Drilling A Bit Deeper: Why Bear Creek Moved To The Top Of "The Production / Well" List -- September 16, 2018

Updates

April 5, 2020: with the exception of two wells, it appears all the Werre Trust wells are IA. They went off line 11/19; remain off line 2/20.

May 1, 2019: production data for many of the Werre Trust wells updated below. 

October 21, 2018

• 32378, 2,540, XTO, Werre Trust 21X-3B, Bear Creek, 60 stages; 17.9 million lbs, t6/18; cum 401K 12/20; off line 11/19; remains off line 2/20; back on line 7/20;
  
• 32379, 1,112, XTO, Werre Trust 21X-3E, Bear Creek, t8/18; cum 116K 12/20; offline for the most part since 1/19; still off line as of 4/19; back on line as of 6/19; off line 10/19; remains off line 2/20; back on line 7/20;
  
• 32380, 2,637, XTO, Werre Trust 21X-3A, Bear Creek, t8/18; cum 395K 12/20; 49,232 bbls in August, 2018; offline as of 3/19; remains off line as of 4/19; off line 10/19; remains off line 2/20; back on line 7/20;
  
• 17880, 1,206, XTO, Werre Trust 21-3H, Bear Creek, t10/09; cum 208K 12/20; AB 4/16; isn't this interesting, AB back in 4/16, now active as of 12/18; see this note; off line 11/19; back on line 1/20;
  

Original Post 

For newbies: this is how a few wells can have great effect on production data for a given field in the Bakken.

Bear Creek was #1 in average amount of oil produced per well among all the fields in North Dakota in July, 2018 -- the most recent month for which data was provided.

The data was posted here: https://themilliondollarway.blogspot.com/2018/09/north-dakota-crude-oil-production-by_16.html.

This is why.

Look at the group of wells that were completed and tested in July, 2018, in the Bear Creek. These were huge wells. In addition, Bear Creek is a relatively small field with only a few wells; it doesn't take many wells to have a great effect on production:

• 32756, 1,025, XTO, Bear Creek 31X-3F2, t5/18; cum 171K 12/20;
• 32755, 1,400, XTO, Bear Creek 31X-3BXC, t5/18; cum 398K 12/20;
• 32754, 2,468, XTO, Werre Trust Federal 31X-3FXG, t10/17; cum 271K 12/20;
• 32753, 2,556, XTO, Werre Trust Federal 14X-3C, t10/17; cum 442K 12/20; off line 11/19; back on line 2/20;
• 32502, IA/1,086, XTO, Werre Trust Federal 14X-34AXD-S, t5/18; cum 431K 12/20; off line 11/19; remains off line 2/20;
• 32501, IA/1,884, XTO, Werre Trust 14X-34AXD-N, Bear Creek, t5/18; cum 371K 12/20; off line 11/19; remains off line 2/20;
• 32500, 2,717, XTO, Werre Trust Federal 14X-34AXD-N, Bear Creek, t5/18; cum 574K 12/20; off line 11/19; remains off line 2/20; back on line 7/20;
  
• 32499, 1,071, XTO, Werre Trust Federal 14X-34EXH2-N, Bear Creek, t6/18; cum 196K 12/20; came off line 10/18; back online for seven days in 2/19; off line 11/19; remains off line 2/20; back on line 7/20;
  
• *32481, 2,288, XTO, Werre Trust Federal 14X-34A, Bear Creek, t9/18; cum 381K 12/20; offline 11/19; remains off line 2/20; back on line 7/20;
  
• 32480, 2,653, XTO, Werre Trust Federal 14X-34E, Bear Creek, t5/18; cum 128K 12/20; off line as of 11/18; still off line as of 2/20; back on line 11/20;
  
• 32479, 2,701, XTO, Werre Trust Federal 14X-34AXB, Bear Creek, t7/18; cum 448K 12/20; off line 11/19; remains off line 2/20; back on line 7/20;
  
• 32380, 2,637, XTO, Werre Trust 21X-3A, Bear Creek, t8/18; cum 395K 12/20; off line 11/19; remains off line 2/20; back on line 7/20;
  
• 32379, 1,112, XTO, Werre Trust 21X-3E, Bear Creek, t8/18; cum 116K 12/20; offline 11/19; remains off line 2/20; back on line 7/20;
  
• 32378, 2,540, XTO, Werre Trust 21X-3B, Bear Creek, t6/18; cum 401K 12/20; offline 11/19; remains off line 2/20; back on line 7/20;
  
• 17880, see full production data at this post; t10/09; cum 208K 12/20; offline 11/19; back online 1/20; off line12/20;
  

These pale in comparison to MRO's recently reported wells, but due to small number of wells in the entire field, a few new wells can have a huge effect.

So, let's take a look at the map (busy, busy, busy, huh?):

Some of the wells not noted above the graphic:

• 14696, TA/AB/820, XTO, Bear Creek Unit 3-1, Bear Creek, the Duperow formation, t3/98; cum 338K as of 6/16; TD = 11,850 feet
• 16974, AB/2 (no typo), XTO, BCDU 13X-35, Bear Creek, the Duperow formation, t6/08; cum 48K as of 5/17;
• 15064, PA/621, XTO, Porcupine Ridge 11-2H, Bear Creek, the Madison formation, t2/101; cum 203K as of 4/16;

Additional wells on the graphic above (and when first updated):

• 29871, 1,519, XTO, Werre Trust Federal 44X-34D, Bear Creek, t7/15; cum 438K 12/20; no data for a re-frack at FracFocus; first updated, 5/19;

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California Dreamin', The Mamas and the Papas
When I was on temporary duty to northern Yorkshire, England, back in 2002 - 2004, after work, I would go for long, long walks almost every night well after dark. Most nights I would pass the same small Anglican church; the doors were always open; absolutely dark; no lights -- and I would feel my way along the pews -- to the front of the small church -- and sit in the front row for an hour or so and meditate ... this song always takes me back to those nights ...

" ... stopped into a church I passed along the way. Well, I got down on my knees and I began to pray --  you know the preacher liked the cold; he knows I'm gonna stay ..."

[From another site: Michelle Phillips said she wrote some of the lyrics for this song, including the part about the visit to the church. Interestingly, the Beach Boys sing the lyrics the way they are commonly presented: "I pretend to pray." However, Michelle sings them the way she says she wrote them: "I began to pray."]

North Dakota Crude Oil Production By Field, Ranked By July, 2018, Average Well Production -- July, 2018, Data

Two months of production data selected:

• first month (first five columns): January, 2018, production; the January, 2018, data is compared with the December, 2017, data which is not shown;
• second month (last five columns): July, 2018, production; the July, 2018, data is compared with the January, 2018, data (the first five columns)

Disclaimer: not triple-checked. Sophia refused to check all the numbers. In addition, she can only count to 22 and doesn't yet "get" all the "teen"numbers.

Ranked by July, 2018, Oil / Well / Month (Column 9)

[e.g.: the Bear Creek wells, on average, 
produced 9,502 bbls/well/month of July, 2018]

Field	Jan 2018 Production	Jan Wells	Jan Oil / Well / Month	Percent Change Jan-over-Dec	Change in # of wells	July 18 Production	July 18 Wells	July Oil / Well /  Month	Percent Change Jul-over-Jan	Change in # of wells
Bear Creek	103,333	41	2,520	-33.37%	0	522,608	55	9,502	405.75%	14
Elm Tree	744,102	69	10,784	-6.06%	1	667,718	89	7,502	-10.27%	20
Blue Buttes	1,272,618	193	6,594	2.91%	1	1,500,927	219	6,854	17.94%	26
Antelope-Sanish	1,693,577	218	7,769	12.62%	3	1,463,230	239	6,122	-13.60%	21
Reunion Bay	669,889	173	3,872	-7.92%	-1	1,215,205	200	6,076	81.40%	27
Spotted Horn	517,490	112	4,620	-15.33%	0	727,761	127	5,730	40.63%	15
Bailey	742,278	163	4,554	15.93%	6	949,540	175	5,426	27.92%	12
North Fork	513,087	74	6,934	11.87%	1	371,175	77	4,820	-27.66%	3
Eagle Nest	409,861	108	3,795	-14.26%	0	547,596	116	4,721	33.61%	8
Alkali Creek	675,693	166	4,070	8.70%	0	871,639	192	4,540	29.00%	26
Banks	971,819	222	4,378	6.49%	9	1,153,777	260	4,438	18.72%	38
Corral Creek	533,834	167	3,197	9.27%	0	811,452	184	4,410	52.00%	17
Big Bend	648,552	134	4,840	-6.06%	0	620,479	143	4,339	-4.33%	9
Sand Creek	248,342	93	2,670	-2.99%	-1	446,948	104	4,298	79.97%	11
East Fork	366,905	128	2,866	51.53%	5	605,788	143	4,236	65.11%	15
Camel Butte	195,436	41	4,767	-0.05%	0	199,496	48	4,156	2.08%	7
North Tobacco Garden	549,943	67	8,208	-6.61%	0	308,234	75	4,110	-43.95%	8
Charlson	318,511	108	2,949	-7.58%	0	492,476	121	4,070	54.62%	13
Moccasin Creek	173,865	63	2,760	-3.50%	0	254,863	69	3,694	46.59%	6
Siverston	1,026,553	300	3,422	2.18%	4	1,156,410	327	3,536	12.65%	27
Grail	669,322	203	3,297	1.22%	5	715,129	203	3,523	6.84%	0
Truax	710,783	198	3,590	70.91%	8	711,138	213	3,339	0.05%	15
McGregory Buttes	467,524	115	4,065	-2.34%	1	399,839	120	3,332	-14.48%	5
Stockyard Creek	200,522	90	2,228	8.87%	1	289,506	94	3,080	44.38%	4
Van Hook	514,082	190	2,706	-4.52%	0	491,150	190	2,585	-4.46%	0
Chimney Butte	238,180	85	2,802	-4.65%	2	211,911	86	2,464	-11.03%	1
Bear Den	183,987	47	3,915	-11.10%	0	110,721	47	2,356	-39.82%	0
Heart Butte	587,809	213	2,760	-2.09%	0	504,654	217	2,326	-14.15%	4
Cow Creek	130,760	45	2,906	10.96%	0	102,043	45	2,268	-21.96%	0
Sanish	1,430,162	629	2,274	10.01%	5	1,440,230	647	2,226	0.70%	18
Bell	250,958	83	3,024	-9.79%	0	172,628	83	2,080	-31.21%	0
Brooklyn	223,762	90	2,486	-10.51%	0	184,658	90	2,052	-17.48%	0
Clear Creek	156,278	76	2,056	42.87%	0	157,097	78	2,014	0.52%	2
Alger	643,878	335	1,922	-1.68%	0	683,419	341	2,004	6.14%	6
Cedar Hills - NRRB	228,781	117	1,955	-2.45%	0	220,323	117	1,883	-3.70%	0
Little Knife	390,388	162	2,410	13.15%	1	300,124	162	1,853	-23.12%	0
Camp	313,703	147	2,134	-6.94%	0	252,115	147	1,715	-19.63%	0
Parshall	1,070,154	523	2,046	-8.59%	0	852,494	525	1,624	-20.34%	2
Clarks Creek	122,458	45	2,721	-3.55%	0	69,491	45	1,544	-43.25%	0
Cedar Hills - SRRB	206,576	153	1,350	-0.96%	0	183,293	153	1,198	-11.27%	0
Beaver Lodge	154,971	79	1,962	17.44%	0	93,293	80	1,166	-39.80%	1
Murphy Creek	250,730	206	1,217	-30.20%	0	237,473	209	1,136	-5.29%	3
Baker	88,177	69	1,278	-5.08%	0	77,713	69	1,126	-11.87%	0
Cottonwood	67,973	91	747	2.18%	0	60,723	91	667	-10.67%	0