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Monday, March 21, 2011

US Will Help Brazil Develop Their Oil Assets For Future US Imports

See link.
Now, with a seven-year offshore drilling ban in effect off of both coasts, on Alaska's continental shelf and in much of the Gulf of Mexico — and a de facto moratorium covering the rest — Obama tells the Brazilians:

"We want to help you with the technology and support to develop these oil reserves safely. And when you're ready to start selling, we want to be one of your best customers."

Obama wants to develop Brazilian offshore oil to help the Brazilian economy create jobs for Brazilian workers while Americans are left unemployed in the face of skyrocketing energy prices by an administration that despises fossil fuels as a threat to the environment and wants to increase our dependency on foreign oil.
I cannot make this stuff up. 

EOG Featured on CNBC's "Mad Money" With Jim Cramer -- March 21, 2011

This is at least the fourth segment on the Bakken that Jim Cramer has featured on his show in the last 30 days.

It is almost as if he has just discovered the Bakken.

For Investors Only: NOG -- Questions Regarding Valuation -- Bakken, North Dakota, USA

Updates

May 13, 2011: On wives, friends, and beauticians.

March 29, 2011: NOG bounces back

March 28, 2011: NOG provides operational update. Responds to recent "bear raid."

March 28, 2011: SeekingAlpha.com replies. All smoke, no gun.

March 24, 2011: NOG has leveled off; now going back up.

March 24, 2011: Bakken Shale Discussion Group weighs in

March 24, 2011: My hunch -- a lot of folks are waiting for NOG to level off and then they will buy back in. Traders only make money with volatility. This will be very interesting to follow.

March 24, 2011: The Wall Street Journal weighs in.  Be sure to read the comments.

March 23, 2011: Motley Fool says "no" to NOG.

March 23, 2011: It appears the article has its intended effects. It will be interesting to see how this all plays out. I would think that if the stock is oversold, the company would go back in and aggressively buy back stock, or there would be increased insider buying. If not, one has to wonder how relevant the research is. Regardless, it was good to see this happen: it keeps folks like me who are inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken grounded, cautious, and diversified. The next three quarters will be the most important quarters in NOG's relatively young history as a billion-dollar market cap company. My enthusiasm for NOG's unique business model has not waned one iota. 

March 22, 2011, 2200 hrs: here's another blog that has piggy-backed unto the original Street Sweeper blog questioning the valuation of NOG, and shorting the stock. The blog appears to be coming out of Australia, and it sounds like in addition to questioning NOG, he questions the entire Bakken. Again, I am glad the article on NOG came out: it keeps me grounded, cautious, and diversified. Also, if NOG pulls back significantly, it provides another opportunity to accumulate more shares.


ORIGINAL POST

Someone alerted me to this 2-part story regarding the valuation of NOG:

http://thestreetsweeper.org/undersurveillance.html?i=1665
http://thestreetsweeper.org/undersurveillance.html?i=1671

The story was picked up by a contributor to SeekingAlpha.com and can be found here:

http://seekingalpha.com/article/259340-will-growth-spurt-last-for-northern-oil-and-gas?source=yahoo

I have always been a fan of NOG's business model. It will be interesting to see how this plays out.

The contention is that NOG is not accounting for the huge decline rates in Bakken wells. The articles do not discuss the effect $100 oil has on the company, or the valuation. I would suspect many of these companies are being valuated on $60 or $75 oil at a time when more and more pundits see $100 oil for the foreseeable future.

Update: for traders, this may be an opportunity to sell and buy back in when NOG settles at its new "floor."

For long term investors, this could be typical volatility that will work itself out over time.

Update on the Scanlan 3-5H, #18770, Truax Field

Someone asked about the "Scanlan 3-5H."

Assuming we are talking about:
  • 18770, 819, North Plains Energy, LLC, Scanlan 3-5H, Truax field, Middle Bakken; 21 stages; 2.1 million lbs
Here is the most recent NDIC data:
  • This well was spudded on 6/4/10.
  • The IP was tested on 9/8/10.  (Again, three months from spud date suggests a short, but not excessively long delay in fracking,)
  • The IP was 819.
Production data:
  • In September, 2010, for 23 days it produced 19,039 bbls;  published "runs": 18,400 and no natural gas produced or sold or flared
  • In October, 2010, 27 days, it produced 11,789 bbls; published "runs" of 11,770 bbls; 102,000 cubic feet of natural gas produced; 77,000 cf flared; none sold
  • In November, 2010: 18 days; 6,319 bbls produced; published "runs" of 6,252 bbls; 2 million cubic feet of natural gas produced; most of it flared
  • In December, 2010: 31 days; 10,860 bbls produced; published "runs" of 10,483 bbls; 17 million cubic feet of natural gas, and all of it flared, not of it sold
  • In January, 2011: 31 days; 9,474 bbls produced; published "runs" of 9,493 bbls; 21 million cubic feet of natural gas produced and all of it flared.

The well has produced a cumulative of 57,481 barrels (if I did not make any typos, adding up monthly production should total cumulative production), in less than five full months. Someone elsewhere has said he/she uses 100,000 barrels as the breakpoint for paying for the well (at the wellhead). For me, this would be a very, very good well. Maybe not great compared to some in the Bakken, but if this wells pays for itself in 18 months, and then runs for 25 - 30 years, that's not bad.

It is my understanding that "runs" is the amount of oil "run" into the pipeline to be sold.

As a rule of thumb, one can divide cubic feet of natural gas by 6,000 to get rough estimate of "oil equivalent."  Thus, 21 million cubic feet of natural gas equates to 3,500 barrels of oil equivalent.  I could be wrong on this last point and if I am wrong, I am sure that someone will write in to tell me I'm wrong. This sounds like a lot of boe but Lynn Helms says natural gas is not economical for North Dakota Bakken wells.

I also could have made typographical errors on this but I will correct them if I find them or someone points them out to me.

This well is still flowing on its own; no pump (or assisted lift) yet, although that will eventually happen (based on experience in the Bakken). Its total depth was 18,955 feet which means it was a long lateral, and its spacing is two sections (1280 acres).

Price of Oil Increased Today -- What's Driving the Price?

Commentary only; not about the Bakken.

What's driving the price of oil? This is a multiple choice question; there are no wrong answers. 
One can make an argument for any one of the four, along with the US gradually ending its own domestic drilling program:
  • Offshore Alaska -- decreasing production and new fields out of the question
  • Onshore federal lands: bureaucratic delays in issuing permits
  • Onshore non-federal lands: lawsuits to prevent development
  • Gulf of Mexico: permitorium continues
  • Converting 40% of corn (food) to ethanol
My hunch: unrest in the Mideast spooked the market but once that settled down, the fact that Japan is now acknowledging that it will need to increase the use of oil, natural gas, or coal; and China will need to do the same if they don't bring their nuclear reactors on line have both replaced the Mideast issue. (I am in the minority on this; pundits say it is the "western bombing on Libya." Remember, the max amount of oil taken off the market due to this is 1.5 million barrels/daily and that all went to Europe; and some feel it is closer to less than a million barrels/day.  North Dakota, alone, is producing 350,000 bbls per day.)

But short term, the story that the Japanese government is asking its refiners to increase production speaks volumes:
Japan’s government is pursuing a number of emergency measures to deal with fuel shortages that include shipping 38,000 kl (about 10,000 gallons) of oil products by sea from refineries in Hokkaido and western Japan to the Tohoku region, hard-hit by the recent earthquake and tsunami.

Minister of Economy, Trade, and Industry Banri Kaieda called on the Petroleum Association of Japan (PAJ) to implement the emergency steps after earlier urging oil distributors to release 1.26 million kl for supply to the market.

Kaieda also called for the operating rates of refineries in western Japan, which stand at around 80%, to be raised to at least 95%. 
Increasing refinery operating rates from 80 percent to full capacity is remarkable. 

Nordic American Tanker sent a letter to its shareholders with the following paragraph (this link is dynamic and may break):
(On Japan) As far as the impact on our industry goes, it is too early to tell, but if nuclear power becomes less attractive, then it is reasonable to assume that the demand for other energy sources such as oil will increase..."
Meanwhile, from Washington, I get a sense of "business as usual":
  • A trip to Brazil (I still don't know why) [Update: here's the reason]
  • Weekend radio addresses on education reform
  • Supreme Court agrees that list of banks receiving bailout dollars must be released
It's very possible it is "business as usual," and maybe by the end of the month, things will be back to normal. But as I list the issues above (at the top of the page), one certainly gets a feeling of things running faster than normal (I didn't even mention the undeclared war on Libya -- 124 Tomahawks and counting; $100 million in missiles alone, so far).

I hope the price of oil doesn't get to $110. It will be blamed on speculators.

CLR Moves Headquarters to Oklahoma City, Oklahoma -- Quite An Incredible Story -- North Dakota, USA

Continental Resources announced today the company is moving corporate headquarters to Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, part of their strategic plan to triple the size of the company in five years.

This is an incredible story. I don't know what CLR's market cap was in 2007 but today it's about $11 billion. The Bakken made this company what it is and it was the foresight of its CEO and his willingness to stake his company on a new formation and new technology that made is so successful.

The Bakken has been a great run for many folks and for North Dakota, the story is only about four years old. For Montana, Elm Coulee, the story is about eleven years old, and now companies are going back in and refracking/reworking the original wells in Elm Coulee/Bakken.

And it's numbers like this (posted earlier today) that make the Bakken very, very interesting (this is a Whiting well, not a CLR well, but the point is still the same):
The Niemitalo 31-15XH (#19502) runs parallel to the Kinnoin 11-14H (#17081) which had an IP of 3,311, and has produced 534,267 bbls of oil as of 6/12. It was spudded 8/08.  (At $50/bbl, 400K bbls = $20 million.) 400,000 bbls in less than three years and it continues to produce at 10,000 bbls/month (at $75/bbl, 3/4 of a million dollars every month); t2/11; cum 426K 7/17; cum 517K 11/23;
Monthly production:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN7-20173125102449339270526430
BAKKEN6-20173024032452428246424040
BAKKEN5-20173127032670368275626940
BAKKEN4-20173028603043369279427340
BAKKEN3-201731301128734392804272121
BAKKEN2-201728274926923332419233231
BAKKEN1-2017312996320130724002187151
BAKKEN12-2016313206308438223692128180
BAKKEN11-20162929332908408226722090
BAKKEN10-2016313205316640423681609697
BAKKEN9-20163030473041397216021000
BAKKEN8-20163132063258487222821579
BAKKEN7-20163135193453460247824160
BAKKEN6-20163033913494465223921790
BAKKEN5-20163138153893540253424720
BAKKEN4-20163039513805482252724670
BAKKEN3-201631385138336062257210887
BAKKEN2-2016283204323612231255112970
BAKKEN1-2016293577355613371530138886
BAKKEN12-2015313944447014301769162978
BAKKEN11-2015303269282514671655152273
BAKKEN10-2015231975193410269899440
BAKKEN9-201521190818764031880179643
BAKKEN8-20153130453047641323031680
BAKKEN7-20153131313136729329432266
BAKKEN6-2015302978298461931242860204
BAKKEN5-201531321432256343053296130
BAKKEN4-201530325732186442916280353
BAKKEN3-20153133413437700327432120
BAKKEN2-20152832383166636312930730
BAKKEN1-201531357035347003174309616
BAKKEN12-201431369637935173039289681
BAKKEN11-201430369337995973132303438
BAKKEN10-20143139063726460309930370
BAKKEN9-201430417542864303038296018
BAKKEN8-20143144374634454310830460
BAKKEN7-201431458042784962958280987
BAKKEN6-20142534313530593255625110
BAKKEN5-20143144254433600339733350
BAKKEN4-2014304715462354434522695697
BAKKEN3-20143152125634761367825731043
BAKKEN2-201427477548508782793273210
BAKKEN1-201428510948551010257625210
BAKKEN12-20133158216413145434133233118
BAKKEN11-201330605756361537343433740
BAKKEN10-2013315851580415413099302315
BAKKEN9-201328521653591316279627400
BAKKEN8-2013305879566814052957281681
BAKKEN7-201331456344291031248224200
BAKKEN6-201313130112963609769520
BAKKEN5-20133038324031583326932100
BAKKEN4-20133044914355825345633960
BAKKEN3-201331584659091004408440220
BAKKEN2-20132853925356905341333525
BAKKEN1-201331612961631022396138990
BAKKEN12-201231571060961046455944970
BAKKEN11-201230705067111438437143110
BAKKEN10-20123176587633110645524234256
BAKKEN9-201228730671759923951387224
BAKKEN8-20123169347391813345133838
BAKKEN7-20123170626972832342533558
BAKKEN6-20123074187554855370336430
BAKKEN5-201231898687681019490848460
BAKKEN4-201228830683301029521351508
BAKKEN3-2012319998101431378654864860
BAKKEN2-2012299073982393554255150217
BAKKEN1-20123197408381261554495281106
BAKKEN12-201175909631048854102742
BAKKEN11-20111753675833130174001710
BAKKEN10-2011281059610801352344813394
BAKKEN9-2011221215611383324387203835
BAKKEN8-2011251301413705452467004625
BAKKEN7-2011271601715626629546811234295
BAKKEN6-2011301432014920819760075420
BAKKEN5-2011267501752958938012823935
BAKKEN4-201130105151039280256205420140
BAKKEN3-201131188301856313691049592631170
BAKKEN2-20111311869109364491608833562707

Lodgepole -- Oil for America -- The Jury Is Still Out -- North Dakota, USA

Finally, after coming off the confidential list a month ago, Oil for America is reporting production for:
  • 19258, 75, Oil for America, Zastoupil 22-1, Wildcat, Lodgepole
The "75 barrels" is the production for one (1) day in January. My enthusiasm for this well (and the others of this group) has waned, but I am still waiting for another couple months of production to see what "they" have. But the Lodgepole is supposed to be a reservoir (a pool of oil) that is sequestered and if hit will produce flowing oil without fracturing. But 75 barrels on one day is not encouraging.

But I am waiting for a) a few more months of production; and/or b) a press release from the company explaining their results and future plans.

Wow, Wow, Wow -- Great Wells On Today's Daily Activity Report -- Bakken, North Dakota, USA

These were some of the wells that were reported on today's daily activity report:
  • 19512, 1,959, WLL, Oja 14-27XH, Sanish, Bakken, spudded 10/10; tested 2/11
  • 19502, 2,720, WLL, Niemitalo 31-15XH, Sanish, Bakken, spudded 10/10; tested 2/11
  • 19222, 1,100, WLL, Bartleson 21-3H, Sanish, Bakken, spudded 10/10; tested 2/11
  • 19005, 1,289, WLL, Satterthwaite 43-1H, Sanish, Bakken, spudded 10/10; tested 2/11
  • 18889, 1,512, Murex, Kevin Wayne 10-3H, West Bank, Bakken, spudded 9/10; tested 3/11
It goes without saying that these are incredible wells.

The Niemitalo 31-15XH (#19502) runs parallel to the Kinnoin 11-14H which had an IP of 3,311, and has produced 402,351 bbls of oil as of 1/11. It was spudded 8/08.  (At $50/bbl, 400K bbls = $20 million.)

And 500 feet east of that well, and running parallel is Kinnoin 21-14H, which had an IP of 2,404.  It has produced 244,073 bbls as of 1/11. It was spudded 1/10 (about a year ago). It is still producing 13,000 bbls/month. (At $50/bbl, 250K bbls = $12.5 million [and that's about one year]). 

And I remain inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken. Remember, these Bakken wells are expected to produce for 25 - 30 years.

Four (4) New Permits -- North Dakota, USA

Producers: CLR (2), BEXP (2)

Fields: Camp, Banks, and a wildcat.

The CLR wildcat is in Williams County.

The two BEXP wells will be on the same pad. This may be one of the multi-well pads for BEXP (I can't remember, but it's certainly one of their first, if not their first).

In addition, the daily activity report reported several great wells, which will be reported elsewhere.

Sand Creek Oil Field: North Plains Energy, LLC, Reports A Nice Well in Sand Creek -- Bakken, North Dakota, USA


Updates

March 12, 2020: update; two rigs drilling Sand Creek wells; three rigs actually in the Sand Creek oil field, but one rig drilling wells that will go south into Banks oil field.

October 24, 2014: permits, production data update; 7 rigs in this field today;

November 20, 2011: reminder -- KOG bought North Plains Energy assets, to close January, 2012.

September 24, 2011 -- permits since 19096 --
  • 21529, 2,015, Newfield, Pittsburgh Federal 153-96-3-2H, t11/13; cum 77K 8/14;
  • 21530, 2,058, Newfield, Pittsburgh Federal 153-96-3-3H, t11/3; cum 49K 8/14;
  • 19708, conf, KOG/North Plains, Federal 4-7H
  • 19889, 1,678, XTO/Denbury Onshore, Sand Creek 21-10SH; t5/11; cum 243K 8/1;4
  • 20522, conf, Newfield/North Plains, Sand Creek Federal 153-96-30-1H,
  • 20523, conf, Newfield/North Plains, Sand Creek Federal 153-96-30-10H,
  • 20084, 1,742, Newfield, Garvey Federal 153-96-29-2H, t3/12; cum 117K 8/14;
  • 20336, 1,162, BR, Sun Notch 43-23H, t9/11; cum 30K 8/14; (see below)
  • 20777, 2,405, BR, Renegade 34-10TFH, t9/12; cum 26K 8/14; (for updates, see below)
  • 19814, PNC, XTO, Flatland 24X-11,
  • 20832, 1,200, BR, Outlaw Gap 34-23TFH, t1/12; cum 165K 8/14; (for updates, see below)
  • 20812, 1,884, BR, Hammerhead 31-26MBH, t4/12; cum 292K 8/14; (for updates, see below)
May 26, 2011: A nice Newfield well in Sand Creek:
  • 19096, 2,862, Newfield, Helsingborg 1-22H, Sand Creek, Bakken; t2/11; cum 99K 4/12; 
Permits

2020  (through March 11, 2020)
37440, conf, Oasis, Wold ... 2B, Sand Creek,
37439, conf, Oasis, Wold ... 6B, Sand Creek, ,
37416, conf, Oasis, Wold ... 5B, Sand Creek,
37381, conf, Oasis, Wold ... 4B, Sand Creek,
37352, loc, Oasis, Wold ... 12TX, Sand Creek,

2019 (the list is complete)
37167, loc, Newfield, Pittsburg ... 5H, Sand Creek,
37166, loc, Newfield, Pittsburg ... 4H, Sand Creek,
37165, loc, Newfield, Pittsburg ... 1H, Sand Creek,
36363, PNC, Slawson, Gunslinger .. 1TFH, Sand Creek,
36362, conf, Slawson, Gunslinger .. 1H, Sand Creek,
36361,
36360,
36359,
36358,
36357,
36356,
36355,
36354,
36301, conf, BR, Renegade 34-15TFH-R, Sand Creek,
36112, conf, BR, Outlaw 34-23MBH, Sand Creek,
36111,
36110,
36109,

2018
35773, drl, Whiting, Tarpon Federal 44-19-2TFHU, Sand Creek,
35772, loc, Whiting, Tarpon Federal 44-19-3H, Sand Creek,
35571,

35570,

35769,
35768,
35193, SI/NC, Whiting, Tarpon Federal 34-30-3H, Sand Creek,
34916, SI/NC, Whiting, Wold Federal 44-1-4H, Sand Creek,
34915,

34914,

34663, SI/NC, Whiting, Wold Federal 44-1-2TFH, Sand Creek,
34662,

34661,

34660,
34659,

34631, SI/NC, Whiting, Tarpon Federal 34-20-1H, Sand Creek,
34630,
34629,
34628,
34627,

2017 (list is complete)
34341, conf, Newfield, Sorenson Federal 153-96-4-9-12H, Sand Creek,
34333, conf, Newfield, Sorenson Federal 153-96-4-9-3H, Sand Creek,
34332,
34331,
34330,
34329,

33890, 233, BR, Chuckwagon 41-15TFH, Sand Creek, t1/19; cum 118K 1/20;
33626, conf, Slawson, Gunslinger Federal 15-1-12TF2H, Sand Creek,
33625, IA/1,433, Slawson, Gunslinger Federal 4-1-12H, Sand Creek, t2/18; cum 351K 9/19; remains off line 1/20;
33624,
33623,
33622,
33621,

33555,
33554,
33553, 480, BR, Gladstone 3-1-25MBH A, Sand Creek, t2/18; cum 403K 1/20;

33544, 285, BR, Outlaw Gap 24-23MBH-A, Sand Creek, t4/18; cum 221K 1/20;
33543,
33542,
33541,
33540,
33485,
33484,
33483,
33482,
33481,
33472,
33471,
33470,
33469, 1,757, Whiting, Wold Federal 42-1-1TFH, t10/18; cum 32K 12/18;

2016 (list is complete)
33024, conf, BR, Renegade 24-10 TFH,
33023, conf, BR, Renegade 24-10 MBH,
33022, conf, BR, Chuckwagon 21-15TFH,
32991, PNC, BR,Outlaw Gap 24-23MBH33,
32990, PNC, BR, Outlaw Gap 24-23TFH,
32989, PNC, BR, Outlaw Gap 14-23MBH,
32988, PNC, BR, Outlaw Gap 14-23TFH,
32987, PNC, BR, Outlaw Wagon 14-23MBH-ULW,
32934, conf, BR, Renegade 44-10MBH, Sand Creek, producing,
32933, conf, BR, Chuckwagon 41-15MBH, Sand Creek, producing,
32926, 560, BR, Chuckwagon 31-15TFH, Sand Creek, t12/18; cum 7K after 8 days;
32925, l3 (no typo), BR, Renegade  34-10MBH, Sand Creek, t12/18; cum 6K after 10 days;
32924, dry, BR, Renegade 34-15TFH, Sand Creek, from a COP note: the well was drilled to depth, but problems developed after casing was set and cemented; when the string was pulled, it was noted that the running tool / wiper dart was not observed. It was assumed to be somewhere in the top of the liner. The liner was full of cement, with a calculated 17 bbls of cement outside the casing shoe. The decision was made to plug and abandon the well, and re-drill it from a future pad in the area;
32923, 181, BR, Chuckwagon 31-15MBH, Sand Creek, t12/18; cum 7K after 5 days;
32877, 1,487, Newfield, Helsingborg Federal 153-96-27-22-11H, Sand Creek, t12/16; cum 238K 12/18;
32876, 901, Newfield, Helsingborg Federal 153-96-27-22-4H, Sand Creek, t10/13; cum 167K 12/18;
32875, 1,328, Newfield, Helsingborg Federal 153-96-27-22-12H, Sand Creek, t12/16; cum 237K 12/18;
32874, 1,511, Newfield, Helsingborg Federal 153-96-27-22-13H, Sand Creek, t12/16; cum 284K 12/18;
32859, PNC, BR, Gladstone 1-1-25 MBH,
32858, PNC, BR, Gladstone 2-1-25 TFH,
32857, PNC, BR, Gladstone 3-1-25 MBH,

2015 (list is complete)
32041, 1,229, Newfield, Skaar Federal 153-96-30-5HLW, t2/16; cum 133K 1/20;
32040, 2,347, Newfield, Skaar Federal 153-96-30-1H, t2/16; cum 64K 5/16;
32039, 2,308, Newfield, Skaar Federal 153-96-30-2H, t2/16; cum 78K 5/16;
32038, 2,202, Newfield, Skaar Federal 153-96-30-3H, t2/16; cum 87K 5/16;
32037, 2,981, Newfield, Skaar Federal 153-96-30-4H, t2/16; cum 89K 5/16;
31639, 2,640, BR, Old Hickory 43-32 MBH-R, Sand Creek, t2/17; cum 317K 1/20;
31258, conf, BR, Gladstone 7-1-13TFH,
31226, 1,509, XTO, Harley Federal 24X-15A, Sand Creek t1/17; cum 214K 12/18;
31225, 444, XTO, Harley Federal 24X-15E, Sand Creek, t12/16; cum 153K 12/18;
31224, 1,242, XTO, Harley Federal 24X-15B, Sand Creek, t11/16; cum 162K 12/18;
31223, 1,474, XTO, Harley Federal 24X-15F, Sand Creek, t10/16; cum 152K 12/18;
31214, conf, BR, Gladstone 4-1-13TFH,
31213, conf, BR, Gladstone 4-1-13MBH,
31212, conf, BR, Gladstone 5-1-13TFH,
31211, conf, BR, Gladstone 6-1-13MBH,
31210, conf, BR, Gladstone 8-1-13MBH,
30743, conf, Newfield, Skaar Federal 153-96-28-13HLW,
30742, 1,736, Newfield, Skaar Federal 153-96-28-21-5H; t10/15; cum 117K 5/16; 
30741, 1,085, Newfield, Skaar Federal 153-96-28-21-12H; t10/15; cum 88K 5/16;
30740, 1,019, Newfield, Skaar Federal 153-96-28-21-4H; t10/15; cum 121K 5/16;
30739, 1,243, Newfield, Skaar Federal 153-96-28-21-11H; t10/15; cum 116K 5/16;
30632, PNC, Newfield, Prairie Moon Federal
30630, PNC, Newfield, Prairie Moon Federal
30629, PNC, Newfield, Prairie Moon Federal
30628, PNC, Newfield, Prairie Moon Federal
30627, PNC, Newfield, Prairie Moon Federal
30626, PNC, Newfield, Prairie Moon Federal
 
2014
30326, 2,652, BR, Old Hickory 41-32TFH, t2/17; cum 347K 12/18;
30325, AB/1,683, BR, Sun Notch 41-32TFH, Sand Creek, t12/16; off line 91/7; cum 103K 12/18;
30234, 1,844, BR, Sun Notch 43-32TFH, t11/15; cum 99K 5/16; only 20 days past two months;
30233, A/IA/1,363, BR, Old Hickory 43-32TFH, t11/15; cum 135K 11/19; last production 2/16; back on line 9/17; off line 11/19; remains off line 1/20;

30232, 2.405, BR, Sun Notch 43-32MBH, t11/15; cum 133K 5/16;on 32 days last two months;
30231, dry, BR, Old Hickory 43-32MBH 
30227, 792, BR, Sun Notch 42-34TFH, Sand Creek, t10/16; cum 346K 12/18;
30226, 1,560, BR, Old Hickory 42-32TFH, Sand Creek, t1/17; cum 277K 12/18;
30225, 2,640, BR, Sun Notch 42-32MBH, Sand Creek, t10/16; cu 234K 12/18;
30224, 2,544, BR, Old Hickory 42-32MBH, Sand Creek, t1/17; cum 332K 1/120;
29850, 1,249, Newfield, Rolla Federal 153-96-29-13H, t5/15; cum 77K 5/16;
29268, 1,407, Newfield, Rolla Federal 153-96-21-28-13HLW, t512/14; cum 224K 1/20;
29258, 693, Newfield, Rolla Federal 153-96-29-12H, t5/15; cum 43K 5/16;
29257, 1,418, Newfield, Rolla Federal 153-96-29-4H, t5/15; cum 64K 5/16;
29200, 2,468, Whiting, Tarpon Federal 44-19-3RTF, Three Forks B1, 1280-acre, t2/15; cum 101K 5/16;
29199, 3,238, Whiting, Tarpon Federal 44-19-1RH, t2/15; cum 137K 5/16;
29115, 1,513, Newfield, Helsingborg Federal 153-96-22-27-3H, t12/14; cum 133K 5/16;
29114, 1,889, Newfield, Helsingborg Federal 153-96-22-27-10H, t12/14; cum 124K 5/16;
29113, 1,284, Newfield, Helsingborg Federal 153-96-22-27-2H, t12/14; cum 123K 5/16;
28961, 807, Newfield, Skaar Federal 153-96-29-10H, t5/15; cum 46K 5/16;
28960, 1,289, Newfield, Skaar Federal 153-96-29-3H, t5/15; cum 61K 5/16;
28959, 1.090, Newfield, Skaar Federal 153-96-29-11H, t5/15; cum 58K 8/15;
28797, PNC, Newfield, Helsingborg
28796, PNC, Newfield, Helsingborg
28795, PNC, Newfield, Helsingborg
28784, 1,200, BR, 
28783, 1,512, BR, 
28782, 1,488, BR, 
28781, 1,080, BR, 
28780, 1,603, BR, 
28779, 1,443, BR, 
28778, 1,483, BR, 
28767, 970, Newfield, 
28765, 2,190, Newfield, 
28496, 2,959, Whiting, Tarpon Federal 24-20-3RTF, t1/15; cum 73K 8/15;
28495, 3,606, Whiting, Tarpon Federal 24-20-2RH, t1/15; cum 96K 8/15;
28493, 3,444, Whiting, Tarpon Federal 24-20-1RTF, t12/14; cum 109K 8/15;
28492, 4,371, Whiting, Tarpon Federal 24-20-1H, t12/14; cum 152K 8/15;
27528, 766, Newfield,
27527, 1,243, Newfield,
27526, 1,004, Newfield, Sand Creek State 153-96-16-12H, t1/15; cum 51K 8/15;
27413, 3,131, Whiting, Tarpon Federal 44-19TFHU, t2/15; cum 81K 8/15;

2013
25809, conf, XTO, Twin State Federal 34X-36G,
25808, conf, XTO, Twin State Federal 34X-36C,
25807, conf, XTO, Twin State Federal 34X-36H,
25806, conf, XTO, Twin State Federal 34X-36D,
25417, 3,001, XTO, Rolfsrud State 14X-36F, t3/14; cum 210K 8/15;
25416, 1,564, XTO, Rolfsrud State 14X-36E, t2/14; cum 105K 8/15;
25415, 1,509, XTO, Rolfsrud State 14X-36A, t3/14; cum 128K 8/15;
25074, 1,515, Newfield, Sand Creek State 153-96-16-3H, t1/5; cum 82K 8/15;
25073, 1,034, Newfield, Sand Creek State 153-96-16-10H, t1/15; cum 68K 8/15;
25072, 1,449, Newfield, Sand Creek State 153-96-16-2H, t1/15; cum 83K 8/15;

2012
24221, 1,629, Newfield, Pittsburg Federal 153-96-3-11H, t11/13; cum 93K 1/20;
23431, 1,464, XTO, Flatland 11X-2E, t11/12; cum 132K 1/20;
22914, 2,954, BR, Sun Notch 44-32TFH, t5/13; cum 360K 1/20;
22912, 2,972, BR, Old Hickory 14-33TFH, t5/13; cum303K 1/20;
22870, 1,894, XTO, Flatland 11X-2B, t12/12; cum 243K 1/20;
22869, 971, XTO, Flatland 11X-2A, t11/12; cum 180K 1/20;
22556, 2,967, Whiting, Tarpon Federal 44-19-2RH, R=revised, t2/15; cum 89K 8/15;
22555, IA/3,259, Whiting, Tarpon Federal 44-19-2RTF, R=revised, t2/15; cum 167K 10/19; remains off line 10/19;
22554, IA/2,272, Whiting, Tarpon Federal 44-19-1RTF, R=revised, gas max at 3,500 units; sixth and final of six wells drilled on the pad, the upper Bakken was 20 feet thick; the middle Bakken was 42 feet thick; the lower Bakken was 18 feet thick, t2/15; cum 218K 10/19; remains off line 1/20;

2011
21698, PA/181, XTO, Flatland 11X-2F, 1 stage, 600,000 lbs, t10/12; cum 0;
21529, 2,015, Newfield, Pittsburg Federal 153-96-3-2H, t11/13; cum 182K 1/20;
20832, 1,200, BR, Outlaw Gap 34-23TFH, t1/12; cum 305K 1/20;
20812, 1,884, BR, Hammerhead 31-26MBH, t4/12; cum 421K 1/20;
20777, IA/2,405, BR, Renegade 34-10TFH. "middle Three Forks", 5 stages, 500,000 lbs, t9/12; cum 73K 1/19;
20528, IA/2,892, BR, Chuckwagon 21-15MBH, 20 stages; 2.2 million lbs sand/ceramic, t12/11; cum 171K 10/19; remains off line 1/20;
20523, PNC, Newfield,
20522, PNC, Newfield,
20336, 1,162, BR, Sun Notch 43-32H-R, 20 stages; 2.1 million lbs sand/ceramic, very erratic production, company watching well for problems? t9/11; cum 358K 1/20; noticeable jump in production 4/19;

Original Blog

The North Plains well:
  • 18787, AB/801, Whiting/KOG/North Plains Energy, LLC, Sorenson Federal 15-5H, Sand Creek, Bakken; t1/11; cum 144K 12/17;
What is interesting is that this well appears to be in a very nice oil field that has been "under the radar." The field is now mostly spaced for 1280-acre units, but the early wells were short laterals, and placed on 640-acre spacing.

No, this new North Plains Energy well is not a thousand-barrel IP, but for a small company in an obscure field, this is pretty good.

The Sand Creek oil field is in a fairly non-descript area of the Basin. It is located a bit farther east of the Stockyard Creek oil field and is on the south side of the river (the Stockyard Creek is on the north side). It is immediately west of the very nice Charlson field

It is a small field, only about one township in size: half of two townships -- T153N-R96W and T153N-R97W.

As an example of how good this field might be:
  • 18282, 1,947, Equinor/BEXP, Strand 16-9 1-H, Squires, extended short lateral, spudded10/09; tested 11/09; cum 227K 1/20;
Denbury is currently drilling a well that is sited only 422 feet to the east of the BEXP well. I assume it will be a horizontal running in the opposite direction (running south).
    • 19889, 1,678, XTO/Denbury, Sand Creek 21-10SH, t5/11; cum 596K 1/20;
    BR is currently drilling another well in the field:
    • 20336, 1,162, BR, Sun Notch 43-32H; t9/11; cum 358K 1/20; problems (see above)?
    There are some very nice wells in this field, in addition to the BEXP well noted above (the early ones are short laterals; I assume most of the new ones will be long laterals (remember, once they reach 100,000 bbls, it is likely that the wells will pay for themselves at some point):
    • 18662, 2,145, BR, Old Hickory 43-34H, long lateral running east to west; spudded 2/10; tested 5/10; cum 438K 1/20. In 8/10 it was still producing 13K per month. This is one of the better BR wells that I have seen in the Bakken
    • 18414, 2,861, Newfield, Sand Creek Federal 1-27HA, short lateral; s9/10; t11/10; cum 308K 1/20; one doesn't see many short laterals any more and this was just drilled
    • 17758, 617, Newfield, Alice Federal 1-28H, short lateral, s7/09; t8/09; cum 164K 1/19; remains off line 1/20; still considered A. Look how soon after spudding, fracking completed and tested; seems to have leveled off at about 1,200 bbls per month
    • 18323, 2,654, Newfield, Sand Creek Federal 1-21H, short lateral, spudded 12/09; tested 3/10; cum 260K 1/20; off-line much of 1/11 (due to weather?);
    • 17811, 2,825, Newfield, Garvey Federal 1-29H, short lateral, spudded 12/09; tested 5/10; cum 268K 1/20; (not taken off line during 1/11 -- so maybe something other than weather for the others)

    New Director's Cut -- March 16, 2011 -- North Dakota, USA

    Link here.

    Production down in January, 2011, due to severe winter weather.
    • December, 2010, oil: 344,064 bopd
    • January, 2011, oil: 342,088 bopd
    • Record oil production remains at 356,505 bopd
    • December producing wells: 5,331
    • January producing wells: 5,314 (all time high, 5,331 Dec 2010)
    Permitting
    • December, 2010: 143
    • January, 2011: 142
    Pricing
    • December, 2010: sweet crude, $81
    • January, 2011: sweet crude, $80
    Director's comments:
    The idle well count jumped to 760 in January 2011, [due to severe winter weather] the highest number since April 2002. We continue to have surplus crude take away capacity with pipeline, rail, and truck transportation all included. Shipment by rail is increasing and crude trucked to Canada is steady.
    Rigs
    • 20,000-foot capable rigs: over 90% utilization rates
    • 7,000 or less-capable rigs: less than 50% utilization rates