first four months of any year in US history
    • have to go back to 2019 - 2020 to see seven-month stretch, > 12.5 million bopd
  • US LNG production hitting new records
  • record heat, nationally
    • Texas grid holds: easily.
Focus on fracking: most recent edition.

Top North Dakota non-energy story:


Top North Dakota energy story:


Geoff Simon's top North Dakota energy stories:

Bakken economy:

Commentary:

Entertainment: Barbie; Oppenheimer.

The In-N-Out Edition -- July 22, 2023

Locator: 45178MISC.

The In-N-Out edition.


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And Now We Get Down To Business

First things first. After a long, long, long trip to the northwest several things stand out -- more when I get back home:

  • conservative, Christian, MAGA Californians continue to flee to Idaho: this may not be good;
  • Utah: haven't seen such a "clean" state in years;
  • economic activity from Utah to western Idaho: amazing
  • classic country (western) music is still the best -- "classic" is the operative word;
  • the US: simply the best country in the world;
  • In-N-Out is not "hyped"; some may be as good; no one is better;
  • one never tires of Randy Travis; but I can say that about George Jones, too, and that's about the only two;
  • will this be my last hurrah?
    • the trip was grueling; it's hard to imagine I hitchhiked "this" trip three times in the early 1970s

The Bakken: a random note from a reader that tracks this stuff very closely --

Investing:

  • the next two weeks will be a huge win-win period for investors; huge; more on this later;
  • ten-day rally; Dow record since 2017;
  • F (Ford): maintains dividend of 15 cents;

CHIPS:

  • TSM and Arizona; INTC back in the news; link here.
  • ASML increases dividend, but I think they are talking quarterly dividend from same period last year; compare to previous quarter, dividend actually decreased (needs to be fact-checked)
  • ASML: one of the seven in which I don't invest; doesn't meet my criteri

Re-posting:

  • affirmative action; full of ironies; link here.
  • US Supreme Court was wrong on this, but I have no time for such stuff


Irony
:

  • inflation killing off-shore wind projects:
  • Massachusetts, Rhode Island;
  • link here; link here;

Bakken revolution:

Dumbest politico of all time? Probably not, but I may have to add new category of posts to cover such inanity;

  • link here:
  • her 3 x 5 index card needs to have three data points, in round numbers:
    • US crude oil production: 20 million bopd
    • US crude oil demand: 13 million bopd
    • US imports 7 million bopd
  • that's all she needs to know

Teller on climate change: link here.

  • the big question: did "The Simpsons" ever have an episode on Oppenheimer or Teller;
  • it's a big question: after all, "The Simplsons" story line flows directly from the Manhattan Project
  • Rolling Stone obsessed with 20-seconds of this 3-hour film; having said that, it's probably why I don't see the movie -- LOL

Lana Del Rey:

  • Rolling Stone: her 50 best songs; link here;
  • how many artists even have 50 songs, much less 50 "best songs" reviewed in Rolling Stone?

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Favorite Activity

Twelve New Permits; Four DUCs Reported As Completed -- July 22 , 2023

Locator: 45177B.

Active rigs: 39.

WTI
:$76.50. 

Twelve new permits, #40060 - #40071, inclusive:

  • Operators: MRO (7); WPX (5)
  • Fields: Killdeer (Dunn County); Heart Butte (Dunn County)
  • Comments:
    • MRO has permits for Coombs, Taylor, Malloy, Frye, Graves, Simpson, and Roscoe, SESE 35-146-95; 
      • to be sited at 914 FLS, 915 FSL and, 916 FSL and betweeen 561 FEL and 801 FEL;
      • wells of interest: #34755 (Higgins); #26015 (Rebecca); #26017 (Zimmerman); 19626 (Wardner); 17413 (Wardner); 26726, 26727, 26728, 26729 (Edwards, Herb, Walter, Jakob)
    • WPX has permits for five SYW wells, NENW 22-149-91,
      • to be sited 216 FNL, 217 FNL, 2218 FNL, 219FNL and between 2025 FWL and 2145 FWL

Four permits canceled:

  • CLR: two Thorvald permits and two Cuskelly permits, all in Dunn County;

Four producing wells (DUCs) reported as completed:

  • 39011, 1,294, CLR, Rhonda 5-28H,
  • 39223, 44, Crescent Point Energy, CPEUSC Samples 5-24-26-159N-100WW-MBH-LL,
  • 39120, 120, Crescent Point Energy, CPEUSC Szarka 5-36-25-159N-100W-MBH-LL,
  • 36168, no ip test, XTO, Lavern 42X-14AXD,