Sunday, December 2, 2018

Nothing About The Bakken --- Not Yet ... December 2, 2018

Link to be provided later.

A reader tells me the North Dakota Highway Patrol engaged in a high-speed chase west of Bismarck. Apparently things came to an end when the driver of the forklift stopped to charge the electric vehicle. NDHP would have closed in more quickly but the governor told law enforcement to "give the man room, don't give him a reason to flip one of our cruisers." Uff-da!

Joseph, Joseph, Hot Club du Nax

Hanukkah -- Begins This Evening -- December 2, 2018


Nothing About The Bakken ... Yet -- December 2, 2018

Open book test: what will the Dow do tomorrow? Hints, news headlines in the past 72 hours:
  • China and the US to impose a moratorium on new trade tariffs;  
  • the newly installed Mexican president has already taken steps to calm the situation at the border;
  • NPR retracted a very, very negative (and a very, very wrong) story on Jared Kushner;
  • WTI is at its sweet spot, but is now trending up about 3%;
  • government shutdown is no more than political theater and everybody knows it;
  • and, of course, the all-time favorite, the "Santa Claus rally" needs to start soon.
Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or what you think you may have read here.

Christmas tradition: Sophia was fortunate enough to attend The Nutcracker today. This has become a real family tradition. Grammy takes the granddaughters to the ballet to ensure that they each all see it at least once. I think the two older granddaughters saw it twice while the family lived in Boston.

Today, was Sophia's first time to see it. While others were reading the program, Sophia was reading The Nutcracker of the "Little Golden Book" series.

I've never seen it.


The reviews are in: the Boston ballet's Nutcracker is several times better than the Dallas ballet's staging. But Sophia enjoyed it all.

Lodgepole Monster Wells In The Dickinson Area -- December 2, 2018

Updates

Later, 9:23 p.m. CT: see first comment. A reader writes to say that the well of interest, #34711 was dry. 

Original Post
 
I don't plan to update production numbers on this page. Production data will be updated elsewhere.

A reader noted that this well coming off the confidential list this week might be an interesting one to watch:
  • 34711, conf, Armstrong Operating, Harvest States 7-11, Eland, no production data, 
Because it's on the confidential list, I don't know much more about it, but I will bet it's not a Bakken well. LOL. I would be very, very surprised if it's anything but a vertical (or possibly a directional) well targeting the Lodgepole.

For newbies: I talked about "Lodgepole" a long, long time ago (back in 2009). That was in the early days of the blog; I didn't know much about "oil" then so there may be amateurish errors in that post. That entry is linked at the sidebar at the right. I have not read that post lately, and I have not updated it or corrected any typographical or factual errors. 

It's my "belief" that hitting the Lodgepole in the Dickinson area is a hit or miss: if it's a "hit," it's most likely going to be a monster well; but unlike the Bakken, hitting the Lodgepole is a bit tougher. Having said that, looking at the NDIC map, there doesn't appear to be many dry holes in Eland or Patterson Lake.

Over at "monster wells" several Lodgepole wells made the cut. 

Lodgepole
The monster wells;
  • 13724, 1,752, Denbury, Ridl 11-1, Lodgepole, Eland; t3/95, cum 1.0743 million bbls 10/18;
  • 13745, 2,571, Denbury, Klein 1-23, Lodgepole, Eland; t3/95, cum 4.4112 million bbls 10/18;
  • 13755, 2,016, Denbury, Ranchos 1, Lodgepole, Eland; s3/95, t5/95, cum 4.8543 million bbls 10/18;
  • 13773, 2,908, Denbury Onshore, Privratsky 12-2, a Lodgepole well, Eland, t5/95; cum 789K 10/18;
  • 13788, 398, Debury Onshore, Patterson Lake 41-13, Eland, t4/96; cum 1.30992 million bbls 10/18;
  • 13819, 279, Scout Energy Management/Denbury, Privratsky 12A-3, Lodgepole, Eland;  t10/95, cum 2.3294 million 5/18; last produced 6/03;
  • 13886, 1,214, Scout Energy/Denbury, Roller 1-24, Lodgepole, Eland, s11/95, t12/95, cum 2.3666 million bbls 10/18;
  • 18190, 463, Armstrong Operating, Laurine Engel 1, Patterson Lake, t9/09; F; cum 854K 10/18;
  • 18496, 474, Armstrong Operating, Gruman 18-3, Patterson Lake, t3/10; F; cum 885K 10/18;
By the way, look at the production of the Lodgepole well drilled back in 2010; I find this simply incredible:
  • 18496, 474, Armstrong Operating, Gruman 18-3, Patterson Lake, t3/10; F; cum 885K 10/18;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
LODGEPOLE10-2018311048710373474348133380
LODGEPOLE9-2018301213112348164515550170
LODGEPOLE8-201831133631323614519350500
LODGEPOLE7-20183113106130406552453810
LODGEPOLE6-201830126161256211277326300
LODGEPOLE5-20183012695126726514150030
LODGEPOLE4-20183012136122164493047920
LODGEPOLE3-20183012028120813489447560
LODGEPOLE2-20182811282113723458844590
LODGEPOLE1-20183112187121247500048570
LODGEPOLE12-20173111858117359486447210
LODGEPOLE11-20173011122112488466145230
LODGEPOLE10-20173110652106120447443310
LODGEPOLE9-201730876186380367935410
LODGEPOLE8-201724608862680257624660
LODGEPOLE7-201731789977162333631930
LODGEPOLE6-201730748576717309829600
LODGEPOLE5-201731764474587305029070
LODGEPOLE4-201730739274686291627780
LODGEPOLE3-2017317652787910289027470
LODGEPOLE2-2017286980687311267425450
LODGEPOLE1-2017317864785111303728940
LODGEPOLE12-201630795478718313629980
LODGEPOLE11-201630765977996305329150
LODGEPOLE10-201631802780230327631330
LODGEPOLE9-201630785577520178216390
LODGEPOLE8-201631826982720347933360
LODGEPOLE7-201631830183310345333100
LODGEPOLE6-201630819082070332431860
LODGEPOLE5-201617459046400181717390
LODGEPOLE4-201614357835250138613220
LODGEPOLE3-2016368574102422280
LODGEPOLE2-201614314529550113910750

A Reader Has A Question About The Gloria Well (Jim Creek Oil Field) And "The Nearby Hartman" Well -- December 2, 2018

Updates

December 4, 2018: see comments -- a reader tells us that one of the Gloria wells has come in at 50,000 over 21 days of production.

December 4, 2018: in the comment section a reader notes the MRO "Ajax" play in the Bakken. This is a screenshot from the MRO presentation, September 5, 2018.


December 4, 2018: a reader had a question about how to access some information at the NDIC site. See comments dated today.

Original Post

A reader asked if I could "clarify the Gloria one and the Hartman well nearby." It was noted that the "Gloria" well comes off the confidential list this week.

There are many, many Hartman wells in Jim Creek, but the only one that is "near" the Gloria well coming off confidential well this week is the Isabelle Hartman well, #17971.

#34892 comes off confidential list this week. Because it's on the confidential list I can't say much about it, but it is most likely on a drilling unit of 1280 acres, running north. The scout ticket says it's a "Jim Creek" well which suggests it will run north; if it were running south, it would be a Murphy Creek well. I believe #34892 and #17971 are in different drilling units. For sure, #17971 is 1280 acres, running east-west. According to a sundry form dated September 2, 2018, for #17971, "MRO has set a freshwater impoundment on this pad to support nearby fracking operations on the Gloria Pad which have recently finished completions."

The wells:
  • 34892, conf, MRO, Gloria 24-16H, Jim Creek, t--; cum -- :
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
10-201827869207

  • 17971, 393, MRO, Isabelle Hartman 42-22H, Murphy Creek, two sections; t9/09; cum 165K 10/18:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-2018100011110
BAKKEN9-201810260000
BAKKEN8-20182946453164490266343
BAKKEN7-201831715704947129897297
BAKKEN6-2018305125118541115504401
BAKKEN5-2018315654938191222260742
BAKKEN4-2018306336608671350731375
 
The graphic:


The Hess SC-5WX And SC-4WX Wells In Banks Oil Field

The wells running north:
  • 26171, 1,299, Hess, SC-4WX-153-98-3130H-1, Banks, t5/14; cum 230K 10/18; off line as of 10/18;
  • 26172, 511, Hess, SC-4WX-153-98-3130H-2, Banks, t5/14; cum 100K 10/18; off line as of 10/18;
  • 26173, 1,066, Hess, SC-4WX-153-98-3130H-3, Banks, t5/14; cum 202K 10/18; off line as of 10/18;
The wells running south:
  • 26174, 1,324, Hess, SC-5WX-153-98-0310H-1, Banks, t6/14; cum 265K 10/18; off line as of 9/18;
  • 33891, conf, Hess, SC-5WX-152-99-0310H-2, Banks, no production data,
  • 33892, conf, Hess, SC-5WX-152-99-0310H-3, Banks, no production data,
  • 33893, conf, Hess, SC-5WX-152-99-0310H-4, Banks, no production data,

Wells Coming Off The Confidential List This Next Week -- December 2, 2018

Six months ago it was early June.

The CLR Wiley wells are tracked here
The Oasis Kjorstad wells in Willow Creek are tracked here.
The Oasis Lite wells are tracked here.

Monday, December 10, 2018:
33891, conf, Hess, SC-5WX-152-99-0310H-2, Banks, no production data, [watch #26174, currently inactive]

Sunday, December 9, 2018:
None.

Saturday, December 8, 2018:
34117, conf, Lime Rock Resources, Neal3-33-28H-144-95, Murphy Creek, a nice well;
34116, conf, Lime Rock Resources, Twist 3-4-9H-143-95, Murphy Creek, a nice well;
33239, conf, Oasis, Muri 5198 12-4 8T, Banks, a nice well;
32531, conf, Petro-Hunt, USA153-95-4A-9-6H, Charlson, no production data, 
30546, conf, Bruin, Fort Berthold 151-94-26A-35-9H, Antelope, a nice well;

Friday, December 7, 2018:
33108, conf, CLR, Wiley 12-25H, Pershing, CLR's Wiley wells are huge:
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
10-20182340345479
9-20182760553819
8-20182213443165
7-20183519868781
6-20181258522039


Thursday, December 6, 2018:
34892, conf, MRO, Gloria 24-16H, Jim Creek, a huge first month (unknown number of days: 28K); see this note;
34711, conf, Armstrong Operating, Harvest States 7-11, Eland, no production data, see this note;
33109, conf, CLR, Wiley 11-25H2, Pershing, a huge well, note second bench:
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
10-20181899438699
9-20182580352292
8-20183053158950
7-20183766766871
6-2018664210141

Wednesday, December 5, 2018:
None.

Tuesday, December 4,2018:
33241, conf, Oasis, Muri 5198 12-4 6T, Banks, a huge well:
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
10-20182516731178
9-20182227524880
8-20182558834185
7-20182920660997
6-20181872031553

31265, conf,  Oasis, Kjorstad 5300 34-22 10T, Willow Creek, a very nice well:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
10-20181210826111
9-20182033425441
8-20182366125933
7-20181951020015
6-20182192824190

Monday, December 3, 2018:
None.

Sunday, December 2, 2018:
33695, conf, Oasis, Lite 5393 31-11 9B, Sanish, a very nice well;

Saturday, December 1, 2018:
33968, conf,  Enerplus, Nickel 147-93-16B-21H-TF, Moccasin Creek, a very nice well;
33696, conf, Oasis Lite 5393 31-11 8T, Sanish, a very nice well;
33242, conf, Oasis, Muri 5198 12-4 5B, Banks, a huge well;
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
10-20183707943636
9-20183187535842
8-20183014840268
7-20183218669734
6-20182532345039
5-20182750

33110, conf, CLR, Wiley 10-25H, Pershing; a huge well:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
10-20182652842872
9-20183242253000
8-20183223452382
7-20183804461450
6-201810860
5-20189030

31264, conf, Oasis, Kjorstad 5300 34-22 9B, Willow Creek, a huge well;
30543, conf, Bruin, Fort Berthold 151-94-26A-35-6H, Antelope, a 50K+ well:
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
10-20182619714125
9-20181484111025
8-20183282922985
7-20185308234423
6-20184440339049

Random Update Of CLR's Bonneville 41-23H, #17088 -- December 2, 2018

This page will not be updated.

Two wells are discussed on this page. One is an older middle Bakken well; the other is a newer Three Forks B1 well. The two horizontals of these two wells are very close together; in fact at one point, they "cross" each other.

The closest a neighboring middle Bakken well to #17088 is almost exactly one-third mile, or 1,584 feet, away.

For background regarding these wells, see this post. The CLR Bonneville / Bridger well are tracked here.

The well:
  • 17088, 267, CLR, Bonneville 41-23H, Rattlesnake Point, t4/08; cum 210K 10/18; based on FracFocus and NDIC sundry forms, this well has not been re-fracked. This well was off line for two months during the time period of interest:
Production profile of note:
BAKKEN12-201731853582383713630663060
BAKKEN11-20173065106385300546614271390
BAKKEN10-20171737744049188535992473352
BAKKEN9-20172667806783459146803474333
BAKKEN8-20173111708119261290694489158290
BAKKEN7-201720106141028315486810966521457
BAKKEN6-20170000000
BAKKEN5-2017101062352239390
BAKKEN4-201730330232921151150
BAKKEN3-2017313592221171351350
BAKKEN2-201728330443971271270


The horizontal that runs parallel to the well above is this well; it was fracked/tested 8/28/2017:
  • 29549, 1,518, CLR, Bonneville 6-23H1, Rattlesnake Point, Three Forks B1, 55 stages; 10 million lbs, t8/17; cum 237K 10/18;
Early production data:
BAKKEN4-20183022987230231664329818207039115
BAKKEN3-20183122172221561701622411207071704
BAKKEN2-20182818646185761773919257177711486
BAKKEN1-20182315352154001141316249120514198
BAKKEN12-2017221296612941117951078010522258
BAKKEN11-2017281461414650198071326612668598
BAKKEN10-20172921259213272760820216175722644
BAKKEN9-20173025551254354138328244214316813
BAKKEN8-201710100271002312611914267442398
BAKKEN7-2017517921740474078078

Global Warming Hits Midwest; Kennedys Can See Tons Of Snow -- December 2, 2018

Updates

Later, 1:10 p.m. CT: a reader sent me this link regarding an historic park at Madelia, MN.
The Jesse James Theme Park is the first ever of its kind in the nation. It is hand crafted by Arnie Lillo with life size individual metal cut outs of the many 1870’s horses and characters, and tells the story of what happened to Jesse and Frank James and the Younger brothers gang in this area of Minnesota in Sept 1876. From riding into Northfield, to robbing the bank, to leaving town, killing of Charlie Pitts and the capture of the Younger brothers, the full story is told precisely as Minnesota history knows it to be. But uniquely illustrated in life size metal artwork.

The Jesse James Gang was credited with over 25 bank robberies during the years of 1866 and 1881. Although, it was hard for the gang to openly admit to being involved in any activity that might result in their legal detainment, history ha been able to piece together over $270,000 in robberies from Missouri to Minnesota, Alabama to West Virginia, Kentucky to Mississippi. From the passengers' point of view, you may not have returned with your possessions, but at least you had a story to tell that you were robbed by the best - the James - Younger Gang.
Original Post
 
From Minnesota, look at the snowfall. Sent to me by reader. Thank you. More to follow. Temperatures have been well below normal for this time of year -- off the norm by about 7 degrees. With global warming expected to warm the earth by about 3 degrees above the norm, it looks like Minnesota / North Dakota will average out just about right 82 years from now.

Back to the snowfall:

According to the reader, Madelia, MN, is pretty much smack dab in the middle of the state.

The reader noted that in his home town, 21 area churches are closed. It takes a lot of snow for Scandinavians to close church. 

Bet You Can't Watch Just One Minute -- December 2, 2018

Lee Highway Blues, Michael Cleveland and Flamekeeper
At wiki.

Name of tune at 5:40 anyone?

Heading to bed; see you tomorrow. Good luck to all.