Saturday, February 4, 2017

A Note For The Granddaughters; Nothing About The Bakken -- February 4, 2017

Honest, narcissistic, ambitious Abe: from The Wall Street Journal, an essay by Carol Bundy, reviewing Elizabeth Brown Pryor's Six Encounters With Lincoln.

I don't think I can read another book on Abraham Lincoln, or the Civil War. I was not even interested in reading the essay, at first. I think many of us have had our fill of Lincoln and the Civil War.

The first "real" book I recall reading ... no let me change that, the first "real" books -- plural -- that I recall reading, this was back in eighth grade, most of them read during study hall.

But I digress. What was I talking about? Oh, yes, the first "real" books -- plural -- that I recall reading:
  • Quo Vadis
  • a biography of Albert Schweitzer 
  • Carl Sandburg's biography of Abraham Lincoln (he wrote several volumes; I do not recall which volume)
Somewhere about that time I also read Giants of the Earth, but I can't say it was among the first five "real" books I ever read (certainly it must have been among the first ten). I recently re-read Giants of the Earth. I don't recall crying the first time I read it. 

I was reminded of all that while reading the "Review" section of today's Wall Street Journal (see link above).

From the lede:
Elizabeth Brown Pryor, the author of a Lincoln Prize–winning biography of Robert E. Lee, had essentially completed a companion book, “Six Encounters With Lincoln: A President Confronts Democracy and Its Demons,” when she was killed in a car accident in the spring of 2015, at the age of 64.
In “Reading the Man: A Portrait of Robert E. Lee Through His Private Letters” (2007), Pryor had used a long-hidden cache of family correspondence to look behind the Confederacy’s greatest myth to reveal Lee as a man with feet of clay who beat his slaves and broke up every slave family save one to make big profits, selling “souls” down the river.
Then this:
In the case of Pryor’s Lincoln, there are no long-hidden letters, just the skeptical eye of a professional civil servant. Pryor exploits her wealth of experience as a diplomat in the State Department to evaluate Lincoln as if he were the president she served.
Her six “encounters” are small historical moments, the kind that most of us overlook and that only a veteran of the governmental process, with knowledge of Capitol Hill and the newspaper-reading habits of those who attempt to forge policy, could tease into life. In each case, as Pryor offers us a critique of how Lincoln misplayed the moment, we sense the veteran diplomat who appreciates a valuable opportunity missed. Pryor is particularly adept at conveying the impossibility of Lincoln’s task: to represent a profoundly fractured country in which, as one of Lincoln’s friends put it, “the eyes of the whole nation will be upon you while unfortunately the ears of one half of it will be closed to any thing you say.”
I wasn't particularly interested in reading the essay, but after reading those two paragraphs, skimmed ahead. It was the last few paragraphs that piqued my interest, which sent me back to read the entire essay.

This is what caught my interest:
In her epilogue, Pryor casts Lincoln’s love of Shakespeare, particularly the history plays, as in part a reflection of what she sees as his outsize ego. From childhood, Lincoln had aspired to the presidency. His law partner William Herndon recalled that Lincoln was “the most ambitious man I ever saw or expect to see.” Such ambition, o’er-leaping class, education and experience, Pryor believes, raises questions about his fitness for office. She also regards the legitimacy of his election as suspect. Because both parties had split along regional lines, creating a four-way race that siphoned away Southern support, Lincoln was best placed to take votes from Stephen Douglas, edging himself to a technical if hollow victory. By the time of his inauguration, seven states had already seceded. He was sworn in as president of what was left of the Union. Pryor ends her book speculating on the “kind of desperation Abraham Lincoln must have felt, knowing . . . he was never . . . truly president of the entire United States.”  
That certainly puts things into perspective, today, doesn't it?

The essay ends with these two paragraphs:
The insinuation that the drama of Civil War had a narcissistic angle for Lincoln is another place where, it seems likely, a more measured assessment would have emerged if Pryor had lived to complete the project. Although an ambitious man haunted by the judgment of history, Lincoln was remarkably self-effacing and devoid of ego: No narcissist would have tolerated with such equanimity the snubbing by his generals, the condescension of his cabinet and such merciless mockery by the press.
I read Lincoln’s fondness for Shakespeare with a different take-away and was moved by the pathos of Pryor’s description of how Lincoln kept with him, at all times, a pocket edition of Shakespeare that he would regularly pull out and read aloud, at length, often boring underlings forced to listen. Amid the profound loneliness of leadership, with a world crumbling around him, these plays were his consolation and these failed kings his companions: Macbeth, Richard II, Henry IV, King Lear. As he walked the wards of Washington’s hospitals, sleepless, bearing the weight of the intractable conundrums of American democracy, the suffering of the nation’s young men remorselessly imprinting itself upon his gaunt face and gangly form, the bard’s words were, excepting the Bible, the only wisdom our 16th president could find in his ever elusive hunt for, as Pryor puts it, “a route to deeper understanding of power, politics, and human folly.”
The entire essay is very well worth reading.

Late Saturday night, time to drift away:

Drift Away, Rod Stewart

Random Update Of A CLR Florida Well, Camp Oil Field, February 4, 2017


August 19, 2017: this was fracked in early 2017, with 22 million lbs:
  • 28800, 1,386, CLR, Florida Federal  4-11H1, Camp, Three Forks, 45 stages, 22 million lbs proppant, t3/17; cum 133K 6/17; 
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN6-20172727584280372899337809330544352
BAKKEN5-2017314173241727445655723355837919
BAKKEN4-2017304197341925490385479853586760
BAKKEN3-20172321298206223056626099702819071
BAKKEN2-201710019843610361

Original Post
 
Watch results for #28800, currently SI/NC.

Older well near #28800 -- not re-fracked -- 
Monthly production since 12/16:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN6-20172927095267492466432161295152207
BAKKEN5-201730203152053523855238561097712435
BAKKEN4-2017301704716919184891399946318908
BAKKEN3-201716359431078636429511642907
BAKKEN2-20170050000
BAKKEN1-2017294235361341161
BAKKEN12-20162823242345100630182368257
BAKKEN11-20163029212959148245693887220

Monthly Production Data:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-20162823242345100630182368257
BAKKEN11-20163029212959148245693887220
BAKKEN10-201630318731181371468842320
BAKKEN9-2016242264234410252802244939
BAKKEN8-201628337232811551506946500
BAKKEN7-201631234423288073533307419
BAKKEN6-2016292362233519253500304020
BAKKEN5-20163029163037192738903262163
BAKKEN4-2016283724387611487121663453
BAKKEN3-2016316581649121111099994971038
BAKKEN2-201625555054981357809435624151
BAKKEN1-201629611461061444868837964464
BAKKEN12-201531436143491315666932193023
BAKKEN11-2015283328339917895145464987
BAKKEN10-2015313887370921814581402394
BAKKEN9-20151312351314858109288627
BAKKEN8-2015242247224016131750136232
BAKKEN7-2015118708616737395993
BAKKEN6-2015303200320214863364284791
BAKKEN5-2015312523246010943176271515
BAKKEN4-20153037553870167147083899433
BAKKEN3-20152642734383194052058084063
BAKKEN2-2015285540571616727306956826
BAKKEN1-201531114861110622961030812028727
BAKKEN12-201431946694382225775129144469
BAKKEN11-2014611111172416119701104
BAKKEN10-2014121544189272088973912
BAKKEN9-2014305115510123125764527730
BAKKEN8-20143156305642243364525691288
BAKKEN7-201431502951922448351920921427
BAKKEN6-2014305505520923234535451124
BAKKEN5-201424347636041621272927272
BAKKEN4-2014306797697925838952894012
BAKKEN3-20143183968352320213741137329
BAKKEN2-20142886499093297614727147198
BAKKEN1-2014311105610466351319590195819
BAKKEN12-20133112324125733917200492003514
BAKKEN11-20133011774116473563160431602122
BAKKEN10-201331130861306034941776317639124
BAKKEN9-201330872489072799112331120330
BAKKEN8-20133112587122414055165621651943
BAKKEN7-20133111220113203809146141452193
BAKKEN6-201330137841383441401807917975104
BAKKEN5-20133115829160254281212382119246
BAKKEN4-2013301632216606413820660174433217
BAKKEN3-201331213792125749252608125247834
BAKKEN2-2013191926518425746825960209754985
BAKKEN1-2013710189427129187601876

The well:
  • 21977, 1,016, CLR, Florida 3-11H, Camp, middle Bakken, thickness of 40 feet; trip gas maxed out at about 8500 units; 38 stages, 3.4 million lbs, total days, 16; 2560-acre spacing; t1/13; cum 434K 8/17; on pump 6/10/14; this well was not re-fracked;

The Rolfson N Wells, Siverston, Oasis

The Rolfson N wells (a graphic will be provided once the wells come off the confidential list):
  • 31608, 1,799, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 11-17 4B, Siverston, t9/16; cum 282K 6/19;
  • 31607, 1,289, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 11-17 3T, Siverston, t8/16; cum 271K 6/19;
  • 31606, 1,722, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 11-17 2B, Siverston, 36 stages, 4 million lbs, t8/16; cum 319K 6/19;
  • 33076, SI/NC-->conf --> 1,873, t12/17; cum 286K 6/19;
  • 33077, 253, t2/19; cum 208K 6/19;
  • 33078, 1,475, t12/17; cum 295K 6/19;
  • 33038, 139, t2/19; cum 133K 6/19;
  • 33039, 224, t2/19; cum 321K 6/19;
  • 33040, 12 (no typo), t1/18; cum 182K 6/19;
  • 33041, 606, t1/18; cum 254K 6/19;
  • 31480, 1,703, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 12-17 5T, Siverston, 36 stages, 4 million lbs, t8/16; cum 260K 6/19;
  • 31481, 1,480, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 12-17 6B, Siverston. 36 stages, 4 million lbs, t9/16; cum 288K 6/19;
  • 31482, 25 (no typo), Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 12-17 7t, Siverston, 36 stages, 4 million lbs, t8/16; cum 242K 6/19;
  • 20465, 1,305, Oasis, Rolfson 20-17H, running up from the south, not one of the Rolfson N wells; t9/11; cum 301K 6/19; huge bump in 1/17;
  • 31483, 958, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 13-17 8T, Siverston, 50 stages, 4 million lbs, t9/16; cum 246K 6/19;
  • 31484, 1,660, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 14-17 9B, Siverston, 50 stages, 4 million lbs, t9/16; cum 343K 6/19;
  • 33047, 354, t1/18; cum 248K 6/19;
  • 33048, 614, t1/18; cum 224K 6/19;
  • 33049, 1,269, t1/18; cum 340K 6/19;
  • 31485, 1,379, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 14-17 10T, Siverston, 50 stages, 4 million lbs, t9/16; cum 282K 6/19;
  • 31486, 1,752, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 14-17 11BX, Siverston, 50 stages, 4 million lbs, t9/16; cum 464K 6/19;
    *******************************************
    The Graphic




    ********************************************
    31480, see above, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 12-17 5T, Siverston:

    DateOil RunsMCF Sold
    12-20162403748906
    11-20162378041966
    10-20162853249645
    9-20163631132834
    8-2016857010504

    31481, see above, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 12-17 6B, Siverston:

    DateOil RunsMCF Sold
    12-20163159538816
    11-20163630351424
    10-20163929264646
    9-201664354902

    31482, see above, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 12-17 7T, Siverston:

    DateOil RunsMCF Sold
    12-20161380925866
    11-20162408443958
    10-20162922249503
    9-20162197027795
    8-201617102423

    31483, see above, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 13-17 8T, Siverston:

    DateOil RunsMCF Sold
    12-20162131639064
    11-20162245736765
    10-20162498553501
    9-20161164014053

    31484, see above, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 14-17 9B, Siverston:

    DateOil RunsMCF Sold
    12-20163382563797
    11-20164336279842
    10-20164639375509
    9-20163611628324
    8-20162110

    31485, see above, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 14-17 10T, Siverston:

    DateOil RunsMCF Sold
    12-20162844847749
    11-20163079646393
    10-20163319959133
    9-20162424423654
    8-201670

    31486, see above, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 14-17 11BX, Siverston:

    DateOil RunsMCF Sold
    12-20162936766424
    11-20164032671443
    10-20163718765086
    9-20162960418718

    31606, see above, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 11-17 2B, Siverston:

    DateOil RunsMCF Sold
    12-20162052825069
    11-20163046746316
    10-20163407862554
    9-20163713435900
    8-20162261224836

    31607, see above, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 11-17 3T, Siverston:

    DateOil RunsMCF Sold
    12-20162100632826
    11-20162763449649
    10-20162923953002
    9-20163032331003
    8-20161602414486

    31608, see above, Oasis, Rolfson N 5198 11-17 4B, Siverston:

    DateOil RunsMCF Sold
    12-20162674736515
    11-20163149947539
    10-20163938165456
    9-2016161208708

    Random Example Of Moderate Jump In Production After Being Off-Line For About Six Months -- February 4, 2017

    Small, but not insignificant bump in production after this well was taken off-line for about six months in late 2013. Note how slow the decline rate was after that bump-up in production after coming back on line.

    We are being told that by taking wells off-line for a significant number of months (for purposes of discussion, 3 - 7 months) all wells -- not just Bakken wells, apparently, but all wells, will show a bump up in production.

    Monthly Production Data:
    PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
    BAKKEN12-2016312234223227931192590339
    BAKKEN11-201630216322372442947267489
    BAKKEN10-20163121152043240305414481416
    BAKKEN9-20163021232215339289827140
    BAKKEN8-20163120072153185263724550
    BAKKEN7-20163121412033250285626670
    BAKKEN6-20163021402071372268525010
    BAKKEN5-20163122312402255247122810
    BAKKEN4-201630257926052992129192522
    BAKKEN3-201613658609509738544131
    BAKKEN2-201629218121213241816155979
    BAKKEN1-201631224622472242019181118
    BAKKEN12-201530204921232571816159147
    BAKKEN11-201530230122452231729151233
    BAKKEN10-201531226523362211843163322
    BAKKEN9-201530244123533961883160694
    BAKKEN8-2015312273237826720051393422
    BAKKEN7-20153026482557500192317407
    BAKKEN6-2015302569256763419611674103
    BAKKEN5-20153127692771308201518250
    BAKKEN4-201530265427384641576171375
    BAKKEN3-20153131213033387167501485
    BAKKEN2-2015282839278853816071122313
    BAKKEN1-201531342534964811572964418
    BAKKEN12-20142832873216507941409364
    BAKKEN11-201430376637616301384968232
    BAKKEN10-201431407346685761486326970
    BAKKEN9-20143042143695435155961369
    BAKKEN8-20143146154605821169741540
    BAKKEN7-2014152073204859578210704
    BAKKEN6-2014305842617420232294432101
    BAKKEN5-20143159785615284024611754552
    BAKKEN4-20143058155841334325362041345
    BAKKEN3-2014315590556438282589241818
    BAKKEN2-20142861726183595426802420121
    BAKKEN1-2014317058708983481894878861
    BAKKEN12-201328419898968652
    BAKKEN11-20130000000
    BAKKEN10-20130000000
    BAKKEN9-201315268725461544975584319
    BAKKEN8-201387987751028476209230
    BAKKEN7-201316132112372824343540
    BAKKEN6-201326213623617228797510
    BAKKEN5-201329208218409529177780
    BAKKEN4-20133019742031121025362041345
    BAKKEN3-2013311869183216208166610
    BAKKEN2-2013281475158621486595190
    BAKKEN1-2013311558137046375694160
    BAKKEN12-20127370121445120
    BAKKEN11-20120000000
    BAKKEN10-20129768919245370181144
    BAKKEN9-20123024622439941119210393
    BAKKEN8-2012262243226311529638460
    BAKKEN7-20123117301757169979060181
    BAKKEN6-201294463791216133900
    BAKKEN5-20120000000
    BAKKEN4-2012222506252277129411840
    BAKKEN3-20123141954229204234721920
    BAKKEN2-2012917031639327767320
    BAKKEN1-20123035083505104223620910
    BAKKEN12-20112836253614103220720670
    BAKKEN11-20113037173728113236522150
    BAKKEN10-2011313963395210124312080196
    BAKKEN9-201130384138951752432225825
    BAKKEN8-201131411640621232567239617
    BAKKEN7-201131414141411222485231814
    BAKKEN6-2011304187419111924862152184
    BAKKEN5-201130437745011172473222996
    BAKKEN4-201129409839841232339211480
    BAKKEN3-201131433443242062454221785
    BAKKEN2-20112842284550129244022955
    BAKKEN1-20113148344650152274025850
    BAKKEN12-201031501349691492724254524
    BAKKEN11-201030482247311502673242994
    BAKKEN10-201031515252231682941275234
    BAKKEN9-20103051905207162283726880
    BAKKEN8-20103155835670304300828540
    BAKKEN7-20103154265419471300028490
    BAKKEN6-20103057925826191302328658
    BAKKEN5-2010316156611245429452448342
    BAKKEN4-201030628871521943023283637
    BAKKEN3-201031682362502023056286045
    BAKKEN2-2010285660548624825102156214
    BAKKEN1-2010306038659718129262187590
    BAKKEN12-2009316238587919929902043799
    BAKKEN11-2009306627665622130732483440
    BAKKEN10-2009306499606826730582313595
    BAKKEN9-20091736784138131162515577
    BAKKEN8-2009319263948531143033944215
    BAKKEN7-2009217656798724435523348105
    BAKKEN6-200927119281328244354154988297
    BAKKEN5-20091468715809216268813811254
    BAKKEN4-2009419061651648710853
    BAKKEN3-2009281109010787409506804932
    BAKKEN2-2009231120311359446508204967
    BAKKEN1-2009231334214524677602305912
    BAKKEN12-2008271567215230695729807170
    BAKKEN11-20082820665207311490937209236
    BAKKEN10-20082513595129371555613706017
    BAKKEN9-20082313941149082134642406315
    BAKKEN8-20083020138192831703992309777
    BAKKEN7-20081719497180869496899808913

    17170, 667, EOG, Wayzetta 4-16H, Parshall, t7/08; cum 467K 12/16;