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Thursday, June 9, 2022

Will The Texas Grid Hold? June 9, 2022

We're having a stretch of very, very hot weather.

Will the Texas grid hold?

Link here

Looks like Texas is doing just fine, thank you.

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The Sports Page

Women's College World Series, softball: Oklahoma defeats Texas. Oklahoma captures second straight national title. 

Link here.

These People Are Nuts -- June 9, 2022

Really?

Link here

Sweden is banning extracting coal, oil, and natural gas as well as tightening rules on extraction from alum shale as of July 1, 2022.

According to a statement by the Swedish government, it will be an important step in the process of transitioning to a fossil-free society.

And then this:

“The green and digital transitions will create more jobs and require more metals and minerals."

Exactly how do "they" think they will "come up" with those metals and minerals.

These people are nuts. 

I always thought Greta was an outlier in her own country. It turns out she was just the tip of an Arctic iceberg. 

The UN should help Sweden: ban all energy imports into Sweden. 

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Country Share Of Global GDP

Link here

2021.

Global economy: $94 trillion. 

Sweden: $0.62 trillion

  • 0.62 / 94 = 0.7%

Daily Activity Report -- Jane 9, 2022

Most amazing fossil fuel story today: after all that hyperbole about natural gas and the mishap at the Freeport LNG export terminal, natural gas is back to trading above $9. In the big scheme of things, the "explosion" at Freeport is a non-story. Chill.

NDIC interactive map: link here, update.

WTI: stable at $121 or thereabouts.

Active rigs in North Dakota: 40 or thereabouts

New permits: none.

Five permits renewed:

  • CLR (4): two Charleston and two Olympia permits, all in Williams County.
  • Hess: one EN-Davenport permit, Mountrail County.

Clearing Out The In-Box -- June 9, 2022

First things first:

Jobless claims:

  • talk about a lot of hyperbole; headlines overstate the story;
    • The WSJ: US jobless claims rise to highest level in five months; 229,000 claims filed;
  • link here:
    • above 400K recessionary
    • below 300K inflationary

Devon:

  • link here: Bakken deal may be signaling a return to "normalcy" in oil.
    • no bold commentary on GHG reduction;
    • nothing on portfolio optimization;
    • nothing on G&A savings (albeit implied)
    • jumps up a couple of spots in Bakken volume rankings
    • production about the same as Oasis, pre-Whiting deal
  • link here: 9% yield; but more could be on the way -- May 31, 2022

European auto industry

F-150:

  • link here: configured to re-charge stalled Teslas.

Apple:

How they do it:

Keystoning America -- June 9, 2022

Link here.

For those who cannot connect the dots on how Biden keystoned America and Canada, they are not paying attention. 

Link here.

The WPX Helena Ruth Grant Wells Have Been Updated -- June 9, 2022

Link here.

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The Book Page

Link here.

Only due to lack of time, I am not ordering this book (yet). 

Geography Is Destiny: Britain and the World: A 10,000-Year History by Ian Morris, c. 2022. 

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The Book Page

Link here.

I've read a few books over the years. I've particularly enjoyed the anthologies in which editors select the best literature. Gilgamesh and Beowulf are always in those anthologies but after all I've read over the years, I don't ever recalling "original" literature regarding the Dead Sea Scrolls.

I'm now reading Edmund Wilson's The Dead Sea Scrolls, c. 1955, 1967, 1969. 

Absolutely fascinating.

A must read for all those interested in the history of Judaism and/or Christianity. Easy to get a hardback for less than $10, including shipping.

I will keep notes at this post.

Oakdale Field Updated -- June 9, 2022

Oakdale field updated

Many of the wells came off line 4/22 suggesting fracking activity in the area. The NDIC interactive map is not up and running so I cannot see what might be going on.

Random Update Of The Enerplus "Geo Features" Pad Suggests Fracking Activity In The Area -- June 9, 2022

The wells:

  • 37513, PNC, Enerplus, Oxbow 152-94-16BH-21H-TF, Antelope,
  • 37514, PNC, Enerplus, Plateau 152-94-16BH-21H, Antelope,
  • 33461, 840, Enerplus, Mesa 152-94-16A-21H, Three Forks, 30 stages; 2.3 million lbs; Antelope-Sanish, t3/18; cum 209K 9/20; permitted for middle Bakken, but changed to Three Forks first bench, July 1, 2020; cum 224K 7/21; cum 234K 4/22; subtle jump in production, 4/22;
  • 33460, 1,687, Enerplus, Gully 152-94-16A-21H-TF1, 39 stages, 9.4 million lbs, Antelope-Sanish, t3/18; cum 335K 9/20; cum 358K 7/21; cum 358K 7/21; cum 370K 4/22;
  • 33459, 1,192, Enerplus, Canyon 152-94-16A-21H-TF2, 39 stages, 9.5 million lbs; Antelope-Sanish, t3/18; cum 365K 9/20; permitted for Three Forks B2, but sundry form dated July 1, 2017, target change to middle Bakken "D." Cum 420K 7/21; cum 450K 3/22; off line 4/22;
  • 33458, 1,115, Enerplus, Ravine 152-94-16A-21H, 39 stages; 8.2 million lbs; Antelope-Sanish, t11/17; cum 376K 9/20; cum 414K 7/21; cum 435K 3/22; off line 4/22;

Two wells that just went off line and subtle increase in production in a third well suggests fracking activity in the area. The NDIC interactive map is not up and running so I cannot see what might be going on. 

Two Of Four QEP Levang Wells --> Abandoned Status -- June 9, 2022

 The wells:

  • 22378, PNC, Helis, G. Levang 13-32/29H, Grail,
  • 24686, 2,207-->AB, QEP, G. Levang 13-32/29H, Grail, t8/13; cum 276K 5/19; off line from 12/18 to 4/19; only four days in 5/19; cum 284K 9/20; AB;
  • 24684, 2,805, QEP, G. Levang 2-32-39TH, Grail, t8/13; cum 418K 5/19; cum 448K 4/22;
  • 24685, 2,994-->AB, QEP, G. Levang 3-32-29BH, Grail, t8/13; cum 386K 5/19; cum 387K 10/19;
  • 24687, 2,740, QEP, G. Levang 4-32-29BH, Grail, t8/13; cum 335K 5/19; cum 351K 4/22;

US Crude Oil Days' Supply Drops Again -- June 9, 2022

Link here.

Days US crude supply drops again, albeit not by much.

Coal: Road To Australia -- June 9, 2022

I try to consolidate stories to minimize excess blogs. I wanted to post this with other stories, but it's a huge story. Remember: the Australians just voted in a new ultra-liberal, green government, running on a platform to kill coal and natural gas and then reality struck home:

Link here.


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The Sports Page

In 1945, Nelson enjoyed a record-breaking year, winning 18 PGA tournaments out of the 30 he played, including 11 in a row that he played in. Both records are yet to be beaten.  

There is a reason why he has a tournament named for him.

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The Book Page

"Growing up gay on the oil-rich prairie of North Dakota."

 
Author: Taylor Brorby. "The story of North Dakota is then the story of self-destruction."

The book: Boys and Oil: Growing Up Gay in a Fractured Land

No, I won't be reading it.
 
 

Wednesday's Daily Activity Report Posted -- Thursday, June 9, 2022

Link here.

Name change? Different division? 

I don't know but maybe 400+ Ovintiv wells have new owner. Operator for the Ovintiv wells in North Dakota has changed from ... drum roll ... Ovintiv Production, Inc. to Ovintiv USA, Inc.

Ovintiv is the old Encana, a Canadian company, so perhaps re-aligning for investors who don't want to pay Canadian taxes? I don't know. Just maintaining the original spirit of the blog to generate discussion.

Other stuff in the report:

  • NDIC reports 44 active rigs, but after "correcting" for various items, probably about 41 active oil and gas rigs. 
  • And that was it. No new permits, no permits renewed.

Zavanna Reports Another Huge Well -- June 9, 2022

Default: two largest platinum and palladium refiners in Russia are beginning to default on payments. Link here.

Five Below: US discount retailer stumbles after cut to full-year guidance. Link here

TGT: to increase dividend by 20%.

INTC: problems have not gone away and may be getting worse -- Barron's. I track semiconductors here

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Back to the Bakken

Far Side: link here.

McKenzie County Farmer: now part of Fargo-based media conglomerate. Link here.

Data center: Kevin O'Leary announces a second data center in as many days. New data center will be in Montana. I bet he likes Montana's tax structure better than that of North Dakota.

  • will use renewable hydropower from the Confederated Salish and Kootenai Tribes
    • Flathead, MT
    • from wiki:
      • The tribes own and jointly operate a valuable hydropower dam, called Séliš Ksanka Ql'ispé Dam (formerly known as Kerr Dam). They are the first Indian nation in the United States owning a hydroelectric dam.O'Leary:
  • why?
    • NY: terrible for business
    • NJ: terrible for business
    • MA: horrifically terrible for business
    • CA: not in business
    • MT: friendly regulatory climate


Flathead Lake, yesterday, June 8, 2022: spring thaw -- very cold glacier water from Glacier National Park running into Flathead lake:

WTI: $122.10.

Active rigs: 40 or thereabouts.

Wednesday, June 8, 2022: 11 for the month, 148 for the quarter, 308 for the year 

  • 38480, conf,  WPX, Hall 14-15HY, McGregory Buttes, no production data,
  • 38132, conf,  CLR, Dinnis FIU 7-8H1, Cedar Coulee, no production data,
  • 37187, drl/A,  Zavanna, Edgar 10-3 5H, Poe, first production, 12/21; t--; cum 136K 4/22;

RBN Energy: western midstream presses Permian advantages to offset declines.

We’ve written a lot lately about how U.S. E&Ps, whipsawed over the last decade by extreme price volatility and negative investor sentiment, have adopted a new fiscal discipline that de-emphasizes production growth and prioritizes generation of free cash flow to reduce debt and reward shareholders. 
But what about midstreamers? They too have been buffeted in recent years by volatile commodity prices, eroding investor support, shifting upstream investment patterns, and finally, a global pandemic. Midstream companies face a different set of challenges than oil and gas producers in repairing their balance sheet and restoring investor confidence, however, mostly because midstream investment decisions are determined both by downstream market changes and by E&Ps’ development and production activity — including producers’ ever-increasing focus on the Permian at the expense of other basins. 
In today’s RBN blog, we discuss highlights from RBN and East Daley’s Spotlight Report on Western Midstream Partners and how the master limited partnership has been working to reduce its debt and make the most of its strong base in the Permian’s Delaware Basin.

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Initial Production

The well:

  • 37187, drl/A,  Zavanna, Edgar 10-3 5H, Poe, first production, 12/21; t--; cum 136K 4/22;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN4-20222820108203501707650860413029489
BAKKEN3-202231346493451726142744986125513166
BAKKEN2-202228317853177025515563604439911891
BAKKEN1-202231341853414729753495932924120275
BAKKEN12-2021131541115000185441734988358462
BAKKEN11-20210000000

Video Of The Day -- Michigan, GM Confirm: Coal Powers Their EV -- June 9, 2022

Link here.

NIO: meanwhile, over in China, NIO beats.

  • forecast:
    • $14.9 billion in first-quarter sales
    • a loss of 14 cents
  • actual:
    • a loss of only 13 cents (vs a loss of only 4 cents in 1Q21)
  • delivered: 26,000 vehicles vs 20,000 a year ago (in a country of billions)

BYD: Warren Buffett's favorite EV maker will "soon" supply batteries for Tesla