Sunday, December 6, 2015

Let Me Count The Reasons Why Saudi Can't Win -- December 6, 2015

Just to name a few:
  • the Bakken: perhaps as much as 300,000 bopd being deferred / saved underground
  • the Three Forks: perhaps as much as 200,000 bopd being deferred / saved underground
  • the Permian
  • the Eagle Ford
  • the Niobrara
  • the Cline
  • the Piceance
  • the DJ 
  • Anadarko - Springer
  • the SCOOP
  • the STACK 
  • Uinta
  • the Moab - Paradox
  • the Tyler
  • the Mississippi Limestone
  • the Birdbear
Some others:
Sixteen Reasons, Connie Stevens


Sixteen Reasons, Mulholland Drive, Connie Stevens
***************************
And So It Begins

Tweeting now: Nigeria seeks loans to bridge gaps in 2016 oil and gas operations, says junior oil minister Emmanuel Kachikwu.


Venezuela: tick, tick, tick.

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White House Sets The Agenda

This is an interesting observation. Some years D-Day anniversaries and Pearl Harbor anniversaries are completely ignored by the mainstream media.Tomorrow is the 74th anniversary of "Pearl Harbor." The 74th is not the 75th or the 50th or the 100th, and yet there is all kind of coverage for the 74th. One has to ask why.

I am convinced that the White House works hand-in-glove with mainstream media to set the agenda for what will be presented to the American public. At a time when President Obama's foreign policy is going sideways, what better way to get Americans' attention elsewhere than to commemorate the US servicemen and servicewomen. My hunch is that the White House -- earlier this year -- let the mainstream media know that the Pearl Harbor anniversary this year would be important to cover.

I don't have cable television. Let me know if MSNBC covers the 74th anniversary of Pearl Harbor. If they do, I know I'm right. If Rachel Maddow covers the 74th anniversary ...

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Why Potheads Need To Get Behind AGW

If one wants bigger, better marijuana plants, one wants higher atmospheric CO2. See photograph on  page 677 of the study at this link to see the difference in plant growth based on CO2 concentrations. 

The Rufus Well Has Come In! -- December 6, 2015 -- HRC, XTO Each Report A Nice Bakken Well; Ten More DUCs; 10/13 Wells To DUC Status

Monday, December 7, 2015 -- 74th Anniversary
  • 30413, SI/NC, Slawson, Lightning Federal 2-24-13H, Big Bend, no production data,
  • 30516, SI/NC, MRO, Hannah USA 31-4TFH, Reunion Bay, no production data,
  • 30674, SI/NC, Hess, BL-Odegaard-156-95-2116H-8, Beaver Lodge, no production data,
Sunday, December 6, 2015
  • 30414, SI/NC, Slawson, Lightning Federal 7-24-13TFH, Big Bend, no production data,
  • 30515, SI/NC, MRO, Maggie USA 21-4H, Reunion Bay, no production data,
  • 30672, SI/NC, Hess, BL-Odegaard-156-95-2116H-7, Beaver Lodge, no production data,
  • 30676, SI/NC, Statoil, Bures 20-29 XE 1H, Alger, no production data,
  • 31195, 306, CLR, Bonney 6-3H, Jim Creek, t10/15; cum 10K 10/15;
  • 31245, SI/NC, XTO, Sorenson 31X-28D, Siverston, no production data,
Saturday, December 5, 2015
  • 28257, 2,059, XTO, Nelson Federal 41X-5D, Antelope, 4 sections, t10/15; cum 5K after 4 days;
  • 29847, 1,560, HRC, Fort Berthold 147-94-3A-10-6H, McGregory Buttes, 33 stages, 5 million lbs, t6/15; cum 119K 10/15;
  • 30514, SI/NC, MRO, Rufus USA 21-4H, Reunion Bay, no production data,
  • 30671, SI/NC, Hess, BL-Odegaard-156-95-2116H-6, Beaver Lodge, no production data,
Comment: the BL-Odegaard wells are in the same area as the oldest well in North Dakota that is still active

********************************************

29847, see below, HRC, Fort Berthold 147-94-3A-10-6H, McGregory Buttes:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
10-20151904414429
9-20151965615320
8-20152422229095
7-20152727634636
6-20152820331293

A Reminder -- Incorrect MillionDollarWay URL -- December 6, 2015

A reader sent me this story, an incredibly good story about the B-52 in The New York Times. I had one flight in the B-52, out of Grand Forks AFB, back in 1984, or thereabouts, maybe 1985. It was an 8-hour, "low-level" flight through the Rocky Mountains, at midnight. We stepped out to the bomber about 4:00 p.m., departed about 10:00 p.m. and returned about 6:00 a.m. the next morning. I was not recording a daily journal at that time so I don't know the specifics and the hours are not exact. It might have been a six-hour flight and it might have taken off a bit earlier and landed a bit earlier but that's what I remember. [December 7, 2015: I found my official flight records -- the flight was April 12, 1983; the sortie last 6.5 hours.]
The B-52 is an Air Force plane that refuses to die. Originally slated for retirement generations ago, it continues to be deployed in conflict after conflict. It dropped the first hydrogen bomb in the Bikini Islands in 1956, and it laser-guided bombs in Afghanistan in 2006. It has outlived its replacement. And its replacement’s replacement. And its replacement’s replacement’s replacement.
Air Force commanders are now urging the Pentagon to deploy B-52s in Syria.
“We’re ready, we’re hungry, we’re eager to be in the fight,” said Col. Kristin Goodwin, who commands the Second Bomb Wing at Barksdale Air Force Base in Louisiana, where about half of the bombers are based.
Now in its 60th year of active service, the bomber is slow, primitive and weighed down by an infamy lingering from the carpet bombing of Vietnam in the 1960s. But 76 B-52s still make up the bulk of the United States’ long-range bomber fleet, and they are not retiring anytime soon. The next potential replacement — the Long Range Strike Bomber, which has yet to be designed — is decades away, so the B-52 is expected to keep flying until at least 2040. By then, taking one into combat will be the equivalent of flying a World War I biplane during the invasion of Iraq in 2003.
The unexpectedly long career is due in part to a rugged design that has allowed the B-52 to go nearly anywhere and drop nearly anything the Pentagon desires, including both atomic bombs and leaflets. But it is also due to the decidedly underwhelming jets put forth to take its place. The $283 million B-1B Lancer first rolled off the assembly line in 1988 with a state-of-the-art radar-jamming system that jammed its own radar. The $2 billion B-2 Spirit, introduced a decade later, had stealth technology so delicate that it could not go into the rain.
I don't know if there has been an all-female B-52 flight crew flying combat but back in 2005, this all-female flight crew flew something that gets up even more close and personal in the USAF when in combat, the C-130. In this case, the plane was transporting 151 US Marines. 

More remarkable than the fact that these were all women, is the age and ranks of these women. This is how I remember the US Air Force: very young people, in their mid-20's and younger, flying multi-million aircraft for the best air force in the world. I remember flying a medevac C-5 or C-141 from Ramstein to Washington, DC, the oldest crew member on the flight, when I was about 35 years old, and about ten years older than the next oldest active duty member on that aircraft.

For more on women flying in combat, see this link.

*************************************
The Blog-- Housekeeping

This is not news. There is nothing new here. It's just a reminder. Some folks get to my site by googling and end up on old posts, and then find internal links that are broken. This is simply a reminder that the posts are still there; the URL was changed sometime ago, and some internal links have not been updated. 

This blog goes back to about 2009, I believe. Sometime in 2011 or later (I forget), my site was hacked and the URL "stolen." If you click on a link and get a message that the page does not exist, do not despair. If it's a link to one of my posts, the post is still there. Simply insert "the" in front of the URL. I changed the URL "milliondollarway....." to "themilliondollarway.blogspot.com" and have had no further problems. I'm correcting the links as fast as I can. Some URLs are even different from that, but the correct URL is: "themilliondollarway.blogspot.com". No posts have been lost; the URL just needs to be corrected.

 See graphic below where to insert "the."



**********************************
A Note for the Granddaughters

It took a little time to train Sophia, age 17 months, and it took a little while for her to complete the task, but it was time well spent. I got a lot of blogging done, and she had a lot of personal time with Mother Nature. I paid her fifty cents/bag, deducted 10 cents/bag (hefty discount rate on cost of the bags); withheld thirty cents for income tax purposes, and FICA; she netted about 10 cents/bag.



Fourteen bags are in this picture. At the moment, there are now nineteen bags along the curb. It was well after dark when she completed the 19th bag, so I didn't get that photo.

Random Look At A 5-Well Grail Pad -- December 6, 2015

Updates

April 16, 2017: there are not eight (8) wells on this pad; in addition to the earlier five, add these three:
33267, SI/NC,
33268, SI/NC,
33269, SI/NC,

December 7, 2015: a similar, but perhaps less dramatic, example can be seen with the QEP Johnson wells in section 4-149-95 (#19680, #25490 - #25493, inclusive), another 5-well pad. 

Original Post 

As you go through this long post, note:
  • this is a five-well pad; the index well was drilled in 2010; the latest wells in 2014
  • the first well was a Three Forks well at a time when most wells being drilled with middle Bakken
  • one of the five wells was stimulated twice (it's possible others were but I missed them, although I doubt it)
  • note the location of the laterals, and the date of the stimulations
  • the index well, the oldest well, is a Three Forks well
  • the two wells nearest it, on either side were middle Bakken wells
  • the nearest Three Forks well was twice the distance to the index well as the neighboring middle Bakken wells
  • the distance between each of the laterals is about 50 feet
  • vertical separation between middle Bakken target and Three Forks target was about 150 feet
  • the index well was a Helis well, and planning forms and data were in Helis format
  • the four newer wells were QEP wells; planning forms and data were in QEP format 
  • a reminder that Lynn Helms once said that the Three Forks may, in fact, result in better wells than the middle Bakken 
  • Pythagorean theorem: a^2 + b^2 = c^2
More commentary will follow but this is enough for now. In anticipation of that commentary, you may want to refresh your understanding of porosity and permeability. The petrogeology of the Bakken, porosity and permeability here.

********************************
The Wells

Disclaimer: in a long note like this there will be typographical and factual errors. In addition, because I have no formal training or background in the oil and gas industry, there are things I post but do not understand. I may be missing things and may be misinterpreting things. I may be seeing more than there actually is. Do not quote me on any of this. If this stuff is important to you, go to the source. 

I posted this yesterday but did not get a chance to look at it more closely; it was late, I was tired.

But this well has an incredible story -- at least the very little we know about it.

There are five wells on this pad. This one runs right down the center and was drilled/completed some time ago. Later, four more wells were drilled/completed, with two wells one each side of the well in question.

Here is the graphic of the 5-well pad:



Abbreviated synopsis of the five wells, when they were tested, which usually occurs soon after they are fracked/completed:
  • 18973, 10/25/10; Three Forks target at 10,750 feet; frack data not provided; API 33-053-03156-00-00;
  • 28165 [stimulated twice], 10/25/14, middle Bakken stimulated 8/9/15 with 36 stages, 7.7 million lbs, IP, 2,117; middle Bakken stimulated 10/20/14 with 32 stages, 5.4 million lbs, IP, 1,444; middle Bakken target at 10,600 feet
  • 28166, 10/23/14, middle Bakken, 33 stages, 8.6 million lbs; target at 10,600 feet.
  • 28167, 10/21/14, stimulated the Three Forks, on 10/13/14, 39 stages, 9.9 million lbs; Three Forks target at 10,675 feet
  • 28168, 12/10/14, the last sundry form, received June, 2015: QEP plans to re-frack this well; it will run new casing and complete stages 5 - 30 via sliding sleeves and will plug and perf stages 8 - 10 across stages 30 - 39 of the original sliding sleeves). The plug and perf is being done to the stages in which the sliding sleeves have been compromised. Original frack: 36 stages, 4.6 million lbs; middle Bakken target at 10,600 feet.
Note the jump in production for this well; sundry forms do not shed any light on reason for jump in production; we saw something similar about a year ago:
18973, 2,579, QEP/Helis, State 1-16/21H, Blue Buttes, a Three Forks well, t10/25/2010; cum 567K 10/15; inactive 4/14; looks like it might be back on line as of 10/14; yes, now shown to be active, 12/14; huge jump in production in 12/14; coming back on line after permission to commingle production from multiple wells; large production number could be due to 'mis-allocation' during early commingling; random update, March 20, 2015; random update, May 7, 2015; [note: the scout ticket shows this well in the Blue Buttes oil field, but it is clearly in the Grail oil field, and the scout tickets of its sister wells all show the Grail oil field. A file report has "Grail" typed in and then crossed out in ink and handwritten "Blue Buttes." The geologist's narrative also calls it a "Blue Buttes" well. The very earliest maps show the well clearly in the Grail oil field.
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-2015312049120692792030519217308789
BAKKEN9-20153015508151861656420487142276170
BAKKEN8-20152117132351611546
BAKKEN7-20151816771734130024221696715
BAKKEN6-201530707571442679751251762303
BAKKEN5-20153188558829277191698512589

*************************************

Of the four 28XXX wells, #28167, #28166, and #28165 are  most noteworthy with regard to the oldest well on that pad, #18973. Here is the scout ticket for #28167, Three Forks:

NDIC File No: 28167     API No: 33-053-05827-00-00     CTB No: 218973
Well Type: OG     Well Status: A     Status Date: 10/21/2014     Wellbore type: Horizontal
Location: NWNE 16-150-95     Footages: 553 FNL 1325 FEL     Latitude: 47.816937     Longitude: -102.839022
Current Operator: QEP ENERGY COMPANY
Current Well Name: STATE 2-16-21TH
Elevation(s): 2262 KB   2232 GR   2234 GL     Total Depth: 20948     Field: GRAIL
Spud Date(s):  5/24/2014
Casing String(s): 9.625" 1818'   7" 11004'  
Completion Data
   Pool: BAKKEN     Perfs: 11004-20948     Comp: 10/21/2014     Status: F     Date: 10/21/2014     Spacing: 2SEC
Cumulative Production Data
   Pool: BAKKEN     Cum Oil: 296298     Cum MCF Gas: 417500     Cum Water: 62290
Production Test Data
   IP Test Date: 10/21/2014     Pool: BAKKEN     IP Oil: 2761     IP MCF: 3951     IP Water: 1346
Monthly Production Data
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-20152826663265176031400952854811547
BAKKEN9-20150000000
BAKKEN8-2015011110000
BAKKEN7-2015171157711691128216374114694832
BAKKEN6-20152621456216975691391672703612030
BAKKEN5-2015312910128981478555421516233574
BAKKEN4-2015292737227563679040515352265080
BAKKEN3-2015222028620075449322698202342321
BAKKEN2-2015181793218077280221861183623191
BAKKEN1-2015313390533868594241700041324
BAKKEN12-2014293798038041600047603047247
BAKKEN11-20142549630493951043360573060204
BAKKEN10-2014312039520116804131493031367

****************************************************

Here is the scout ticket for #28165, middle Bakken:

NDIC File No: 28165     API No: 33-053-05825-00-00     CTB No: 218973
Well Type: OG     Well Status: A     Status Date: 8/14/2015     Wellbore type: Horizontal
Loc: NENE 16-150-95     Footages: 553 FNL 1250 FEL     Lat: 47.816938     Lon: -102.838716
Current Operator: QEP ENERGY COMPANY
Current Well Name: STATE 1-16-21BH
Elevation(s): 2262 KB   2232 GR   2234 GL     Total Depth: 20525     Field: GRAIL
Spud Date(s):  5/21/2014
Casing String(s): 9.625" 1818'   7" 10926'  
Completion Data
   Pool: BAKKEN     Perfs: 10926-20525     Comp: 10/25/2014     Status: F     Date: 8/14/2015     Spacing: 2SEC
Cumulative Production Data
   Pool: BAKKEN     Cum Oil: 118572     Cum MCF Gas: 145574     Cum Water: 48769
Production Test Data
   IP Test Date: 10/25/2014     Pool: BAKKEN     IP Oil: 1444     IP MCF: 2361     IP Water: 942
Monthly Production Data
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-2015312285123369671531547224629085
BAKKEN9-20152929085286268105378272626711391
BAKKEN8-201511177591755770451663815874614
BAKKEN7-20150000000
BAKKEN6-20150000000
BAKKEN5-20150000000
BAKKEN4-20150000000
BAKKEN3-201500110000
BAKKEN2-20151584700182714600104
BAKKEN1-201513881588323098921009112
BAKKEN12-2014231208812166501914246014133
BAKKEN11-20142721431212911227925501025342
BAKKEN10-201431595958776326989109854

********************************

Here is the scout ticket for #28166:

NDIC File No: 28166     API No: 33-053-05826-00-00     CTB No: 218973
Well Type: OG     Well Status: A     Status Date: 10/23/2014     Wellbore type: Horizontal
Loc: NENE 16-150-95     Footages: 553 FNL 1275 FEL     Lat: 47.816938     Long: -102.838818
Current Operator: QEP ENERGY COMPANY
Current Well Name: STATE 2-16-21BH
Elevation(s): 2262 KB   2232 GR   2234 GL     Total Depth: 20747     Field: GRAIL
Spud Date(s):  5/22/2014
Casing String(s): 9.625" 1818'   7" 10912'  
Completion Data
   Pool: BAKKEN     Perfs: 10912-20747     Comp: 10/23/2014     Status: F     Date: 10/23/2014     Spacing: 2SEC
Cumulative Production Data
   Pool: BAKKEN     Cum Oil: 215266     Cum MCF Gas: 276540     Cum Water: 87243
Production Test Data
   IP Test Date: 10/23/2014     Pool: BAKKEN     IP Oil: 2204     IP MCF: 3091     IP Water: 1582
Monthly Production Data
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-201525108501097254761401099754035
BAKKEN9-201515791577864821917163652760
BAKKEN8-2015744024513196056585412209
BAKKEN7-2015311686316772436221492150466340
BAKKEN6-201526649066243432693647792126
BAKKEN5-201531129091285624401333712380857
BAKKEN4-2015301212112506329712870111671610
BAKKEN3-2015311998719764559523128206222365
BAKKEN2-2015201684116922459020901175603051
BAKKEN1-2015312805827941906734444034133
BAKKEN12-2014292414724258858131175030949
BAKKEN11-20143038553383752535659651059364
BAKKEN10-2014311613015909826623767023668


***************************************

And, finally the scout ticket for the last well, #28168, the farthest well to the west:

NDIC File No: 28168     API No: 33-053-05828-00-00     CTB No: 218973
Well Type: OG     Well Status: A     Status Date: 12/10/2014     Wellbore type: Horizontal
Loc: NWNE 16-150-95     Footages: 553 FNL 1350 FEL     Lat: 47.816936     Long: -102.839124
Current Operator: QEP ENERGY COMPANY
Current Well Name: STATE 3-16-21BH
Elevation(s): 2262 KB   2232 GR   2234 GL     Total Depth: 21097     Field: GRAIL
Spud Date(s):  5/28/2014
Casing String(s): 9.625" 1819'   7" 10950'  
Completion Data
   Pool: BAKKEN     Perfs: 10950-21097     Comp: 12/10/2014     Status: F     Date: 12/10/2014     Spacing: 2SEC
Cumulative Production Data
   Pool: BAKKEN     Cum Oil: 12882     Cum MCF Gas: 12876     Cum Water: 11907
Production Test Data
   IP Test Date: 12/10/2014     Pool: BAKKEN     IP Oil: 649     IP MCF: 616     IP Water: 122
Monthly Production Data
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-201523549054567470670847761932
BAKKEN9-20150000000
BAKKEN8-201500120000
BAKKEN7-2015212631251121394975411
BAKKEN6-20150000000
BAKKEN5-20150000000
BAKKEN4-20150000000
BAKKEN3-20150000000
BAKKEN2-201500160000
BAKKEN1-20151411021126940137901367
BAKKEN12-201422339333532161308703055
BAKKEN11-201400220000
BAKKEN10-2014191634161213243080298

******************************************

This is the scout ticket and full production record for the index well:

NDIC File No: 18973     API No: 33-053-03156-00-00     CTB No: 218973
Well Type: OG     Well Status: A     Status Date: 10/23/2010     Wellbore type: Horizontal
Loc: NENE 16-150-95     Footages: 550 FNL 1300 FEL     Lat: 47.816946     Long: -102.838920
Current Operator: QEP ENERGY COMPANY
Current Well Name: STATE 1-16/21H
Elevation(s): 2266 KB   2232 GR   2232 GL     Total Depth: 20015     Field: BLUE BUTTES
Spud Date(s):  7/4/2010
Casing String(s): 9.625" 1837'   7" 10937'  
Completion Data
   Pool: BAKKEN     Perfs: 10937-20015     Comp: 10/23/2010     Status: AL     Date: 11/18/2011     Spacing: 2SEC
Cumulative Production Data
   Pool: BAKKEN     Cum Oil: 567032     Cum MCF Gas: 628772     Cum Water: 103888
Production Test Data
   IP Test Date: 10/25/2010     Pool: BAKKEN     IP Oil: 2579     IP MCF: 3375     IP Water: 858
Monthly Production Data
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-2015312049120692792030519217308789
BAKKEN9-20153015508151861656420487142276170
BAKKEN8-20152117132351611546
BAKKEN7-20151816771734130024221696715
BAKKEN6-201530707571442679751251762303
BAKKEN5-20153188558829277191698512589
BAKKEN4-2015309174935839641041790431304
BAKKEN3-201531111681103235051058894281081
BAKKEN2-2015288865875340641043587611522
BAKKEN1-201512401240991069255002505
BAKKEN12-2014301220612061477914089013975
BAKKEN11-201430000000
BAKKEN10-201431000000
BAKKEN9-20140000000
BAKKEN8-20140000000
BAKKEN7-20140000000
BAKKEN6-20140000000
BAKKEN5-2014111023100
BAKKEN4-2014255465579058740800
BAKKEN3-20143155995821607259721760
BAKKEN2-20142844904158368463242520
BAKKEN1-20143152995296487633759200
BAKKEN12-20132971997195690839980380
BAKKEN11-20133050735227382414337540
BAKKEN10-20133069326825665613757400
BAKKEN9-20133051725145418414337350
BAKKEN8-20133152055319459352531280
BAKKEN7-20132944834461450447840840
BAKKEN6-20133049474847367453145310
BAKKEN5-20133152475341492539653960
BAKKEN4-20133076227631835949794970
BAKKEN3-20133187838689974837483740
BAKKEN2-20132870887021545392639260
BAKKEN1-20133116171769155200420040
BAKKEN12-20123178387730840789878980
BAKKEN11-20123078817892882702970290
BAKKEN10-20123183928229865719371930
BAKKEN9-20123078257902850877464592315
BAKKEN8-201231860487209201272212522200
BAKKEN7-201231862586158541111078403270
BAKKEN6-2012308958894294712932113921540
BAKKEN5-201231119531199913191587015570300
BAKKEN4-201219891191541052838983890
BAKKEN3-20121695139122849899289920
BAKKEN2-2012510631528107130513050
BAKKEN1-201231104531020690711064110640
BAKKEN12-20113197119582905889188910
BAKKEN11-20111270368098512489648960
BAKKEN10-201131120171187512851271092793431
BAKKEN9-201130126711275914091243553357100
BAKKEN8-2011311493014982175218530735011180
BAKKEN7-201126170261569520341955119221330
BAKKEN6-201120108511192512521518414754430
BAKKEN5-2011291722717806176415862134122450
BAKKEN4-2011292003319476206519146141944952
BAKKEN3-201131238572408324042941928599820
BAKKEN2-2011262094820562191119134110348100
BAKKEN1-201130215912142618122445723748709
BAKKEN12-2010293216932642301039155314527703
BAKKEN11-20103040400407329039548021094243860
BAKKEN10-201081717915529521124215024215