Thursday, March 2, 2017

Three, Two, One, None; An Apple Watch Update -- March 2, 2017

Two Down, One To Go
 The DAPL camps:
  • the first to go: the main protest camp, Oceti Sakowin, cleared out last week by the US Army Corps of Engineers 
  • the second to go: the original protest camp, Sacred Stone Camp, on land owned by "Ladonna Allard's family (a third) and the federal government (2/3rds); cleared out yesterday upon eviction notice by the BIA
  • yet to go: the Seventh Generation/Blackhoop camp; has also received a trespass notice
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The Apple Page

From Macrumors: Apple Watch's record-breaking quarter was opposite one of Fitbit's "largest decline ever."

And folks doubted the Apple Watch.
  • Fitbit: quarterly, year-over-year; went from 8.4 million to 6.5 million; market share from 30% to 20%
  • Apple: quarterly, year-over-year, went from 4.1 million to 4.6 million; market share from 14.1% to 13.6%
So, although Apple is not moving much, Fitbit took a huge hit. Other three rounding out top 5: Xiaomi (I would like to buy a vowel); Garmin; and, Samsung.

My wife loves her Apple Watch, as does our older daughter. My wife bought a new watch band this past week.

As for me, a 7-year-old Samsung clamshell / flip phone. It may be older; I've had it forever.

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The Literature Page
Updates

March 3, 2017: and there's even more -- from Inforum

Not less than fifteen minutes after posting the story below, a reader sent me this article from The Bismarck Tribune:
The first white child born in what is now North Dakota came into the world on Deceember 29, 1807, in Pembina. This child, James Scarth, was born here despite the policy that no white women were allowed into the area.
How could this be? The mother was known by everyone at the post as John Fubbister, an "Orkney lad." The real identity of John Fubbister was Isabel Gunn. The alleged father of James was John Scarth, who was serving at a post at Grandes Fourches (Grand Forks) at the time of the birth.
Sources vary regarding the birth of Isabel Gunn. Some state she was born August 10, 1780, to John Gunn and Isobel Leask in Tarkerness on the Orkney Island north of Scotland. Another source lists her birth date as August 1, 1781, and her parents as John Fubbister and Girzal Allan.
Her family was poor and her future looked bleak unless she could marry into wealth. After contracting smallpox, which disfigured her face, she believed that hope was lost. Isabel's older brother worked for the Hudson Bay Co. and, on his return visits home, he told stories of excitement and adventure to his family.
The fact that he also was earning good money added to the lure of being an employee of Hudson Bay. She was larger than most women, and the fact that she had worked hard while growing up convinced her that she could handle that kind of employment.
In the summer of 1806, she disguised herself as a boy, took on the alias of John Fubbister, and signed a three-year contract with Hudson Bay. On June 29, she sailed from the port city of Stromness. On the ship with Isabel was veteran Hudson Bay employee John Scarth, who also was from Orkney.
After reaching the States, Gunn and Scarth took a boat 80 miles up the Albany River to Fort Albany, a Hudson Bay trading post, where Gunn began working for company.
The only person to discover Gunn's true sex was Scarth, who shared a cabin with her. With this knowledge, Scarth would have been able to hold it over her because she would have been quickly released by Hudson Bay had the truth been known.
Finish at the link.  
Original Post

Dr James Barry: A Woman Ahead of Her Time
Michael du Preez and Jeremy Dronfield
c. 2016

Unfortunately the full review at London Review of Books is available only to subscribers. But maybe folks can find other reviews elsewhere on the net.

The essay begins:
In the category of premeditated deceit, imposture is for the real gamblers because it demands the broadest array of accomplices or dupes. If you’re pretending to be someone else, you can’t just fool your spouse or your child or your creditors. You have either to fool all of the people all of the time, or persuade them to collude with you.
Bram Stoker, who made a literary career out of the intersection of the far-fetched and the eerily credible, thought that impostors exposed the true magnitude of the public’s gullibility. Stoker’s Famous Impostors (1910) included chapters on royal pretenders, pages of wild speculation that Queen Elizabeth I was in fact a boy from the town of Bisley, and a chapter on women who masqueraded as men, including a subset whom Stoker deemed the most implausible impostors of all: women who masqueraded as military men.
The tyrannical army surgeon Dr James Barry – prone to picking quarrels and partial to red-heeled, thigh-high boots paired with an outsized dress sword – doesn’t figure in Stoker’s parade.
It’s a strange omission – Barry’s story was well known to Edwardians – but Stoker had plenty of other cross-dressing buccaneers to consider, including Hannah Snell, who enlisted in a regiment of marines as James Gray and survived the sieges of Pondicherry and Devicotta undetected before outing herself to the public in 1750.
Still, Barry’s was as spectacular a tale of imposture as any novelist of sensation could have dreamed up. It was a case that fascinated the eminent physician Sir William Osler, who compiled his own dossier on Barry, as well as the sexologist Havelock Ellis, who included Barry in his roster of distinguished instances of transvestism.
Barry served the British army as a surgeon for 45 years, rising to the position of inspector general of hospitals, the medical man’s equivalent to brigadier general. Only after his death in 1865 was the secret Barry had concealed under his dandified outfits finally revealed. Not only was Dr James Barry a woman but he had given birth to a child.
**********************************

Shadow in a Mirror, Chris Isaak

I Wonder If The Russians Had Anything To Do With This? -- March 2, 2017

I love these stories, and I love it when I seem them in The Washington Post: EPA halts inquiry into oil and gas industry emissions of methane, "a powerful greenhouse gas."

Photo at the linked Washington Post story, wahoo!

The lede:
The Environmental Protection Agency Thursday announced it was withdrawing a request that operators of existing oil and gas wells provide the agency with extensive information about their equipment and its emissions of methane, undermining a last-ditch Obama administration climate change initiative.
The EPA announcement was a first step towards reversing an Obama administration effort – which  only got underway two days after Donald Trump’s election – to gather information about  methane, a short-lived but extremely powerful climate pollutant which is responsible for about a quarter of global warming to date.
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The Literature Page

The Boy Who Could Change The World: 
The Writings of Aaron Swartz
Aaron Swartz
c. 2017
essay by Ben Jackson

The opening paragraph of a review of this book in London Review of Books:
In January 2011, Aaron Swartz was arrested for downloading 4.8 million academic articles from the digital archive JSTOR, using a laptop hidden in a broom cupboard on the MIT campus.
He was 24, and already a respected and influential computer programmer.
As a teenager, he had helped develop RSS, a syndication format that led to the explosion in popularity of blogging, and Markdown, an easy to use tool that converted text to HTML.
He wrote the code for the Creative Commons license, which helped distribute work on the internet more freely than traditional copyright would permit. He was also a successful entrepreneur.
He could easily have carried on working in the tech industry, where people like him can make millions, but instead he became a political activist, and that’s how he got in trouble.
The JSTOR episode led to his facing four felony counts, with a maximum sentence of 35 years; two years after his arrest, he hanged himself with his belt in his Brooklyn apartment.

CLR's Holstein Federal Wells In Elm Tree

Updates

May 14, 2019: CLR got a great Holstein Federal well as a "do-over."
  • 32294, 2,320, CLR, Holstein Federal 13-25H, Elm Tree, t11/16; cum 691K 3/19;
April 27, 2017: noted this well to be off-line. Getting ready to frack neighboring wells?

Original Post 

Newbies might want to take a look at this CLR Holstein Federal well.
  • 27564, 1,235, CLR, Holstein Federal 2-25H, Elm Tree, 40 stages, 4 million lbs, t2/15; cum 725K 12/18; updated here -- worth a look (6/17);
The other Holstein Federal wells:
  • 33930, SI/NC, CLR, Holstein Federal 13-24H2, Elm Tree, no production data,
  • 33537, 2,038, CLR, Holstein Federal 15-25H1, Elm Tree, t1/19; cum 71K 3/19; a huge well;
  • 33536, 2,221, CLR, Holstein Federal 15-25HSL, Elm Tree, t1/19; cum 83K 3/19; a huge well;
  • 32294, 2,320, CLR, Holstein Federal 13-25H, Elm Tree, t11/16; cum 691K 3/19; a do-over; see above;
  • 30348, 1,821, CLR, Holstein Federal 8-25H, Elm Tree, t6/17; cum 432K 3/19;
  • 30347, 1250, CLR, Holstein Federal 9-25H1, t7/17; cum 356K 3/19;
  • 30346, 1,494, CLR, Holstein Federal 10-25H, Elm Tree, 4 sections, t7/17; cum 361K 3/19;
  • 30345, 1,138, CLR, Holstein Federal 11-25H2, Elm Tree, 4 sections, t7/17; cum 368K 3/19;
  • 30344, 1,536, CLR, Holstein Federal 12-25H, Elm Tree, 4 sections, t7/17; cum 522K 3/19; a huge well;
  • 29936, 742, CLR, Holstein Federal 3-25H2, t6/17; cum 348K 3/19;
  • 29935, 1,494, CLR, Holstein Federal 4-25H, t5/17; cum 384K 3/19;
  • 29934, 549, CLR, Holstein Federal 5-25H1, t5/17; cum 282K 3/19;
  • 29933, 1,878, CLR, Holstein Federal 6-25H, t5/17; cum 279K 3/19;
  • 29932, 1,422, CLR, Holstein Federal 7-25H2, t6/17; cum 386K 3/19;
  • 27961, PNC, CLR, Holstein Federal 7-25H, no production;
  • 27960, PNC, CLR, Holstein Federal 6-25H1, no production;
  • 27564, 1,235, CLR, Holstein Federal 2-25H, Elm Tree, 40 stages, 4 million lbs, t2/15; cum 738K 3/19;
  • 27563, PA/420, CLR, Holstein Federal 1-25H, Elm Tree, t2/15; cum 32K 6/15;
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Updates

Production profiles for selected Holstein Federal wells are posted here (to make a point).

What the Holstein Federal area looks like today, August 2, 2017:



Production profile of a selected Holstein Federal well:
  • 27564, 1,235, CLR, Holstein Federal 2-25H, Elm Tree, 40 stages, 4 million lbs, t2/15; cum 534K 6/17; still without a pump, as of 6/17;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN6-20173024947252623000637210343352860
BAKKEN5-20172924830244454312534239310943131
BAKKEN4-20170000000
BAKKEN3-20170000000
BAKKEN2-20170000000
BAKKEN1-20172713692136641311018084163351511
BAKKEN12-201631182561803818636254222516593
BAKKEN11-201677931156651361123421
BAKKEN10-20163119316192193496250132443993
BAKKEN9-20163017681176712572224812233190
BAKKEN8-2016312047620555351926261224883413
BAKKEN7-20163121432214233827283372777993
BAKKEN6-2016302194921884402228284264841350
BAKKEN5-20163122812228504275288262826893
BAKKEN4-20161514135138681407163351607542
BAKKEN3-20162217231174853322231662278566
BAKKEN2-20162822512226844118289602887684
BAKKEN1-2016312781627566531634135319392196
BAKKEN12-201531242152435143952864028415225
BAKKEN11-20153021356212333387218412175190
BAKKEN10-20153121277213273317249072481493
BAKKEN9-2015302219822368401827596263921204
BAKKEN8-2015311951219459252419752121307622
BAKKEN7-2015313048230535602437990367821208
BAKKEN6-201530323013244365134389243622270
BAKKEN5-201531241122386539882748427243241
BAKKEN4-2015301286812830128013628117721856
BAKKEN3-20153111716120341347101709468702
BAKKEN2-2015282162121284373821643145277116
BAKKEN1-20157489645360697206972

Random Update Of Another Well With A Nice Bump In Production After Being Shut-In For About A Year -- March 2, 2017

I was in the process of updating some old wells, and ran across this one.
  • 19170, single section; 640-acre spacing; 1,882, EOG, Bear Den 07-17H, middle Bakken; 15 stages; 2 million lbs; t1/11; cum 256K 1/17;
This was another well that was still producing pretty nicely but the operators took it off-line for awhile. I suppose they took it off-line to see if the pressure would build back up to give them another great well when it was put back on-line. This is the production profile for that period of a couple of years. Note that the "13,642 over 24 days" extrapolates to 17,621 bbls of crude oil over a 31-day August month.

It was originally fracked back in 2011, and I suppose it could have been re-fracked, but there is no evidence over at FracFocus that this well was ever re-fracked.

BAKKEN3-2014317316759826971110210270682
BAKKEN2-2014288562824112241021285131584
BAKKEN1-201434012071519105
BAKKEN12-201342234715018611569
BAKKEN11-2013279361910337881004036936214
BAKKEN10-20131756456008350065187375702
BAKKEN9-20132594759621778716022432411575
BAKKEN8-20132413642133071166543675163737
BAKKEN7-2013001920000
BAKKEN6-201322441839786744206501958
BAKKEN5-20130000000
BAKKEN4-2013000083797787445
BAKKEN3-20130000000
BAKKEN2-20130000000
BAKKEN1-20130000000
BAKKEN12-20120000000
BAKKEN11-20120000000
BAKKEN10-20120000000
BAKKEN9-20120000000
BAKKEN8-20120000000
BAKKEN7-201233911231755020488
BAKKEN6-20122933503191755446404321
BAKKEN5-20123138264769784484004685
BAKKEN4-20123038843012837499604853
BAKKEN3-2012314420479891457110556

I always find it amazing how "strong" a Bakken well can come back after being taken off-line.

For more on this well, go to this post. By the way, this is a single-section / short lateral well. Had this been a two-section / long lateral well, maybe .... but we will never know, will we?

Eight New Permits; Five Wells Coming Off Confidential List Friday -- March 3, 2017

Active rigs:


3/2/201703/02/201603/02/201503/02/201403/02/2013
Active Rigs4134120192184

Five wells coming off confidential list Friday:
  • 31288, SI/NC, Enerplus, Ocotillo 149-92-35A-04H, Heart Butte, no production data,
  • 31571, 1,293, Whiting, Frank 24-7PH, Bell, t9/16; cum 99K 1/17;
  • 31947, 871, Whiting, Frank 34-7-2PH, Bell, t9/16; cum 68K 1/17;
  • 32875, 1,328, Newfield, Helsingborg Federal 153-96-27-22-12H, Sand Creek, t12/16; cum 39K 1/17;
  • 32937, drl, Hess, RS-Nelson Farms-156-92-24V-1, Ross, a Birdbear well, no production data,
Eight (8) new permits:
  • Operators: NP Resources (6), EOG (2)
  • Fields: Elkhorn Ranch (Billings), Parshall (Mountrail)
  • Comments: all six NP Resources in section 15-143-102
*******************************************

32875, see above, Newfield, Helsingborg Federal 153-96-27-22-12H, Sand Creek:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
1-20172689143027
12-20161125811273

31947, see above, Whiting, Frank 34-7-2PH, Bell:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
1-20171915121504
12-20161258512774
11-20161200411770
10-20161558915289
9-201682124453
31571, see above, Whiting, Frank 24-7PH, Bell:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
1-20172180921390
12-20161873718086
11-20162243921343
10-20161825518109
9-20161691115706

US' Saudi Arabia Crude Oil Imports -- Not Down All That Much -- March 2, 2017

The numbers have just been posted for December, 2016. For all that talk about less Saudi Arabia oil coming into the US, the numbers don't back up the talk. I believe Saudi has refinery operations along the US gulf coast that would "absorb" most of the oil Saudi Arabia ships to the US. The link to the spreadsheet below is here.



For the month of December, 2016, US imports from following countries, month-over-month,
  • Iraq was the big winner, going from 13 million bbls to 18 million bbls (month)
  • imports from Saudi Arabia, flat
  • imports from Venezuela, flat
  • imports from Canada went from 122 million bbls to 127 million bbls
  • imports from Mexico went from 21 million bbls to 18 million bbls
  • imports from Russia went from 13 million bbls to 10 million bbls
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Hysterical Headlines

It's no problem finding hysterical headlines. The challenge is picking out the best hysterical headline to post. The Los Angeles Times is a buffet-ful of hysterical headlines, day in and day out. Today's:

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Reminiscing

One of the highlights of my US Air Force career was practicing medicine alongside a Scottish physician in northern England, in the county of Yorkshire. I worked with him off and on over the course of four years.

Today of all things, there was a wonderful essay in the current issue of London Review of Book, in the "Diary" section. The essay was written by a general practice physician in the NHS system, working in Scotland, near Edinburgh.

The essay brought back wonderful memories of my time working alongside Derrick.

The link to this essay is https://www.lrb.co.uk/v39/n05/gavin-francis/diary.

DAPL Protest Camp Photo Sent From Reader -- Photo Arrived Today -- March 2, 2017

Updates

Later, 3:19 p.m. Central Time: see first comment. It's kind of "funny" how the "law of large numbers" always seems to work out.

The camp was said to be about 50 acres (various sources: I have no idea the actual size of the area that needed to be cleaned up.

Wiki says that a cubic foot of topsoil weights 40 pounds.

So, let's do the math (with the usual disclaimer: I often make huge arithmetic errors).

A section is a mile by a mile, or 27,878,400 square feet; which divided by 640 acres =  43,560 square feet / acre. In one acre there would be 43,560 cubic feet of topsoil, but thinking that removing a full foot of topsoil might be excessive I went with 6 inches or half-a-foot of top soil. 43,560 square feet x 0.5 feet = 21,780 cubic feet, and multiplying that by 40 pounds (per cubic foot), one gets, 871,200 pounds of top soil (6 inches deep) per ace. At 50 acres that would be  (50 x 871,200 = 43,560,000 lbs or about 44 million lbs, which is incredibly close to the stated figure in the article below, 48 million lbs.

I have not idea how they are cleaning up this area, but they had to move fast to beat the spring thaw, and my hunch is they simply moved in and bulldozed somewhere between six inches and 18 inches of topsoil across the 50 acres, loaded it into large gravel trucks, and disposed of the trash somewhere (which, of course, begs the next question). Idle chatter.

Original Post

The Washington Times article is at this link: 48 million lbs of debris hauled away so far.
Cleanup crews have removed 48 million pounds of trash so far from the largest Dakota Access oil pipeline protest camp — and they’re not finished yet.
The North Dakota Department of Emergency Services said Tuesday that a Florida-based contractor hired at a cost of $1 million to clear trash, waste and other debris from the Oceti Sakowin camp has hauled 24,000 tons of garbage since protesters were evacuated Thursday from the area.
“Cleanup at the former #Dapl protest site is nearly complete. As of today, 48,000,000 pounds of garbage has been removed from this location,” NDResponse said in a late Tuesday post on Facebook.
It is amazing how fast they got this cleaned up. Color me impressed.

Photo at the link:


Replace the Humvees and heavy equipment with horses, and this quickly takes me back to General George Custer at the Little Bighorn, which did not work out so well for the US Army. It's actually a pretty interesting photograph at so many levels.

Drones And West Fargo, ND -- March 2, 2017

Over at "the next big thing," I track "drones." Prairie Magazine has another overview of the sector. This explains why West Fargo is one of the fastest growing cities in North Dakota, and has been for quite some time:
When GPS became available for surveying in engineering, it changed the industry, says Brady Woodard, construction engineering specialist for Moore Engineering Inc. in West Fargo, North Dakota. “I don’t think there was anyone who didn’t grasp onto it. It was just the new way of the industry.” Woodard and many of his counterparts see potential for unmanned aerial systems to bring a similar transformation to the engineering field.
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Neanderthal Man: In Search of Lost Genomes
Svante Paabo
c. 2014
DDS: 569.986 PAA
Chapter Two.
The author, as a teenager, wanted to become an Egyptologist ... but the more he became involved, the more he became disenchanted. 
This disenchantment threw me into a crisis of sorts. In response, and inspired by my father, who had been an MD and later became a biochemist, I decided to study medicine, with a view to doing basic research. I entered medical school ... and after a few years surprised myself by how much I enjoyed seeing patients. It seemed to be one of the few professions in which you not only met all sorts of people but could also play a positive role in their lives. 
How viruses evade human immune system: p. 24.
How the author ended up working with Allan Wilson, at Berkeley.

Chapter Three.
1986 Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, Long Island, NY: the Mecca of molecular genetics.
Berkeley: 
Kary Mullis had been there as a graduate student before moving to Cetus Corp, where he invented PCR
Quagga: the extince South African zebra, p. 40
Thylacinus cynocephalus, a marsupial native to Australia, Tasmania, and New Guinea -- looks very much like a wolf but was a marsupial, like kangaroos and several other Australian animals; therefore, a textbook example of convergent evolution (this will become important later on when studying the Neanderthal)
DNA studies revealed that wolf-like animals had evolved not only twice but three times, once among placental mammals and twice among marsupials

Chapter Four
full professorship, early in career; University of Munich; Institute of Zoology
issue of contamination
DNA from bone: relies on fact that DNA binds to silica particles -- essentially a very fine glass powder; the author discovered/refined the silica extraction method, published it in 1993
used Pleistocene horses; bones were 25,000 years old
1994: DNA extracted from Siberian mammoths, 50,000 years old
around the same time, UC Irvine; DNA from leaves of Magnolia latahensis, Miocene deposit in Clarkia, Idaho, and were 17 million years old
the story of insects encased in amber -- page 58
super-old DNA: antidiluvian DNA -- page 58
decided to concentrate on relationships of extinct animals and their present-day relatives

Random Look At Oasis White, Hagen, Ceynar Wells -- March 2, 2017

So, what's going on here? Three rigs on site in a small geographic area.


The wells:
  • 27108, 1,469, Oasis, Hagen Banks 5298 42-31 8B, t8/14; cum 264K 9/19; off line as of 10/18;
  • 27109, 1,668, Oasis, Hagen Banks 5298 42-31 7T3, t7/14; cum 76K 9/19;
  • 27110, 612, Oasis, Hagen Banks 5298 42-31 6T, t7/14; cum 194K 9/19; recently off-line for several months (2/18)
  • 27111, 1,071, Oasis, Hagen Banks 5298 42-31 5B, t7/14; cum 238K 9/19; recently off-line for several months (2/18); back on line as of 8/18;
  • 27112, 506, Oasis, Hagen Banks 5298 42-31 4T2, t7/14; cum 158K 9/19; recently off-line for several months (2/18); back on line as of 8/18;
  • 27113, 658, Oasis, Hagen Banks 5298 42-31 3T, t7/14; cum 208K 9/19; back on line of 11/17;
  • 27114, 709, Oasis, Hagen Banks 5298 42-31 2T2, t7/14; cum 197K 9/19; pretty much off-line since 8/17 (2/18); back on line as of 3/18;
  • 33228, 489 Oasis, Hagen Banks 5198 12-6 13TX, producing (2/18); t11/17; cum 203K 9/19;
  • 33013, 711, Oasis, Hagen Banks 5198 12-6 9BX, producing (2/18); t10/17; cum 252K 9/19;
  • 32759, 673, Oasis, White 5198 12-6 7B,  t10/17; cum 234K 9/19;
  • 32758, 685, Oasis, White 5198 12-6 6T, t10/17; cum 149K 9/19;
  • 32757, 470, Oasis, White 5198 12-6 5B, t10/17; cum 249K 9/19;
  • 27763, 1,569, Oasis, White 5198 12-6 4T2, t10/14; cum 295K 9/19;
  • 27762, 529, Oasis, White 5198 12-6 3T, t10/14; cum 304K 9/19;
  • 27761, AB/IA/317, Oasis, White 5198 12-6 2T3, t10/14; cum 34K 10/18;
  • 27760, 772, Oasis, White 5198 12-6 1T2, t10/14; cum 112K 9/19;
  • 20732, 1,718, Oasis, White 6-7H, t11/11; cum 353K 9/19; pretty much no production since 7/17 (2/18); back on line as of 3/18; and fairly decent;
  • 20731, 1,598, Oasis, Hagen 31-30H, t11/11; cum 476K 9/19; huge jump in production 10/17 and yet there is no record of any re-frack over at FracFocus (33-053-03575); sundry forms says well will be re-fracked once infill wells are stimulated, so it was re-fracked and FracFocus has not posted that data;
  • 27977, 1,790, Oasis, White 5198 13-6 14T, t10/14; cum 254K 9/19;
  • 27976, IA/958, Oasis, White 5198 13-6 13T3, t10/14; cum 22K 2/18; off-line most of the past year; back on line as of 12/17; off line as of 3/18; remains off line 9/19;
  • 27975, 1,722, Oasis, White 5198 13-6 12B, t10/14; cum 371K 5/19; off line 5/19; remains off line 9/19;
  • 32916, 767, Oasis, Hagen Banks 5198 13-6 10T, producing (2/18); t11/17; cum 221K 9/19;
  • 32915, 584 Oasis, Hagen Banks 5198 13-6 11B, Banks, t11/17; cum 361K 9/19; 50K+ (2/18);
  • 32914, 607, Oasis, Hagen Banks 5198 13-6 12T, Banks, producing (2/18); t11/17; cum 216K 9/19;
  • 32913, 109, White 5198 13-6 15T, Banks, producing (2/18); t11/17; cum 222K 9/19;
  • 32946, 678, Oasis, Ceynar 5198 11-5 2BX, Banks, producing (2/18); t2/18; cum 234K 9/19;
  • 32947, 408, Oasis, Ceynar 5198 11-5 3TX, Banks, producing (2/18); t2/18; cum 172K 9/19;
  • 32948, 683, Oasis, Patsy 5198 11-5 2BX, Sivertson, producing (2/18); t12/17; cum 293K 9/19;
  • 32949, 837, Oasis, Patsy 5198 11-5 3TX, Sivertson, producing (2/18); t12/17; cum 199K 9/19;
  • 32965, 692, Oasis, Ceynar 5198 12-5 4B, Banks, t3/18; cum 287K 9/19;
  • 32964, 978, Oasis, Ceynar 5198 12-5 5T, Banks, t3/18; cum 208K 9/19;
  • 32963, 867, Oasis, Ceynar 5198 12-5 6B, Banks, t3/18; cum 245K 9/19;
  • 32962, 827, Oasis, Ceynar 5198 12-5 7T, Banks, t3/18; cum 202K 9/19;
  • 32943, 818, Oasis, Ceynar 5298 42-32 8B, Banks, t6/18; cum 287K 9/19;
  • 32944, 475, Oasis, Ceynar 5298 42-32 9T, Banks, t6/18; cum 122K 9/19;
  • 32945, 645, Oasis, Ceynar 5298 42-32 10B, Banks, t6/18; cum 157K 9/19;
  • 32801, 171, Oasis, Ceynar 5298 42-32 11T, Banks, t6/18; cum 158K 9/19;
  • 20689, 1,202, Oasis, Patsy 5-8HTF, Siverston, t11/12; cum184K 9/19; nice jump in production, 2/18;
  • 19350, 1,162, Oasis, Ceynar 29-32H, Banks, t3/11; cum 323K 9/19; 10/18; off-line since 9/17 (2/18); back on line as of 5/18;
  • 32961, 500, Oasis, Ceynar 5298 44-32 12T, Banks, t6/18; 210K 9/19;
  • 32960, 912, Oasis, Ceynar 5298 44-32 13B, Banks, t6/18; cum 289K 9/19;
  • 32959, 916, Oasis, Ceynar 5298 44-32 14TX, Banks, t5/18; 193K 9/19;
  • 32958, 574, Oasis, Ceynar 5298 44-32 15BX, Banks, t5/18; 230K 9/19;

The Political Page, T+41 -- March 2, 2017

Subpoenas: this is pretty cool for those following the story. I love it. From PennEnergy:
Massachusetts Attorney General Maura Healey is urging Republican Congressman Lamar Smith to withdraw his committee's subpoena for documents related to her Exxon Mobil investigation.
Healey sent a 10-page letter to Smith Wednesday arguing the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology has no authority over her probe into whether Exxon Mobil misled Massachusetts consumers and investors about the impact of burning fossil fuels on the environment and the impact of climate change on the company's business.
The company sued Healey and fellow Democratic Attorney General Eric Schneiderman of New York, calling their investigation politically motivated.
Healey said Smith has used his platform as chairman to engage in what she called "improper attempts to derail" a valid investigation. She said no congressional committee has ever subpoenaed a sitting state Attorney General.
Alt-left: so out of touch with America. Imagine how much Congress could accomplish if everyone actually wanted to get something done that would help all Americans.

Memo to the Kennedy family: a great month to go skiing. The Kennedy equity portfolio has to be at all time highs (Trump rally) and the snow is so deep out west that scientists don't have any tools to measure it. I can't make this stuff up. From USA Today
One sure sign the Sierra Nevada is experiencing a historic winter is the snowpack is getting too deep for devices scientists use to measure it.
It’s a problem that cropped up Wednesday when researchers sought to confirm snow depth at a data site on Slide Mountain at Mount Rose Ski Tahoe near Reno.
Data points:
  • Sierra Nevada, one site: snowpack at 212 inches; water content 74.6 inches; 
  • there's more than six feet of water in the 17-foot snowpack
  • that's a March 1 record
  • the previous record for March 1, was back in 1997, a little more than 5 feet
  • overall site record was more than seven feet of snow water equivalent in May, 1995 -- you mean we have three more months of snow/water accumulation?
Lake Mead is tracked here.
California snow pack water equivalent here.

***************************
Worth Repeating

HUGE DROP IN UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS! Jobless Claims At 44-Year Low! The Market And Energy Page, T+41 -- March 2, 2017

Peak oil demand. For those following the story, most know that the EIA suggests peak oil demand will hit no later than 2015. BP disagrees. Says it will increase production. More bad news for Saudi Arabia (see below).

Good news for US refiners, but only temporary, from Platts:  China's exports of transport fuels plunged in January on the back of high domestic demand, a clampdown on overseas sales by independent refiners and port delays, but are are expected to bounce back in February because of stronger refinery operating rates.

Bad, bad news for Saudi Arabia: loved $100-oi; now needs $80-oil; wants $60-oil; will be lucky to average $55-oil this year; and today, WTI is below $53/bbl. 

US gasoline demand: clawing its way back (dynamic link) but still well behind last year at this time.

Market: I assume the market will plunge about 5, 000 points today as folks start to take their profits. LOL.

Jobs: first time claims for unemployment claims on tap. Last week, claims ticked up by more than expected to 244,000, revised to 242,000. Today's report:
  • decline far exceeds expectations
  • the consensus actually showed a jump in claims to 245,000
  • in fact, the claims plunged: dropped 19,000 to 223,000
  • 4-week moving average: 234,250
Pretty amazing.

Active Rigs Steady At 41 -- March 2, 2017

Active rigs:


3/2/201703/02/201603/02/201503/02/201403/02/2013
Active Rigs4134120192184

RBN Energy: the far-reaching impacts of low-sulfur bunker fuels on demand, prices, and refining.

Scott Adams: talks about President Trump's speech on YouTube.