Frack Data For A New Hess EN-Joyce Well In Manitou Oil Field -- January 16, 2022

The well:

• 37978, conf-->drl/A, Hess, EN-Joyce-LE-156-94-1721H-5, Manitou, 33-061-04836, HUGE WELL, first production, 4/21; t--; cum 286K 8/21; fracked 4/1/21 - 4/8/21; 10,97 million gallons of water; 85.5% water by mass; note how fast that frack was -- seven days:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	11-2021	6	2170	2212	4332	5654	5654	0
BAKKEN	10-2021	11	5791	5829	6318	9568	9568	0
BAKKEN	9-2021	30	20353	20346	19161	32419	32419	0
BAKKEN	8-2021	31	19312	19396	22970	29133	28144	989
BAKKEN	7-2021	27	29953	29954	30684	48117	45812	2305
BAKKEN	6-2021	30	25835	26031	36691	43614	35283	8331
BAKKEN	5-2021	31	63335	63032	105944	116662	102218	14444
BAKKEN	4-2021	2	5326	5259	5288	832	776	56

The Hess EN-Joyce wells are tracked here.

An Old Oasis Well With Nice Jump In Production -- January 16, 2022

The Oasis Nikolai Federal wells are tracked here.

The well:

• 35484, conf, Oasis, Nikolai Federal 5397 42-33 4B, Banks, 33-053-08742, first production, 5/21; t--; cum --: fracked 4/16/21 - 5/2/21; 10.3 miillion gallons of water; 90.76 percent water by mass;
  

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	11-2021	30	12417	12404	18069	71921	70095	1171
BAKKEN	10-2021	28	11482	11493	15535	51462	49950	827
BAKKEN	9-2021	30	23797	23787	26045	91870	89300	1491
BAKKEN	8-2021	31	31860	31860	197	105146	102222	1640
BAKKEN	7-2021	31	33288	33315	28224	97862	90771	5765
BAKKEN	6-2021	30	29274	29316	25974	75552	74120	1180
BAKKEN	5-2021	29	4475	4391	4266	10548	10548	0

A parent well in the area, with nice jump in production ten years after first being drilled:

• 20266, 777, Oasis, Wold Federal 15-33H, Banks, t3/12; cum 177K 11/21; recent production:

ool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	11-2021	30	5045	5095	7555	16783	16447	59
BAKKEN	10-2021	20	2745	2392	5082	9268	8475	620
BAKKEN	9-2021	30	5522	5201	10000	17750	16904	522
BAKKEN	8-2021	14	1265	1806	18391	6327	5518	384
BAKKEN	7-2021	16	3154	3067	7664	8827	8316	287
BAKKEN	6-2021	30	5474	5133	19015	4406	2966	1140
BAKKEN	5-2021	13	1200	942	5800	3185	2966	99
BAKKEN	4-2021	0	0	479	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2021	31	933	718	730	2860	2547	3
BAKKEN	2-2021	25	622	495	350	2460	2207	3
BAKKEN	1-2021	31	738	733	440	2803	2491	2
BAKKEN	12-2020	31	744	942	460	2841	2525	6
BAKKEN	11-2020	30	786	700	520	2775	2473	2
BAKKEN	10-2020	31	656	712	310	2656	2278	68
BAKKEN	9-2020	30	732	481	560	2908	2604	4
BAKKEN	8-2020	31	805	940	640	3057	2727	30
BAKKEN	7-2020	31	821	1170	670	3117	2796	11

The Enerplus Metamorphic Rock Pad Wells Are Now Being Reported -- January 16, 2022

The well on a 9-well pad:

• 36229, conf-->loc/A, Enerplus, Slate 147-93-08D-05H-TF, Moccasin Creek, first production, 5/21; t--; cum 158K 11/21; 158K at $45 at the wellhead = $7.1 million.
  

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	11-2021	28	20893	21056	25412	26075	14898	627
BAKKEN	10-2021	30	32191	32175	27157	35486	22453	966
BAKKEN	9-2021	28	28602	28471	29790	32974	20147	858
BAKKEN	8-2021	31	20708	20708	46996	20113	14347	621
BAKKEN	7-2021	28	27262	27281	81188	23992	20152	818
BAKKEN	6-2021	27	24352	24112	66716	17635	13627	731
BAKKEN	5-2021	5	4089	3937	19947	3295	2583	0

This well is tracked at the Enerplus "Metamorphic Rock" pad. 

Halo Effect With A Jump In Production Of As Much As 55X -- January 16, 2022

This is what the Bakken is all about. 

Enough data has been presented on this page to consider it complete, but I may fill in details later, if I remember. 

From wells released from 4Q21 (link here):

Saturday, November 20, 2021: 30 for the month, 58 for the quarter, 284 for the year:

• 38082, conf-->drl/drl, Ovintiv, Rolla 152-97-1-12-5HLW, Westberg, 33-053-09631, first production, 11/21; t--; cum 15K over first eight days; FracFocus, no frack data as of January 16, 2022; 15K over 8 days extrapolates to 55K over 30 days:
  

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	11-2021	8	14645	14168	4898	27237	27120	117

Now let's look at three older wells in the same immediate area:

• 24454, 7,694 bbls over 19 days extrapolates to 12,000 bbls over 30 days; 12,000 / 1,200 = 10x jump in production:
  

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	11-2021	19	7694	7742	15383	13053	12885	2
BAKKEN	10-2021	14	451	558	39	2312	2199	0
BAKKEN	9-2021	30	1141	1124	438	6110	5840	0
BAKKEN	8-2021	31	1002	1145	568	8065	7786	0
BAKKEN	7-2021	31	1620	1554	643	7705	7426	0
BAKKEN	6-2021	30	1192	973	197	6903	6633	0
BAKKEN	5-2021	31	1195	1242	202	6403	6104	20
BAKKEN	4-2021	30	1250	1160	417	6602	6332	0

•  24453, 5,243 bbls over 19 days extrapolates to 8,300 bbls over 30 days; 8,300 / 750 = 11x jump in production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	11-2021	19	5243	5301	7983	9187	9021	0
BAKKEN	10-2021	4	46	0	5	82	55	0
BAKKEN	9-2021	30	596	567	227	2069	1799	0
BAKKEN	8-2021	31	665	784	370	2421	2142	0
BAKKEN	7-2021	31	888	864	348	2690	2409	2
BAKKEN	6-2021	30	580	614	197	1856	1586	0
BAKKEN	5-2021	31	594	639	433	2064	1785	0
BAKKEN	4-2021	30	752	583	417	2248	1978	0

• 24452, 13,410 bbls over 17 days extrapolates to 55,000 bbls over 30 days; 55,000 / 1,000 = 55x jump in production; FracFocus has data for frack in 2013, but no data for a more recent frack:
  

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	11-2021	17	13410	13135	11774	23664	23219	308
BAKKEN	10-2021	10	62	282	25	854	775	0
BAKKEN	9-2021	30	1073	1156	409	3175	2905	0
BAKKEN	8-2021	31	710	897	400	2765	2486	0
BAKKEN	7-2021	31	1697	1498	664	3347	3068	0
BAKKEN	6-2021	22	291	0	410	329	134	0
BAKKEN	5-2021	24	353	584	270	1910	1708	0
BAKKEN	4-2021	30	1039	889	153	3127	2857	0

Reality Sucks -- January 16, 2022

Oh, oh! Electricity is trending toward $300 / MW in NE ISO, the highest I've seen, I think, ever, and demand in the region is not running all that high. Link here. It almost appears natural gas, "got behind" and now  operators are scrambling to find natural gas, oil, and Canadian hydroelectricity to meet the demand. The big problem: no wind, or at least not the wind that wind farms can use.If there's a big storm, the windmills could be shut down to protect them. Renewable energy is providing only 6% of fuel mix, and of that 6%, wind it providing 25%. 0.06 x 0.25 = 1.5% of the entire fuel mix.

 *****************************

******************************
The Optics Don't Match The Rhetoric

Mainstream news says hospitals are unable to cope with the surge of Covid cases. Apparently cases are surging, and the White House press secretary says the nation won't meet 85% - 90% vaccinated which was the White House goal.

And then I'm watching the Tampa Bay Buccaneers playing a playoff game in their home stadium in Tampa. If Florida is not the most under-vaccinated state, everyone is doing what they can to push that narrative, and yet, here we are, the stadium is packed and no one -- not the refs, not those on the the sidelines, not the reporter, not the fans -- no one is wearing a mask. 

Oh, here we go. The post-game interview with Tom Brady and the interviewer and the interviewee, both unmasked, are standing six feet apart, or so it appears. Could be five feet.

Wow, This Is Exciting! More Maps May Be Posted Today And Tomorrow! Thank You NDIC -- Janjuary 16, 2022

First map of North Dakota after things are apparently getting back to normal.

First map of CLR's Long Creek unit after things are apparently getting back to normal.

Tease: later I'll post a social media observation which suggests that folks who should know better still do not understand "oil." Stay tuned. Wow, I'm invigorated with things getting back to normal in Bismarck!

Halleluja! January 16, 2022

 From a reader:

DMR NDIC rolled out changes and NorthSTAR is populating all the Townships/Ranges & we have NEW WELLS!!!

Check it out: they told me at noon the changes were going in all weekend & many, many things are BACK!!!!

I’m ecstatic!!!  

I got so much e-mail on Saturday, I actually missed this note. Sorry!

This is clearly the most important piece of e-mail I got except for the alert from Chase notifying me of unusual activity on my credit card. LOL. It was spam. 

I can hardly wait to see Tuesday's NDIC website. Wow.

If It Weren't For Harold Hamm And Continental Resources, Would We Even Be Talking About The Bakken Any More? January 16,

CLR: Of the twenty-four oil and gas wells in North Dakota coming off the confidential list this next week, no less than fourteen are operated by Continental Resources. Slawson has three; Hunt Oil, two. Others with one: Bruin, Hess, Koda Resources, Resonance Exploration, and Whiting. 

******************************
Airport Talk

Hubs:

• UPS:
• UPS Worldport: Louisville Jefferson County, SDF, Standiford Field, renamed Louisville Muhammad Ali International Airport
• second busiest cargo airport in the US
• FedEx:
• FedEx's SuperHub: Memphis International Airport
• busiest cargo airport in the US
• main facility: size of 80 football fields
• world ranking by size: Shanghai Pudon, Memphis, Hong Kong, Louisville;
• Amazon Air (formerly known as Amazon Prime)
• Amazon Prime is now Amazon's autonomous drone delivery service
• Cincinnati / Northern Kentucky International Airport
• new regional hub at Fort Worth Alliance Airport, northwest of Fort Worth, Texas
• Amazon hols warrants to acquire a minority stake in Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings, parent company of Atlas Air
• with a total combined fleet of 55 Boeing 747 aircraft, Atlas is the world's largest operator of this fleet type.

Fort Worth Alliance Airport, Amazon Air regional hub:

• founded by aviatrix and US Navy nurse, Edna Gardner Whyte, 1970; born 1902 in Mankato, MN;
• lost her pilot's license in 1988 (86 years old) following an in-flight heart attack in a Cessna 150 she was piloting
• died age 89;

**********************************
Word of the Day

Ineffably, the word of the day is "effing. "

Close second: sardoodledom.

Duolingo for those learning English as a second language:

• inflammable and flammable are synonyms
• inflammable came into English in the early 1600s (coined by Shakespeare?); Latin etymology;
• flammable, coined in 1813; also of Latin heritage
• the use of flammable and nonflammable has increased in print over the last few decades, while us of inflammable has decreased
  

****************************
Current Winter Storm: Izzy is a Doozy

Couldn't resist. 

New England: 

The interior Northeast up through New England is expected to get hit with 6 to 18 inches of snow. Coastal areas of the Northeast, including Washington, D.C., Philadelphia, New York City and Boston, could see up to 3 inches of snow, though that will likely get washed away as the snow changes to rain by early Monday.

Wind chills Sunday morning will be in the single digits from Philadelphia to New York City to Boston and dip below zero in northern New England.

Texas: 

Strong, gusty winds are also a concern across a large swath of the South, with wind alerts in effect from Texas to the Carolinas, with the concern for isolated power outages and wind damage. 

Dakotas: 

A winter storm watch also is in effect from Arkansas to Pennsylvania for a much-anticipated winter storm that's already dumped more than a foot of snow across North Dakota and Iowa.

 

Initial Production Data For Wells Coming Off Confidential List This Next Week -- January 16, 2022

The wells:

• 37861, conf, CLR, Clear Creek Federal 11-35H, Westberg, no production data, 
• 37863, conf, CLR, Clear Creek Federal 13-35H, Westberg, no production data, 
• 38349, conf, Hunt, Blue Ridge 159-100-6-7H 5, Green Lake,
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
11-2021	8875	3531
10-2021	2125	0

• 37864, conf, CLR, Clear Creek Federal 14-35SL2, Westberg, no production data, 
• 37336, conf, Whiting, Miller 44-10TFHU, Sanish,
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
11-2021	9620	11076
10-2021	10186	9248
9-2021	10642	10071
8-2021	2776	2946
7-2021	586	0

• 38353, conf, CLR, Bice FIU 11-32HSL1, Chimney Butte, no production data, 
• 38352, conf, CLR, Bice FIU 10-32H, Chimney Butte, no production data, 
• 38355, conf, CLR, Dolezal FIU 10-5H1, Chimney Butte, no production data, 
• 38350, conf, Hunt, Blue Ridge 159-100-6-7H 4, Green Lake,
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
11-2021	4255	655
10-2021	452	0

• 38265, conf, CLR, Pletan 11-18H1, Jim Creek, minimal production, 
• 38356, conf, CLR, Dolezal FIU 9-5H, Chimney Butte, no production data, 
• 38264, conf, CLR, Pletan 10-18H, Jim Creek, minimal production, 
• 38077, conf, Slawson, Vagabond Federal 1 SLH Big Bend, no production data, 
• 38357, conf, CLR, Dolezal FIU 8-5H1, Chimney Butte, no production data, 
• 38338, conf, Resonance Exploration, Resonance Fylling 12-36H, West Roth, no production data, 
• 38263, conf, CLR, Pletan 9-18H1, Jim Creek, no production data, 
• 38076, conf, Slawson, Muskrat Federal 7-28-33TFH, Big Bend, no production data, 
• 38075, conf, Slawson, Muskrat Federal 6-28-33TFH, Big Bend, no production data, 
• 38358, conf, CLR, Dolezal FIU 7-5H, Chimney Butte, no production data, 
• 38320, conf, CLR, Dvirnak 11-7H, Jim Creek, no production data, 
• 37447, conf, Koda Resources, Porter 2635-1BH, Bar Butte,
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
11-2021	14273	7031
10-2021	12983	774
9-2021	11602	0
8-2021	388	0

• 38396, conf, CLR, Dvirnak 10-7HSL1, Corral Creek, minimal production, 
• 37233, conf, Bruin, Wm Polar 157-101-24D-13-3B, Otter,
  

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	11-2021	17	8213	8252	32214	6722	6628	94
BAKKEN	10-2021	28	11834	11971	48225	10322	9248	1026
BAKKEN	9-2021	29	8933	8833	45914	8596	8023	548
BAKKEN	8-2021	25	12098	12155	57057	10708	7348	3360
BAKKEN	7-2021	16	17556	17267	91503	20363	16073	4290

• 37132, conf, Hess, BL-Frisinger-LE-156-95-2804H-1, Beaver Lodge,
  

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	11-2021	30	22532	22482	21434	40240	40240	0
BAKKEN	10-2021	31	18699	18696	15534	30058	30056	2
BAKKEN	9-2021	27	30769	30545	32466	44567	44549	18
BAKKEN	8-2021	2	72	210	1980	1073	939	134
BAKKEN	7-2021	18	22652	22513	28437	27629	7228	20401

Wells Coming Off The Confidential List This Next Week -- January 16, 2022

Monday, January 24, 2022: 39 for the month, 39 for the quarter, 39 for the year
37861, conf, CLR, Clear Creek Federal 11-35H,

Sunday, January 23, 2022: 38 for the month, 38 for the quarter, 38 for the year
37863, conf, CLR, Clear Creek Federal 13-35H,

Saturday, January 22, 2022: 37 for the month, 37 for the quarter, 37 for the year
38349, conf, Hunt, Blue Ridge 159-100-6-7H 5,
37864, conf, CLR, Clear Creek Federal 14-35SL2,

Friday, January 21, 2022: 35 for the month, 35 for the quarter, 35 for the year
37336, conf, Whiting, Miller 44-10TFHU,

Thursday, January 20, 2022: 34 for the month, 34 for the quarter, 34 for the year
38353, conf, CLR, Bice FIU 11-32HSL1,
38352, conf, CLR, Bice FIU 10-32H,

Wednesday, January 19, 2022: 32 for the month, 32 for the quarter, 32 for the year
38355, conf, CLR, Dolezal FIU 10-5H1,
38350, conf, Hunt, Blue Ridge 159-100-6-7H 4,
38265, conf, CLR, Pletan 11-18H1,

Tuesday, January 18, 2022: 29 for the month, 29 for the quarter, 29 for the year
38356, conf, CLR, Dolezal FIU 9-5H,
38264, conf, CLR, Pletan 10-18H,
38077, conf, Slawson, Vagabond Federal 1 SLH,

Monday, January 17, 2022: 26 for the month, 26 for the quarter, 26 for the year
38357, conf, CLR, Dolezal FIU 8-5H1,
38338, conf, Resonance Exploration, Resonance Fylling 12-36H,
38263, conf, CLR, Pletan 9-18H1,
38076, conf, Slawson, Muskrat Federal 7-28-33TFH,
38075, conf, Slawson, Muskrat Federal 6-28-33TFH,

Sunday, January 16, 2022: 21 for the month, 21 for the quarter, 21 for the year
38358, conf, CLR, Dolezal FIU 7-5H,
38320, conf, CLR, Dvirnak 11-7H,
37447, conf, Koda Resources, Porter 2635-1BH,

Saturday, January 15, 2022: 18 for the month, 18 for the quarter, 18 for the year
None.

Friday, January 14, 2022: 18 for the month, 18 for the quarter, 18 for the year
38396, conf, CLR, Dvirnak 10-7HSL1,
37233, conf, Bruin, Wm Polar 157-101-24D-13-3B,
37132, conf, Hess, BL-Frisinger-LE-156-95-2804H-1,

The NE ISO Saga Continues; Today Wind Is Huge Issue -- January 16, 2022

Wind is now providing 0.6% of electricity demand. 0.6%. That's less than one percent. 

Finally, this story is all over twitter. I guess folks are starting to read the blog. LOL.  

And, here:

Criminal on two levels:

• burning oil for electricity: that's something only Saudi Arabia and third world countries do; and,
• in the process, sky-high prices for their residents -- especially the poor.

Of course, this will all be "made up" when we get back to nice weather. 

Link here.

Most surprising, wind:

• yesterday, of the renewable sources, wind account for 59% of supply;
• today, of the renewable source, wind is accounting for only 7% of supply.
• have operators stopped turning turbines due to severe weather storm?

From a reader:

You are correct in noting the (lack of) wind contributing to $275/$280 per Mwh spot pricing early this morning. 

Specifically, the wind produced almost 1,000 Mw last night at 7 PM (local time). 

At noon, output was 71 Megawatts ... a drop of over 900 Megawatts. This is nearly the output of one nuclear plant. This large wind drop off is not at all an unusual event.

The fact that the temperature was below 10 degrees meant very little natural gas was available for electricity generation. 

(Natural gas: the offshore FSRU continues to regasify Trinidadian LNG and inject it into the pipeline system.)

Burning expensive fuel oil (over 3,600 Mw at one point) is the result.

So Many Story Lines Here -- January 16, 2022

Link here.