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Tuesday, October 20, 2020

Comparing Apples And Oranges -- October 20, 2020

Another glowing review of the new Apple iPhone 12 smartphones. Link here. There's definitely a different level of (positive) anticipation regarding these new phones. Comparing apples and oranges:
GM is on a huge CAPEX spending spree, announcing yet another new EV factory, this will be their third in just the past few months;

  • P/E:
    • GM: 33
    • AAPL: 36
  • dividend:
    • GM: none
    • AAPL: 0.76%
  • cash flow, quarterly:
    • GM: a negative $10 billion
    • AAPL: $60 billion

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site.  Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. 

So many story lines. I'm just blown away by the fact that GM and AAPL have essentially the same P/E. I'm way too biased but it just seems to me the excitement over the iPhone 12 is unprecedented except perhaps with that seen with iPhone 6. Combine the excitement with the new phone plus 5G and it certainly seems this could really be incredible. 

Folks who still have jobs have a lot of money to spend. $/GB storage these phones are actually less expensive than the previous corresponding phones. Folks are looking for something exciting, anything to take their minds off politics and Chinese flu. I'm seeing literally no negative reviews of the iPhone 12.

We won't see this when Apple reports this quarter's numbers but next quarter's results should be amazing. 

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site.  Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.

Apple iPhone 12 update (previously posted):

  • Securities analyst Ming Chi-Kuo suggests iPhone 12 Pro demand is higher than expected. Link here
  • iPhone 12 Pro pre-orders are already selling out. Link here. Others have suggested that when the Apple site when live to begin taking orders for the iPhone 12, the supply of iPhone 12's were sold out in twelve minutes
  • Taiwanese carriers believe that sales of iPhone 12 models will be the strongest since the iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus. Link here.

Previously posted: 

Previously posted:

By the way, how much is it costing Apple to put 5G into their phones. Over time, the cost is coming down, but as recently as August 22, 2020, this was the breakdown:

Back to 5G. I don't know if folks remember, but the other day I posted a video to explain mineral rights to a reader. During that video, I had to "re-fresh" a graphic on my computer. The re-fresh took several seconds. With 5G that will never, never, never, ever happen again. The re-fresh will literally be instantaneous. 

Previously posted, link here: why the iPhone 12 could be a runaway seller.

Are we seeing this kind of enthusiasm for GM?

And the P/E for GM and AAPL almost the same at 33 - 36.

Huge Jump In Production -- BR Zephyr Well In Corral Creek -- October 20, 2020

The well:

  • 32002, 2,117, BR, CCU Zephyr 34-34 MBH, Corral Creek, t2/17; cum 454K 8/20;

Full production here.  

A Bruin Fort Berthold Well In Eagle Nest Goes Over 500K Bbls Cumulative -- October 20, 2020

The well:

  • 31188, 3,752, Bruin/HRC, Fort Berthold 148-95-25B-36-8H, Eagle Nest, 56 stages, 6.7 million lbs, t4/16; cum 496K 8/20;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN8-202031366736771738370636997
BAKKEN7-202031377437641965394539423
BAKKEN6-202091096105878896693927
BAKKEN5-202033203622144304170
BAKKEN4-202030325732681822402339170
BAKKEN3-202031330432471122365635630
BAKKEN2-20201211721221397179417441
BAKKEN1-202031402940411257560543111137
BAKKEN12-201931438243611376581205609
BAKKEN11-20193043474372181266039585471
BAKKEN10-201931530853681978847762752015
BAKKEN9-201930452645562059635643231848
BAKKEN8-201931539455412375714533573573
BAKKEN7-201931452043562757738539573222
BAKKEN6-201930422043831925596330872698
BAKKEN5-201913205819727872033945757
BAKKEN4-201930488048752753630230791622
BAKKEN3-201931552556103471689035091822
BAKKEN2-20192848044796245649823547481
BAKKEN1-20193165466483335086897070491
BAKKEN12-20183165826552311790148284389
BAKKEN11-2018306936681436511250811416707
BAKKEN10-20182462726513422787008137291
BAKKEN9-2018309179924260001267711686614
BAKKEN8-2018820351616156233262534616
BAKKEN7-2018238456895056151055182921731
BAKKEN6-2018251104410549402815973137262046
BAKKEN5-20181152655295302295008612791
BAKKEN4-2018281668217518928228436266621428
BAKKEN3-20183114677143708216232942294043
BAKKEN2-201826112881073140431413013818115
BAKKEN1-201841019145240711871047106
BAKKEN12-201731130631309578351763116585757
BAKKEN11-201730135431367283071874817748790
BAKKEN10-201731128081265091761699816333448
BAKKEN9-2017301181711920890714116117032203
BAKKEN8-2017311810917856120532377922657905
BAKKEN7-201720103521057870281195211460352
BAKKEN6-201730152241493697711836617306850
BAKKEN5-2017319628988584691245511491747
BAKKEN4-2017301702717131487728530271871133
BAKKEN3-2017312011020458907921557193192021
BAKKEN2-2017282971029176667338381352772908
BAKKEN1-201722184581873947832438323325904
BAKKEN12-2016252680426749756030261271092977
BAKKEN11-20163038419383591186147805456261969
BAKKEN10-2016172640625842710826790197676904
BAKKEN9-20160000000
BAKKEN8-20160000000
BAKKEN7-20160000000
BAKKEN6-20160000000
BAKKEN5-2016104280700
BAKKEN4-20161837688372601804734886276307130

Pioneer To Buy Parsley; Another All-Stock Deal -- October 20, 2020

I forgot to post until a reader reminded me: Pioneer to buy Parsley.

Pioneer Natural Resources Co. as agreed to buy Parsley Energy Inc. for $4.5 billion, the latest in a flurry of U.S. oil tie-ups as companies seek to weather low prices brought about by the coronavirus pandemic.

The all-stock deal, which values Parsley at a 7.9% premium to its closing value Monday, would solidify Pioneer’s place as one of the largest producers in the Permian Basin of Texas and New Mexico, the top American oil field.

The long-anticipated string of transactions is expected to continue for healthier companies in the country’s most prolific oil fields, investors said, while many smaller, debt-burdened companies that are hoping for a deal may draw few offers.

Pioneer Chief Executive Scott Sheffield said in an interview Tuesday that size and scale would be key to surviving as an independent oil-and-gas producer as the world transitions away from fossil fuels, and for his company would help it return more cash to shareholders. But he said additional combinations of industry players may take time.

“I do not see much more coming until these other companies can deliver with excess cash flow over the next two or three years,” he said.

“The combination of Parsley and Pioneer creates an organization set to thrive as we forge a strong new link at the low end of the global cost curve,” Parsley Chief Executive Matt Gallagher said in a statement. He is poised to join the combined company’s board of directors

An Enerplus Smooth Green Antelope-Sanish Well Goes Over 500K Bbls Cumulative -- October 20, 2020

 The well:

  • 32830, 1,983, Enerplus, Smooth Green 152-94-18A-19H, Antelope, Sanish, t9/17; cum 558K 3/20; remains off line8/20;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
SANISH8-20200000000
SANISH7-20200000000
SANISH6-2020121106273823601
SANISH5-20203111507185173216333
SANISH4-20200000000
SANISH3-20203146174460277818470146312309
SANISH2-202023319630772064144621316096
SANISH1-202014148815348216624608745
SANISH12-201931327733003513720464510
SANISH11-201930336035314406882880660
SANISH10-201931384036754038672857120
SANISH9-201930387740073405699562060
SANISH8-2019254560439043331037793680
SANISH7-20191641924786618216717158270
SANISH6-201930681262991190129095271470
SANISH5-201931600961291038624778224920
SANISH4-201930735774941062527967266760
SANISH3-2019309960100711191333340318600
SANISH2-201926933790911023539569379990
SANISH1-201930920892541092734993337160
SANISH12-2018311186611903958545855441350
SANISH11-2018301199612095928031011294600
SANISH10-20183114816147161151357854564330
SANISH9-20182815359154961289336340351820
SANISH8-20183122559223391534652299505590
SANISH7-20182922167222161066945480441790
SANISH6-20183023087231421165955461543550
SANISH5-20183026153262021375345542444320
SANISH4-20183034114340652949758525572110
SANISH3-20182930477304083570442538410430
SANISH2-20181010251103962627415492150640
SANISH1-20183159591593773374395397937730
SANISH12-20171836086365201239955585548470
SANISH11-20172960864609032650684380829850
SANISH10-201731728877298126829983977569822061
SANISH9-20172024478234911671833045032684

A BR Croff TFH Wells Goes Over 500K Bbls Cumulative -- October 20, 2020

The well:

  • 33153, 524, BR, Croff 6-1-2 UTFH, Croff, t11/17; cum 546K 8/20;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN8-20200000000
BAKKEN7-20200000000
BAKKEN6-20200000000
BAKKEN5-2020001950000
BAKKEN4-2020251704917109923326333258390
BAKKEN3-202030156311542972171878618177297
BAKKEN2-20206273827881391386937060
BAKKEN1-2020288823872533591176798541464
BAKKEN12-20191450149727813219350
BAKKEN11-201965488724262000
BAKKEN10-2019194263426625351294474885297
BAKKEN9-201983453344920671099584632371
BAKKEN8-20191154915604281414106106143215
BAKKEN7-201931155261557071695015849463456
BAKKEN6-2019301942319491845750796473253222
BAKKEN5-201931272492705913152500963313416641
BAKKEN4-2019161302513068558725339642218655
BAKKEN3-20192814124142233541282161773810156
BAKKEN2-2019281788317833666122252220450
BAKKEN1-2019312561025612848626890266060
BAKKEN12-2018222072220744616720191199130
BAKKEN11-2018302918529199928829616295180
BAKKEN10-2018312848328621905030685305900
BAKKEN9-2018302660926436909631922316690
BAKKEN8-20183130223303111141043408433060
BAKKEN7-20183125517254231164844154440590
BAKKEN6-20183028596286601219843158430670
BAKKEN5-20183128517285051334943199430920
BAKKEN4-20183027733276931056042607424420
BAKKEN3-20183123679235971014138413383150
BAKKEN2-2018272072620773888728207280720
BAKKEN1-20182827990280551036911310112110
BAKKEN12-201782372723680733632348322520
BAKKEN11-20171133831323034231369612655958
BAKKEN10-20170000000

A BR Mathistad Middle Bakken Well Goes Over 600K Bbls Cumulative -- October 20, 2020

The well:

  • 33152, 414, BR, Mathistad 6-8-35 MBH, Croff, t11/17; cum 609K 4/20; remains off line 8/20;
    PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
    BAKKEN8-20200000000
    BAKKEN7-20200000000
    BAKKEN6-20200000000
    BAKKEN5-2020001800000
    BAKKEN4-2020251571415776237220647203260
    BAKKEN3-2020301481814595268026681230993124
    BAKKEN2-202059671022718493847820
    BAKKEN1-20202963216331365929549277871212
    BAKKEN12-20193190389069497644577440280
    BAKKEN11-2019301110511120574351749513420
    BAKKEN10-2019311569915769546645346448890
    BAKKEN9-2019301839618311660548611456252492
    BAKKEN8-2019261834218227680641115355814965
    BAKKEN7-20193101100000
    BAKKEN6-2019301118111316424822639186583883
    BAKKEN5-20193125827257438656511143588514942
    BAKKEN4-20193030343303356983584602779030418
    BAKKEN3-20193119286193275706352862271612457
    BAKKEN2-2019281643716403665918955188270
    BAKKEN1-2019312549325502658425158250310
    BAKKEN12-2018222152521531636120171199810
    BAKKEN11-2018302757627597729526817267280
    BAKKEN10-2018312806428226810830225301310
    BAKKEN9-2018302824428051848734195337850
    BAKKEN8-201831303293046094314359743028467
    BAKKEN7-2018313004029900108134148140882510
    BAKKEN6-2018302821628256903542947428560
    BAKKEN5-2018312526425310556736601365100
    BAKKEN4-20183031938318441145850981508730
    BAKKEN3-2018312058720563798033628335420
    BAKKEN2-2018272913329168979235027349420
    BAKKEN1-2018263313933172907439408393060
    BAKKEN12-2017252280422763703531413313390
    BAKKEN11-201720130961294534211369412656958