This is page five.
The best historic precedent:
The Spanish flu, also known as the 1918 flu pandemic, was an unusually deadly influenza pandemic caused by the H1N1 influenza A virus. Lasting from February 1918 to April 1920, it infected 500 million people – about a third of the world's population at the time – in four successive waves. The death toll is typically estimated to have been somewhere between 17 million and 50 million, making it one of the deadliest pandemics in human history.
Let's parse that paragraph:
- February, 1918 --April, 1920: 26 months
- no vaccine -- didn't even know it was a virus
- a third of the world's population became infected
- if herd immunity requires 60 to 75%, then herd immunity was never reached
- the pandemic ended without any known reason; no vaccine, no herd immunity;
- death toll: estimated between 17 million and 50 million
- four successive waves
Coronavirus (USA):
- December, 2019 - present
- US population: 332 million
- November 9, 2020:
- 10 million cases
- 10/332 = 3% -- well below 33% seen in Spanish flu pandemic
- well below herd immunity which requires 60 to 75% of population having contracted the disease
- 244,000 deaths: 2.4% case fatality rate
Coronavirus: statistics. By country. By state.
CDC: vaccine rollout.
Vaccination rollout: Bloomberg.
Genetics. Link here. Also, here.
US re-opening, tracked here.
New York: mortality rate (new link noted June 1, 2020).
THE DISEASE
Long-haulers: link here.
UPDATES
February 18, 2022: mandates are quickly coming to an end. By June 1, 2022, the global nightmare will be over.
March 14, 2021: a snapshot in time.
March 3, 2021: Texas, Mississippi lift all restrictions. CDC says "states" suffering from Covid-19 fatigue; warn against rush to lift restrictions. Yes, it's been a year. Hardly rushing.
January 26, 2021: vaccination rollout update.
January 21, 2021: "sources" are reporting that Japanese officials wishing to remain anonymous are now spreading the word that the 202One is "dead." The Japanese are scrambling to "get" the 2032 Olympics, the next available Olympics with a site yet to be chosen.
January 20, 2021: Ivermectin, cheap and "generic," available worldwide; seems to increase survival rate in those diagnosed with Covid-19. Link here.
December 20, 2020: Covid craziness.
December 10, 2020: update; after falling off the top-5 list, ND surges back to the #2 position;
November 29, 2020: update; ND breaks below 900.
November 28, 2020: update; ND breaks below a thousand.
November 23, 2020: deaths per capita, North Dakota stays at #8; South Dakota jumps to #11.
November 22, 2020: cure.
November 19, 2020: Reproduction numbers, herd immunity, and all that jazz.
November 16, 2020: CDC's MMWR update posted.
November 11, 2020:
- North Dakota: first drop in recent history; at 1,202; from 1,215 yesterday
- South Dakota: takes big jump, from 913, to 959
- Iowa: takes a huge jump, from 754 to 935
November 10, 2020: Pfizer says their vaccine appears to be 90% effective. I'm not buying it.
November 10, 2020: yesterday's report.
November 9, 2020: Pfizer said that the company was making great strides with its vaccine, but no specifics were given. It certainly suggests there is a long, long way to go.
November 9, 2020: the challenge for President Biden -- he certainly suggested that a total national lockdown was needed; mandatory national masking was needed. This, of course, would destroy the economy. He needs to have a great economy going into the mid-terms only two years away. He needs to thread the needle. He needs to walk back a total national lockdown into something that would not destroy the economy. Biden will be judged on what the economy is doing two years from. His plans, as suggested during the campaign, would destroy the economy. That's why he has formed a task force. The task force will need to present him a strategic plan with which he can articulate to the public.
November 9, 2020: by the way, if you don't believe me that Joe Biden plans to mandate nationwide masks, he himself said it: he will hire 10,000 folks to track Americans wearing/not wearing masks. Right out of China; right out of 1984. And, yes, he can mandate a nationwide mask requirement. Simply tie federal highway funds to each state contingent on wearing mask state mandates; or Medicare reimbursement; or ObamaCare reimbursement; etc. etc.
November 8, 2020:
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