Friday, July 20, 2012

The Tape and the Director's Cut, July 18, 2012; 336 Wells Waiting To Be Fracked




Via CarpeDiem, Milton Friedman responds: "Einstein didn’t construct his theory under order from a bureaucrat. Henry Ford didn’t revolutionize the automobile industry that way. In the only cases in which the masses have escaped from the kind of grinding poverty you’re talking about, the only cases in recorded history, are where they have had capitalism and largely free trade." Amen.

And more: Gibson guitars. Via, again, CarpeDiem

Time for a new poll.

Last poll: overwhelmingly, 75% of folks feel 1280-acre spacing is the preferred spacing (to 2560-acre spacing) in the Bakken for mineral owners. Comment: I disagree, but the reasoning is not intuitive, but will become clear over the next twenty years.

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Have a great weekend.

Carpe Diem's fact of the day: at the end of May, 336 North Dakota Bakken wells were sitting idle, waiting for frack crews. The government needs to build some more frack spreads. Fast.


The Director's Cut, July 18, 2012

Production
  • May, 2012, oil: 639,277 bopd (new all-time high)
  • April, 2012, oil: 609,503 bopd
Producing wells:
  • May, 2012: 7,188 (new all-time high)
  • April, 2012: 7,036
  • Remember: each new well represents a new $10 million business
Permitting
  • May, 2012: 180
  • April, 2012: 167
Pricing
  • May, 2012: $79
  • April, 2012: $78
Rig Count
  • June: 213
  • May: 211
  • Apr: 209
Comments:
The director reminds us the draft BLM regulations have been published in the Federal Register.

Crude oil takeaway via pipeline is almost 35% below production; rail and truck is adequate to make up the difference. This is a new data point. WTI-NYMEX-Bakken spread affected by bottle neck at Cushing.

Drilling permit activity has increased but well below record levels. As winter apporaches more permits will be needed to ensure locations can be built before the weather window closes.

More natural gas gathering systems and natural gas plants may be needed to keep up with the amount of natural gas being produced in the Bakken. Flaring is still high at 31% but well below the historic high of 36% in September, 2011. 

2 comments:

  1. The Idle money setting and waiting for Fraccing is unbelieveable. 336 wells X 5 Million average per well to this point, equals 1.68 Billion $$$..
    Stimlus money invested in solar and Battery cars has been a bust, so maybe this administration should invest money in helping to increase the rate of well fraccing.. Oh ya .. that could be done with NO cost.. Leave the Fraccing regulation to be regulated by the State the oil well is in..

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    Replies
    1. It's a classic "catch-22." This would be a perfect opportunity for the money wasted on solar/wind to be diverted to fracking: jobs, lower gasoline prices.

      But any money coming from the US govt would carry "strings attached." No way. Let folks "build their business" without government help.

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