Monday, May 3, 2021

"Vaccine Hesitancy" Is Getting Worse -- May 3, 2021

CDC data here

Doses over a 24-hour period:

  • last Monday: 2.11 million doses
  • today, this Monday, one week later: 1.189 million doses

In the data below, all rows are hidden except for data for Mondays going back nine weeks. 

After Monday, March 1, 2021, numbers  rose for the next two weeks, hitting a "Monday" hitting a high of 2.6 million doses administered on April 12, 2021 (6th column). The day before Fauci/CDC would announce a "JNJ vaccine" pause.

But then after the "JNJ pause" announcement, the numbers dropped significantly. On Monday, April 19, 2021, slightly less than two weeks after the announcement, the number of vaccinations over 24 hours dropped from a high of 2.6 million doses to 2.17 million does, and continued to drop linearly over the next two weeks, down to 1.189 million doses in the most recent 24-hour period -- below the hoped for two-million/day number ... and this is when it is recommended that everyone over the age of 16 be vaccinated. 

The numbers should be surging, not dropping.

A drop from 2.645 million to 1.189 million doses: a 55% drop. One could argue we should be seeing three million doses every 24 hours now. If so, the 1.189 represents a 60% disappointment.



Doses of vaccine distributed to health facilities

Change from day before

Vaccinations given

Doses administered in past 24 hours.

Percent of distributed vaccine that is actually administered

Doses received in past week, current Monday from previous Tuesday

Average number of doses given / day in past seven days

Monday

May 3, 2021

312,509,575

0

246,780,203

1,188,734

78.97%

21,817,570

2,287,393

Monday

April 26, 2021

290,692,005

0

230,768,454

2,107,046

79.39%

26,186,280

2,741,021

Monday 

April 19, 2021

264,505,725

0

211,581,309

2,174,495

79.99%

26,709,420

3,127,038

Monday

April 12, 2021

237,796,305

200

189,692,045

2,644,914

79.77%

29,904,910

3,214,893

Monday

April 5, 2021

207,891,395

100

167,187,795

2,134,049

80.42%

27,244,830

3,053,566

Monday

March 29, 2021

180,646,565

100

145,812,835

2,350,144

80.72%

23,912,010

2,757,586

Monday

March 22, 2021

156,734,555

0

126,509,736

2,028,324

80.72%

20,886,720

2,489,697

Moday

March 15, 2021

135,847,835

0

109,081,860

2,021,586

80.30%

19,469,220

2,427,430

Monday

March 8, 2021

116,378,615

15,210

92,089,852

1,738,102

79.13%

19,976,125

2,169,981

Monday    

March 1, 2021

96,402,490

0

76,899,987

1,663,984

79.77%

14,288,120

1,817,502

4 comments:

  1. Wouldn't percent of available distributed almost be a better indicator than # of vacines given? I see (and thanks for the chart by the way, it's must see weekly) that the percent have stayed steady at the 79-80 but there was 4.3 million less doses available.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No, there is more than enough vaccine available in the US. Folks must make their appointments in advance. These vaccines are very expensive and very unstable. Once unfrozen they cannot be re-frozen. Sites are sent the amount of vaccine based on quotas and the number of folks who make appointments. If no one makes appointments, no vaccine will be sent.

      The bigger variable, which is more likely, and in line with your thoughts, availability of volunteers and staff to administer the vaccine.

      There are many variables, but at the end of the day, the biggest variable is the number of appointments being made.

      If, in fact, you are correct -- that it's a logistical problem (human resources available to give the vaccine and the availability of vaccine) then I see that as an even bigger problem.

      Delete
  2. You still make an appointment but it is getting easier and easier. Practically walk in lately. No line for my booster Friday. Drug stores have it. No more computer science degree needed.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. This will be fascinating to watch over the next few weeks.

      Delete